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Will a electoral win get Obama re-elected?

luigi1- in god we trust 2012/09/17 12:18:46
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Obama now has 326 electorals vs Romney at 206.
It only takes 270 to win.
Will Obama be re-elected by a landslide?
Does the electorals matter more so than the popular vote?


Read more. See link below....
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-elec...

Read More: http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs...

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Top Opinion

  • Schläue~© 2012/09/17 12:40:25
    Undecided. Other answer.
    Schläue~©
    +6
    Not a chance. I've been on the Huff-Po site since 2008 and their election predictions are a joke.
    The 'Dashboard' of 2010 had Pelosi keeping her croquet mallet and regaining the 60+ vote in the Senate. They kept posting their outrageous numbers right up until the shellacking occurred on Nov, 2, losing over 700 state seats, 60+ U.S. House seats, barely held onto the Senate and lost many governors and gave up state mandates.

    Professors at CU Boulder have been predicting the outcome of Presidential elections using a specific model that relies solely on facts, current economic hard-line numbers, and many other key issues, eliminating emotions and pressure from poll-takers.

    They have been correct in the past 8 consecutive Presidential elections dating back to the 1980 contest.
    For 2012, their computer model picks Romney as the winner, 320 - 213.

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  • Singerar 2012/09/17 20:30:26
    Yes. Electorals will get Obama re-elected.
    Singerar
    +1
    It's the Electoral which always wins.
  • luigi1-... Singerar 2012/09/17 21:57:49
    luigi1- in god we trust
    +1
    True. Electorals are only an estimate at this time.
  • princess_kelly 2012/09/17 19:48:00
    Undecided. Other answer.
    princess_kelly
    +1
    The election hasn't happened yet dont go assuming he will when...nor have any electoral votes happened yet. And popular votes cant decide an election
  • luigi1-... princes... 2012/09/17 21:56:52
    luigi1- in god we trust
    +1
    Agree about the popular vote. Yes, the electorals are nothing but an estimate.
  • princes... luigi1-... 2012/09/17 21:59:48
    princess_kelly
    But the election hasn't happen happened yet and that is what the electorates are and estimate of those vote
  • Veritas CLM *First Sedition* 2012/09/17 19:37:06
    Undecided. Other answer.
    Veritas CLM *First Sedition*
    +2
    Obama does not have 326 electoral votes. Romney does not have 206 electoral votes. They both have 0 electoral votes as of today. All the election forecasts in the world don't matter. The only poll that matters is the big one that happens in November. The basic premise of this poll is incorrect.
  • luigi1-... Veritas... 2012/09/17 21:55:22
    luigi1- in god we trust
    Todays FoxNews report seems to agree with the electoral predictions.
  • Veritas... luigi1-... 2012/09/17 22:14:59
    Veritas CLM *First Sedition*
    Electoral predictions and polls generally don't matter, except maybe as a tool for people to judge the general attitude of the electorate at a given point in time. As we come closer to election day, the forecasts and polls have a much greater probability of correlating with the actual vote tallies. As we approach election day, the multitude of variables that current polls cannot anticipate start to diminish, such as a terrorist attack, stock market crash, job creation numbers, GDP growth numbers, etc. Polls and forecast don't inherently matter, since they don't determine the election, but they can be used as a predictor of a probable outcome. That probable outcome only really comes into focus, though, the closer we get to election day, and the fewer variables are present in election forecasts as a result.
  • Zuggi 2012/09/17 19:16:37
    Yes. Electorals will get Obama re-elected.
    Zuggi
    +1
    I think he'll win the popular vote too, but by a smaller margin. The best analysis comes from 538. Check that out.
  • luigi1-... Zuggi 2012/09/17 21:53:07
    luigi1- in god we trust
    Win lose or draw...it looks like Obama is our man.
  • j2 2012/09/17 14:50:54
    Undecided. Other answer.
    j2
    +2
    The alternative is that an electoral college loss will defeat him.
  • luigi1-... j2 2012/09/17 16:30:41
    luigi1- in god we trust
    +1
    It's looking more like in Obama's favor.
  • Lulu's Mom 2012/09/17 14:40:12
    Yes. Electorals will get Obama re-elected.
    Lulu's Mom
    +3
    Yes, because those are the votes that count.
  • luigi1-... Lulu's Mom 2012/09/17 16:30:04
    luigi1- in god we trust
    +1
    Can't argue you there.
  • Rebel Yell 2012/09/17 14:11:18
    Yes. Electorals will get Obama re-elected.
    Rebel Yell
    +1
    Team Romney has given up on Michigan and Pensylvania. The hard truth is Romney must have Florida and Ohio. Polls vary in Florida, but Ohio is pulling away for Obama more and more every day. Team Romney was having a meltdown, and then they thought they had a big gift.... the Middle East chaos !! They shoved Mitt out there babbling about Obama without ever saying what he would have done. He ragged on while facts where still arriving at the State Dept and being analyzed. Before victims' families could be notifed, there was Mitt, talking about it. He embarrased himself and shamed his party which immediately distanced itself from him.

    Charlie Sheen would have been a better candidate.
  • luigi1-... Rebel Yell 2012/09/17 16:29:38
    luigi1- in god we trust
    Obama could seal this deal out by just winning FL.
  • Rusty Shackleford 2012/09/17 13:56:39
    Undecided. Other answer.
    Rusty Shackleford
    +2
    Obama now has 326 electorals
    How can you possibly claim this?
  • luigi1-... Rusty S... 2012/09/17 16:28:34
    luigi1- in god we trust
    No claim. Just going by the stats.
  • Rusty S... luigi1-... 2012/09/17 16:32:41
    Rusty Shackleford
    If he already has 326 electoral votes, the election is over. There is no more need for campaigning, let's just call the win for 0bama now and move on.
  • Seonag 2012/09/17 13:08:14
    Undecided. Other answer.
    Seonag
    +2
    We'll see late on Nov. 6th (but probably not until after) if Obama gets the request 270 electoral votes.
  • luigi1-... Seonag 2012/09/17 16:27:46 (edited)
    luigi1- in god we trust
    It appears he already surpassed the 270 required to get re-elected.
  • Seonag luigi1-... 2012/09/17 16:41:14
    Seonag
    Actually, I don't trust the polls right now, any more than I trust the media in general and the MSM specifically. They will do anything to see Obama is re-elected. It's already been shown that a number of the polls are skewed 8 to 10% with more democrats being polled than republicans.
  • flrdsgns 2012/09/17 13:01:34
    Yes. Electorals will get Obama re-elected.
    flrdsgns
    +3
    It's all about the electoral vote.
  • luigi1-... flrdsgns 2012/09/17 16:27:02
    luigi1- in god we trust
    Agree. Elections are but a formality.
  • Schläue~© 2012/09/17 12:40:25
    Undecided. Other answer.
    Schläue~©
    +6
    Not a chance. I've been on the Huff-Po site since 2008 and their election predictions are a joke.
    The 'Dashboard' of 2010 had Pelosi keeping her croquet mallet and regaining the 60+ vote in the Senate. They kept posting their outrageous numbers right up until the shellacking occurred on Nov, 2, losing over 700 state seats, 60+ U.S. House seats, barely held onto the Senate and lost many governors and gave up state mandates.

    Professors at CU Boulder have been predicting the outcome of Presidential elections using a specific model that relies solely on facts, current economic hard-line numbers, and many other key issues, eliminating emotions and pressure from poll-takers.

    They have been correct in the past 8 consecutive Presidential elections dating back to the 1980 contest.
    For 2012, their computer model picks Romney as the winner, 320 - 213.
  • luigi1-... Schläue~© 2012/09/17 16:26:32
    luigi1- in god we trust
    It would appear Obama has the big states, the ones that count, in his hip pocket.
  • Schläue~© luigi1-... 2012/09/17 17:25:53
    Schläue~©
    Yeah,... the Dem's carry CA. NY. MA,... all the usual screwed up Proglodyte havens and it always comes down to the swing states. We're used to that.
    But if you read the link, the model is predicting wins for R&R in nearly every one of them.

    It's not relying on the bogus polls coming out that oversampled Dem's by 5-7 %

    Same thing happened in 2010. All the polls showed Pelosi keeping her croquet mallet and she got 'shellacked'.

    "In 2012, “What is striking about our state-level economic indicator forecast is the expectation that Obama will lose almost all of the states currently considered as swing states, including North Carolina, Virginia, New Hampshire, Colorado, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida,” Bickers said."

    http://www.colorado.edu/news/...
  • luigi1- in god we trust 2012/09/17 12:19:22
    Yes. Electorals will get Obama re-elected.
    luigi1- in god we trust
    It's begining to look more like a landslide for Obama.
  • mal luigi1-... 2012/09/17 12:48:49

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