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♐☆ ♥ Deni ♥☆♐ 2009/10/16 18:37:29Republicans Will Win
+47I'm thinking that the GOP will actually have a Libertarian or Constitutionalists representing their party . . . I'm not sure who yet, but if they don't, their party will die a very slow death.
http://www.pollster.com/polls...
In polls of registered and likely voters, the averages of numbers show that Republicans have 34.3%, the Democrats have 39.6%, and Independents have 23.5% of the voters. Even with these numbers, the Republicans would need to get 67.23% of the Independent vote to win elections, or over two-thirds of the Independents to support them. The Democrats would only need 44.68% of the Independent vote to win the election.
http://www.pollster.com/polls...
To deny these stats is to deny what has happened in the last two elections. Barack Obama won the Presidential race by 7.35% of the vote, or by 9.53 million votes. In almost every poll, they show that Obam...
http://www.pollster.com/polls...
In polls of registered and likely voters, the averages of numbers show that Republicans have 34.3%, the Democrats have 39.6%, and Independents have 23.5% of the voters. Even with these numbers, the Republicans would need to get 67.23% of the Independent vote to win elections, or over two-thirds of the Independents to support them. The Democrats would only need 44.68% of the Independent vote to win the election.
http://www.pollster.com/polls...
To deny these stats is to deny what has happened in the last two elections. Barack Obama won the Presidential race by 7.35% of the vote, or by 9.53 million votes. In almost every poll, they show that Obama has an approval rating of over 51%, and the best that any Republican candidate can get is 44% favorable, and that is Mike Huckabee. Sarah Palin has absolutely no chance of winning at all. Her favorable ratings are dismal, showing that only 37.6% have a favorable opinion of Palin, while her unfavorable rating is at 51.1%.
http://www.pollster.com/polls...
Mitt Romney has a 33.5% favorable, and a 37.4% unfavorable.
http://www.pollster.com/polls...
Republicans have a more serious problem than the 2012 election, and that's the 2010 race, because the polls show that they are behind in that election as well by almost 5% points.
http://www.pollster.com/polls...
Your three erroneous statements are the ones that don't mean anything, as they are not backed up with any facts or data. If your statements were true, McCain would have won just as George Bush beat John Kerry in 2004 by 3 million votes. Al Gore got more votes than Bush in 2000 by a factor of a half million votes.
If you're referring to the race in Massachusettes, there are several polls producing insane numbers for Brown in that special Senate Race. Massachusettes is the most Democratic state in this country, and if those polls were true, then a Democrat would not have just won New York's 23rd Congressional race just 10 weeks ago. That Congressional seat had been held by Republicans since the Civil War. All ten Congressional Representitives from Massachusettes are Democrats, and both Senators were Democrats. Republicans will believe anything when it comes to polls, but they are ignoring the facts. Last November, 61.8% of Massachuesttes voters voted for Obama, while 36.2% voted for McCain/Palin. In 2004, 61.9% voted for John Kerry.
The latest right leaning Rasmussen poll of January 12 has Coakley winning the special Senate election in Massachusettes by 2 points.
http://www.realclearpolitics....
I'm a poll junkie and a numbers follower, and to have a special Senate election that has a spread of 27 total points is most unusual. Th...
If you're referring to the race in Massachusettes, there are several polls producing insane numbers for Brown in that special Senate Race. Massachusettes is the most Democratic state in this country, and if those polls were true, then a Democrat would not have just won New York's 23rd Congressional race just 10 weeks ago. That Congressional seat had been held by Republicans since the Civil War. All ten Congressional Representitives from Massachusettes are Democrats, and both Senators were Democrats. Republicans will believe anything when it comes to polls, but they are ignoring the facts. Last November, 61.8% of Massachuesttes voters voted for Obama, while 36.2% voted for McCain/Palin. In 2004, 61.9% voted for John Kerry.
The latest right leaning Rasmussen poll of January 12 has Coakley winning the special Senate election in Massachusettes by 2 points.
http://www.realclearpolitics....
I'm a poll junkie and a numbers follower, and to have a special Senate election that has a spread of 27 total points is most unusual. The Boston Globe poll of January 10 had Coakley winning by 17 points and the Blue Mass Group R2000 poll of January 14 had her winning by 8 points, while the PJM/Cross Target poll of January 18 had Brown winning by 10 points.
Neither race indicates anything, except that all politics are local. I still believe the Democrats will make more gains in the 36 Senate races next November than the Republicans will. There are 3 seats in current Democratic hands that could change, while there are 7 seats in current Republican hands that could change. These are not my assessments, rather the analysis of several political analyists, like the Cook Ploitical Report and others.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...