Will Russia be the First to have a Permanent Base on the Moon?

There are a large slew of engineering problems which must be solved to stay on the moon even one lunar "day." The first is temperature control, too hot in the sun, too cold in the dark. There is radiation, mostly from the Sun. There is also living space, air, water, food, waste recycling and disposal, power (probably electrical), . . .

The American moonwalk missions of 4 decades ago ignored these complex things. They landed for a couple of Earth days at lunar "twilight."

So, the question is, "Will Americans solve problems they ignored 40 years ago?" I doubt it. Vast sections of America suffer from backward leadership, which at times is anti-science. Look at the country's ignorant non-response to the greenhouse emission threat. The country is so backwards it isn't on the metric system. Global warming forced by anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions and conversion from English to metric units are just two of many problems Americans gave up on.

I think much of the problem is the illusion of "Exceptionalism". Despite all the obvious markers, Americans still believe we're above it all.

Since Obama killed NASA, the Russians seem the likely ones to continue human kinds space adventures.

Yes; appearances are very important to Russia. OTOH, why would anyone want to be there?

Strategic reasons?

A ICBM can make it from Russia to anywhere in the US or vice versa in 20-30 minutes. I think it'll take a little longer from the moon.

At least about a day.

Plus, a lunar ICBM would have to deal with the rotation of the Earth. Perhaps firing blind on something which could be on the other side of the earth, and hoping the missile will meet the moving target on the surface of the Earth sometime later.

An ICBM base on the Moon gives one no advantage at all,

No, it's doubtful. I wouldn't put it past China, though...

een Soviet Russia moonbase lands you

Nothing is permanent.