A few things the computer model didn't factor is a man who hides his money offshore, doesn't pay taxes, suggests to big business to do the same, works at a company who has laid off thousands of workers and destroyed their pensions have no credibility whatsoever when it comes to fixing economy or lowering deficit.
Other factors omitted would include a total opposition party that had a secret meeting the night of the president's inauguration and plotted to undermine the economy and the presidency for political gain. Not to mention the President is leading in virtually every swing state.
When Romney is only garnering 23% of the Latino vote, 0% of the African American vote and 34% of the female vote. I'd really like to know what were the parameters programmed into the algorithms that made it come to it's conclusion.
More over I'd trust the methodology of Allan Lichtman who have predicted every single election accurately Since Ford-Carter. Nate Silver also calls BS on the computer and it's "never before used" model.
University of Colorado Analysis Predicts Romney Victory: Can Computer Forecast 2012 Election?
Fef
2012/08/24 19:00:00
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400 votes
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554 votes
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University of Colorado political science professors have correctly predicted the past eight presidential elections since 1980 using a forecasting model. Their model shows Mitt Romney defeating the incumbent president mostly due to the economy. Obama captures only 218 electoral votes -- well shy of the required 270 to win the presidency. The model also shows Romney winning the popular vote by nearly 5 percent in a head-to-head election.
"Based on our forecasting model, it becomes clear that the president is in electoral trouble," said Bickers, also director of the CU in DC Internship Program. Bickers says the model relies heavily on the economy and unemployment. Bickers states, "the incumbency advantage enjoyed by President Obama, though statistically significant, is not great enough to offset high rates of unemployment currently experienced in many of the states."
"What is striking about our state-level economic indicator forecast is the expectation that Obama will lose almost all of the states currently considered as swing states, including North Carolina, Virginia, New Hampshire, Colorado, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida," Bickers said.
The professor says the heavy influence of the economy and stewardship of the nation factors in more than the undemocratic influences: "It’s not about gaffes, political commercials or day-to-day campaign tactics. I find that heartening for our democracy."
"Based on our forecasting model, it becomes clear that the president is in electoral trouble," said Bickers, also director of the CU in DC Internship Program. Bickers says the model relies heavily on the economy and unemployment. Bickers states, "the incumbency advantage enjoyed by President Obama, though statistically significant, is not great enough to offset high rates of unemployment currently experienced in many of the states."
"What is striking about our state-level economic indicator forecast is the expectation that Obama will lose almost all of the states currently considered as swing states, including North Carolina, Virginia, New Hampshire, Colorado, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida," Bickers said.
The professor says the heavy influence of the economy and stewardship of the nation factors in more than the undemocratic influences: "It’s not about gaffes, political commercials or day-to-day campaign tactics. I find that heartening for our democracy."
Read More: http://www.colorado.edu/news/releases/2012/08/22/a...
Top Opinion
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Proggy 2012/08/25 15:39:55
'[B]ookies are giving President Obama about a 70 percent chance of winning. They peg Romney's chance at around one in three, or 35 percent'
...and...
'although with almost three months remaining until election day, the company admits those odds could change—even dramatically.'
While Europe's largest betting house, Paddy Power, is also calling the election for Obama, their spokesperson, however, offers these words of caution: 'However, a lot can happen between now and the election and we wouldn’t right off Romney’s chances just yet.'
Voter ID laws recently put in place to hold down the turnout of Democratic voters will do just that and help Romney. Republican governors of swing states have already rigged those states for Romney 'wins.' There will be more than one Florida in 2012, where elections will be controversial, flawed, fraught with illegalities, and then logged in the Romney column.
Rove is not only the Ghost of Election Past, he is also the Ghost of Election Future.
The Fat Lady may have been handed her music, but right now is only clearing her throat.
Telling them that he only needed another 4 years to fix things, but would not talk about his budget, or tell them how he was going to fix it...
But he did say the Romney was trying to break the middle man and make the rich richer, and when asked a question of "How can the rich get richer is there is no middle man", he refused to answer. LOL
What say you now ? http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfr...
But this won't be that kind of an election,
My full comment is higher up on this page here.
You've given me some hope; I appreciate it.
Or you could just flip a coin because both would be about as accurate as these damn predictions and polls.
By every poll the race is a statistical dead heat, anyone for a game of pin the tail on the Politician?
There's nothing logical about Obama-mania.
That tool will cruise to re-election on the utter stupidity and blind admiration of his sheeple.
.......................... furthermore, if valid data is loaded, invalid votes would be Caught Red-Handed.
She would have been a better choice.