Washington Post: Obama's chances are less than doubtful
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2 votes
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6% | |||
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31 votes
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94% | |||
Republicans should be relieved, but not cocky, about the electoral landscape. The states most at risk will very likely be close. But Democrats’ confidence at this point seems unwarranted. It is very easy to spot Romney’s path to 270 electoral votes.
The electoral map reveals how perilous is President Obama’s grip on the White House. Let’s start, as RealClearPolitics does, with a base of 170 electoral votes for Mitt Romney. It’s hard to imagine that Obama could win any of even the less-red states that comprise that batch (e.g. Georgia, Indiana, South Carolina, Montana). To get 100 more and seize the presidency, Romney only needs some states that routinely went Republican before the 2008 race (Nevada, Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia) and needs to hold on to a few that Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) managed to win (Arizona, Missouri). This gets Romney to 273.
Read More: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/right-turn/pos...
Looks like I'm in the minority here, but just counting electoral vote projections isn't enough to get you to an accurate prediction. I admit current polling of voters shows Obama and Romney in a dead heat, and has for the past several weeks. But all this ignores a major issue - fraud.
We of course will continue to have the "low level" fraud of people voting multiple times, people voting when they are not eligible, people voting in the name of others, etc. But "high level" fraud is a major potential risk. It has been reported that Obama is considering outsourcing electronic vote counting to a Spanish company, one of whose investors is George Soros. I don't know is this report is accurate, but it raises fears. In the 2010 race between Sharron Angle and Harry Reid, Angle was polling 5 points ahead of Reid 36 hours before election day, but ended up losing by 5 points. A ten point swing in 36 hours is hard to fathom (I know polls can swing wildly over weeks or months, but 1.5 days is a short time, even in politics). Until you consider that the voting machines were maintained by the SEIU, a major Reid ally. Numerous voters complained that when they pressed the "Angle" button, Reid would be selected. Sometimes voters would have to press "Angle" as many as five ti...
Looks like I'm in the minority here, but just counting electoral vote projections isn't enough to get you to an accurate prediction. I admit current polling of voters shows Obama and Romney in a dead heat, and has for the past several weeks. But all this ignores a major issue - fraud.
We of course will continue to have the "low level" fraud of people voting multiple times, people voting when they are not eligible, people voting in the name of others, etc. But "high level" fraud is a major potential risk. It has been reported that Obama is considering outsourcing electronic vote counting to a Spanish company, one of whose investors is George Soros. I don't know is this report is accurate, but it raises fears. In the 2010 race between Sharron Angle and Harry Reid, Angle was polling 5 points ahead of Reid 36 hours before election day, but ended up losing by 5 points. A ten point swing in 36 hours is hard to fathom (I know polls can swing wildly over weeks or months, but 1.5 days is a short time, even in politics). Until you consider that the voting machines were maintained by the SEIU, a major Reid ally. Numerous voters complained that when they pressed the "Angle" button, Reid would be selected. Sometimes voters would have to press "Angle" as many as five times before the "Angle" selection would stick. And this says nothing about what the machine actually recorded once the "Commit" button was pressed. In numerous cases, poll workers had to help voters with the machines to get the "Angle" choice to stick. One voter even looked on the back of her machine and noted the serial number in an affadavit filed with the state. The machine promptly disappeared without a trace. In all, about 12 voter affadavits were filed with the state of Nevada explaining the issue; the state election commission did nothing but pay lip service to the filings, and the FEC did absolutely nothing (it didn't even acknowledge the issue).
Stu
Even if 90% would bee against Obama, they still can claim him a "winner". We are discussing the election chances, not conmenship.
but you are right: we have to check everything and not to be "tolerant" as those on the right who forgive the left sccum everything.
What I'm saying is that GOP delegate fraud makes it harder to raise the popular vote fraud issue against Democrats in the general election, because now both sides are dirty.
Electronic voting machines don't answer polls , and there is no way on earth to tell what they will register no matter how anyone votes.
A Spanish company is going to declare a winner and there will be no way possible to recount the votes .
Even Romney's Mormonism will not affect his chances, and if things were tight it would, as anti-Mormon sentiment is perhaps the greatest prejudice in the country.
Anybody who knows what indicators to look at, can then make an educated guess in the states that are "toss ups". Once that is done, the outcome is quite clear.
In order for that to change, Romney would have to make a very big mistake before November, and that is doubtful.
Obama on the other hand can widen things up quite nicely by continuing what he has been doing. Fast and Furious continues to develop, and makes Watergate look like child's play. His attack on the Catholic Church was suppose to gain support for part of ObamaCare, and that backfired, tremendously. Sandra Fluke was suppose to be something, I am not sure what, and that backfired. The "GOPs War On Women" is turning out to be a gift to the GOP in general, and to Romney in particular. The defense of ObamaCare in front of the Supreme Court could have been done better by a Pre-Law major college junior. A complete self destruction is in progress.
But let not your heart be troubled, as we have God Almighty on the side of the righteous.
Lets end the madness with what the madmen are calling "a madman"
P.S. F__K Romney..... F__K him.Let's not go backwards.
lol