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"The private sector is doing fine." -- More Evidence That Barack Obama Doesn't Understand a Free-Market Economy!

Ken 2012/06/14 20:26:05

June 14, 2012 4:00 A.M.


Only the Public Sector Is ‘Doing Fine’



Sorry, Mr. President: There’s no need to bail out the state and local governments.




By Jason Richwine & Andrew G. Biggs


http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/302768/only-public-sec...

President
Obama’s puzzling claim that “the private sector is doing fine” has been
met with much skepticism, and even ridicule. To many observers, it is
self-evidently wrong.
While many in the media are content to label the
incident a “gaffe” and move on, some of the president’s supporters
insist that he actually voiced a fundamental truth, albeit inelegantly.
Are they right?


In the eyes of his defenders, Obama simply was pointing out that the
private sector has been adding jobs in recent months while the public
sector has been losing them. “Doing fine” was apparently just an
imprecise and awkward way of saying the private sector is gaining.



The president went on to argue that an effective way to stem
unemployment would be for Congress to borrow money and send it to state
and local governments — who are generally prohibited from deficit
spending — to help avoid public-sector layoffs.

So is it really the case that the public sector needs help more than
the private sector? We are skeptical, to put it mildly. First, some
context concerning unemployment in the public sector: It is well known
that government employees enjoy considerably more job security than
private workers. The steps required to fire tenured public workers are
often so arduous that managers are loath even to try.


Consequently, unemployment rates have been consistently and substantially lower
in the public sector than in the private sector. The recession and its
aftermath are no exception. Last month, government workers had the
lowest unemployment rate (4.2 percent) of any class of worker
categorized by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The next lowest
unemployment rate, 4.9 percent, is for workers in the burgeoning energy
industry. Construction workers, by contrast, are unemployed at nearly
three times the rate of government workers.


Public employees tend to be more educated and experienced than the
average private-sector worker, so one could argue that government
workers just naturally have lower unemployment rates. The figure above
tests this possibility, comparing public-sector unemployment rates with
the unemployment rates of comparably skilled workers in the private
sector over time. In other words, the private-sector line shows the
unemployment rate that a typical public worker might face if he took his
skills to the private sector.


Much of the difference between the two lines — an average of 3.3
percentage points over the past eleven years — is likely to reflect a
perk of government work, one that public employees have enjoyed for a
long time. That the gap narrowed slightly in 2011 — after exploding
since 2008 — isn’t evidence that the private sector is “doing fine” and
the public sector is ailing. In this context, arguing for a bailout of
state and local governments seems rather shortsighted.

"The
private sector is doing fine." Really Mr. Obama, with an unemployment
rate that is just about TWICE that of the public sector the private
sector is doing FINE and you want to add more state and local government
jobs?


rate public sector private sector fine add local government jobs
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  • Machinegunn 2012/06/16 19:09:31
    Machinegunn
    +1
    ......Sounds like another "DIVIDE and CONQUER" headline!!!...Typical CONS like to VILIFY "HARD WORKERS" in AMERICA, and PRAISE the constant LOWERING of WAGES!!!......
  • Don Leuty 2012/06/15 06:15:01
    Don Leuty
    +2
    Yeah, right. We should hire more non-productive jobs so that the producers that are paying more for the non-producers.

    We should actually be cutting public sector jobs, pay, and benefits by about 10% per year for the next 4 or 5 years, or until workloads, pay, and benefits are commensurate with the private sector. The public sector should not be outpacing their employers, the taxpayers.
  • Ken Don Leuty 2012/06/15 22:51:24
    Ken
    +2
    Your are right on the pay cuts! In Wisconsin the unions received 28% more in pay and benefits for equivalent jobs before Scott Walker's reforms - after the reforms they still receive 22% more! I can recall back in the 1960s when they were calling for equivalency between civil service and private sector pay, because pay in the private sector was higher. They've gone overboard and now public sector pay, especially in the federal government, is way higher than the "producers'" pay.
  • Don Leuty Ken 2012/06/16 05:11:13
    Don Leuty
    +2
    The SEIU failed to recognize the public sector cycle. It is not in phase with private sector. During boom times, the private sector races ahead of the public sector. During bust times, the public sector races past the private sector.

    Also, the job security of the public sector makes it prudent to allow the private sector to pay for a certain level of risk. The private sector reacts faster to pressure to reduce salaries than the public sector.

    Collective bargaining in the public sector as changed the compensation graph from a gentle uptrending wave to a straight line with a positive slope, while the private sector continues on its roller coaster business cycle.

    It is time to bring salaries, benefits, and working condition back in line. Industry is having to streamline, government need to follow suit.
  • Ken Don Leuty 2012/06/16 16:44:48
    Ken
    +2
    And yet, during a downturn, Obama has increased federal government employment by 11%.
  • Don Leuty Ken 2012/06/16 20:56:56
    Don Leuty
    Kinda reminds you of the guy who ran to the wrong end zone, doesn't it?
  • Kaleokualoha 2012/06/15 03:44:20
    Kaleokualoha
    +1
    On the other hand, one could argue that that unemployed are NOT part of the private sector. He may have said that the private sector is doing fine, but that's only one segment of the economy, which itself is only one segment of American life.

    "Capitalism doesn’t exist to employ people — only to make profits. The President makes the correct reference that the private sector is doing just fine. They are at all an all-time high in profits. The Dow is up 50% since Jan 2009, the NASDAQ is up, the S&P; is up. All is up except employment. So the President was correct. I think we can all agree on this because as you continue to note corporations (capitalists) don’t exist to employ people — just make money and they are doing just fine in that." - http://www.washingtonpost.com...

    Our national debt isn't doing fine, nor is the sustainability of Social Security. Our balance of trade sucks, our physical infrastructure requires major repairs, far too many Americans sit in jail for drug crimes, and our healthcare and education systems need overhaul.

    Obviously everything is NOT okay. But the private sector, per se, IS doing fine - at least in comparison to many other segments of society.

    "The way to combat noxious ideas is with other ideas. The way to combat falsehoods is with truth."...
    On the other hand, one could argue that that unemployed are NOT part of the private sector. He may have said that the private sector is doing fine, but that's only one segment of the economy, which itself is only one segment of American life.

    "Capitalism doesn’t exist to employ people — only to make profits. The President makes the correct reference that the private sector is doing just fine. They are at all an all-time high in profits. The Dow is up 50% since Jan 2009, the NASDAQ is up, the S&P; is up. All is up except employment. So the President was correct. I think we can all agree on this because as you continue to note corporations (capitalists) don’t exist to employ people — just make money and they are doing just fine in that." - http://www.washingtonpost.com...

    Our national debt isn't doing fine, nor is the sustainability of Social Security. Our balance of trade sucks, our physical infrastructure requires major repairs, far too many Americans sit in jail for drug crimes, and our healthcare and education systems need overhaul.

    Obviously everything is NOT okay. But the private sector, per se, IS doing fine - at least in comparison to many other segments of society.

    "The way to combat noxious ideas is with other ideas. The way to combat falsehoods is with truth." - William O. Douglas
    (more)
  • truthzx95 Kaleoku... 2012/06/15 03:52:36
    truthzx95
    +2
    you are one of the top two delusional leftists on sodahead.
  • Kaleoku... truthzx95 2012/06/15 04:00:16
    Kaleokualoha
    +1
    Wow! I'm in superb company! Who's the other one??
  • truthzx95 Kaleoku... 2012/06/15 04:19:59
    truthzx95
    +2
    jeremiah. he's just slightly nuttier than you. but it's so close i would be splitting hairs.
  • Ken Kaleoku... 2012/06/15 22:58:23
    Ken
    +1
    Overall unemployment is at 8.2%, real unemployment, U-6 which measures underemployment and part-time workers who want full-time work, is near 16%, while the "public sector" unemployment is a a mere 4.2%. Any way you want to spin it, the "private sector" isn't doing fine in comparison to the public sector which has an unemployment rate between one-half and one-fourth, depending on which measure you use.

    Did you miss the point that Obama was calling for more public sector employment when the unemployment rate is just 4.2% in the public sector? Are you happy with the way our economy is performing? Are you happy with the fact that government spending as a percentage of the GDP has increased by almost 25% under President Obama, from 20% of GDP to 25%? Do you think that it is healthy (for the economy) to have government spending at 25% of GDP?

    "The way to combat noxious ideas is with other ideas. The way to combat falsehoods is with truth." - William O. Douglas
  • Kaleoku... Ken 2012/06/15 23:37:45
    Kaleokualoha
    +1
    Do you think that it is healthy (for the economy) to have government spending at 25% of GDP?

    Sure. Why not? German government spending is over 45% of GDP.
  • Ken Kaleoku... 2012/06/16 00:06:15
    Ken
    +1
    The U.S. economy has typically performed best when government spending has been less than 20% of GDP, usually at around 18%. Aside from wartime, 25% is approaching a record for government spending.

    I note that you declined to answer the other questions.
  • Kaleoku... Ken 2012/06/16 04:03:55
    Kaleokualoha
    +1
    My happiness with the economy is irrelevant.
  • Ken Kaleoku... 2012/06/16 04:13:04
    Ken
    +1
    Not when you argue that ". . .the private sector, per se, IS doing fine. . ."
  • Kaleoku... Ken 2012/06/16 18:57:29
    Kaleokualoha
    +1
    "Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not to his own facts." - Daniel Moynihan
  • Kaleoku... Ken 2012/06/16 19:34:00
    Kaleokualoha
    A comparison with other nations indicates that US taxes are an EXTREMELY LOW percentage of GDP compared to virtually every other advanced country. See http://www.taxpolicycenter.or...
  • wtw 2012/06/15 03:19:07
    wtw
    +1
    Obama has an agenda and it is getting more people employed in the public sector
  • Ken wtw 2012/06/15 23:00:44
    Ken
    The highest concentration of union membership in the U.S. is in public sector jobs, the very place in which that FDR said unions have no place.
  • Kane Fernau 2012/06/14 22:57:23
    Kane Fernau
    More public sector union employees will boost the economy. Obama has increased government workers by 11% and everything is so good we should hire more teachers.
  • Ken Kane Fe... 2012/06/14 23:35:02
    Ken
    +2
    I can't tell if you're serious or if that's tongue-in-cheek.
  • Kane Fe... Ken 2012/06/15 00:19:33
    Kane Fernau
    +1
    I'm getting it down. I like pretending I'm a lib then I realize I'm acting like a jack ass.
  • Ken Kane Fe... 2012/06/15 02:19:33
    Ken
    +2
    LOL - I thought so.
  • Temlakos~POTL~PWCM~JLA~☆ 2012/06/14 22:46:35
    Temlakos~POTL~PWCM~JLA~☆
    +5
    Of course, to him, "the private sector is doing fine." There shouldn't even *be* a private sector, by his way of thinking.
  • doofiegirl POTL~PWCM~JLA 2012/06/14 20:50:28
    doofiegirl  POTL~PWCM~JLA
    +3
    I think both Biden and Odimwit Love the taste of shoe leather! They keep their feet in their mouths a Lot! This one is going to come back to bite Odimwit in the butt! Even the Dums are having trouble digesting it! http://www.sodahead.com/unite...
  • No nonsense NanC...don't BS... 2012/06/14 20:45:32
    No nonsense NanC...don't BS me!
    +2
    great article. I think if one looks at Wisconsin, the newest state government to
    do something about the oppressive cost of public sector contracts....usually negotiated
    by elected officials the unions have helped put into office, the state is
    balancing its budget, lowering class size, which must mean they are hiring teachers,
    and dropping oppressive property taxes for the states residents. Maybe the
    government should look at what these states are doing to balance their budgets and
    provide better services to the taxpayers of that state.
  • ProudProgressive 2012/06/14 20:39:15
    ProudProgressive
    +1
    How many times are the Republicans going to embarrass themselves by trying to make something out of an out of context statement that no one takes literally? What the President said, for those Right Wingers (namely, most of them) incapable of thinking in more than two second sound bytes, was that recovery efforts directed at improving the private sector are "doing fine" at moving the numbers in the right direction, given that 4 and a half million private sector jobs have been created since the Obama recovery began. His point was that the Right Wing's obsession with cutting jobs in the public sector is a greater problem than the current state of the private sector. Without draconian public sector cuts the unemployment rate would be at least a full point lower right now, and with Mitt Romney promising to fire teachers, firemen and police officers, the focus on the private sector to the exclusion of all else is counterproductive at best.

    Even your own chart demonstrates this - private sector unemployment is going down, as it should. Public sector unemployment is going up. Right Wingers conveniently forget that it was massive spending to create millions of public sector jobs by Franklin Roosevelt ended the Great Depression.
  • Ken ProudPr... 2012/06/14 20:58:33 (edited)
    Ken
    +2
    It seems you, just like your vaunted leader, have no understanding of our economy. Even if 4.3 million private sector jobs have been created during the Obama administration (and the numbers are suspect!) that only amounts to an average of 120,000 a month. Economists estimate that it takes between 150,000 and 250,000 new jobs per month just to provide for new entries into the job market. With just 120,000 a month, that's a shortfall of between 30,000 and 130,000 a month - which is why the unemployment rate which was 6.5% when Obama entered office has grown to 8.2%. (And that's not including the millions who have given up and left the job market - real unemployment, U-6, is around 15%!).

    How you can continue to defend a guy who urges another bailout for state and local governments when the public sector unemployment rate is just over 4% (considered by most economists to be full employment when applied to the private sector!) is beyond me.

    Draconian public sector cuts? Once again, the public sector unemployment rate is 4.2%! What is it that you don't understand about the need for both state and local governments to cut spending and balance their budgets? Our governments, at every level, are so bloated that the economy cannot support them - if we follow the path that Obama wou...





    It seems you, just like your vaunted leader, have no understanding of our economy. Even if 4.3 million private sector jobs have been created during the Obama administration (and the numbers are suspect!) that only amounts to an average of 120,000 a month. Economists estimate that it takes between 150,000 and 250,000 new jobs per month just to provide for new entries into the job market. With just 120,000 a month, that's a shortfall of between 30,000 and 130,000 a month - which is why the unemployment rate which was 6.5% when Obama entered office has grown to 8.2%. (And that's not including the millions who have given up and left the job market - real unemployment, U-6, is around 15%!).

    How you can continue to defend a guy who urges another bailout for state and local governments when the public sector unemployment rate is just over 4% (considered by most economists to be full employment when applied to the private sector!) is beyond me.

    Draconian public sector cuts? Once again, the public sector unemployment rate is 4.2%! What is it that you don't understand about the need for both state and local governments to cut spending and balance their budgets? Our governments, at every level, are so bloated that the economy cannot support them - if we follow the path that Obama would set for us we will end up like Greece, Spain and Italy.

    Your words: Right Wingers conveniently forget that it was massive spending to create millions of public sector jobs by Franklin Roosevelt ended the Great Depression.

    LMAO! Are you still trying to peddle that lie? FDR DID NOT end the depression!

    “We have tried spending money. We are spending more than we have ever spent before and it does not work. I want to see this country prosperous. I want to see people get a job. I want to see people get enough to eat. We have never made good on our promises. I say after eight years of this Administration we have just as much unemployment as when we started. … And an enormous debt to boot!” -- Henry Morgenthau Jr. — Secretary of the Treasury and key architect of FDR’s New Deal, May 9, 1939.
    (more)
  • ProudPr... Ken 2012/06/14 22:08:39
    ProudProgressive
    If you're going to try to rewrite the history of the New Deal then it's obviously pointless to try to correct all of the other mistakes (I'll be charitable and assume you're simply uninformed rather than a liar).
  • Ken ProudPr... 2012/06/14 23:38:57
    Ken
    +3
    Let's review the status of this discussion: You made a bald assertion that FDR's massive spending to create millions of private sector jobs ended the Great Depression, and I, in turn, provided you with a quote from FDR's secretary of the treasury, one of the architects of the "New Deal", who said that it was a failure, that "We have never made good on our promises. I say after eight years of this Administration we have just as much unemployment as when we started. … And an enormous debt to boot!”

    Who is the one who is either misinformed or is a liar? The fact is that supply-side economics have boosted our economy every single time they've been tried: By Coolidge in the 1920s, by JFK, by Reagan and by Bush.
  • truthzx95 ProudPr... 2012/06/15 03:59:13
    truthzx95
    +1
    ken has kicked your sorry leftist a$$ on more occasions than just this one. are you ever gonna' learn you cannot defeat a conservative in the arena of ideas? of course not, you're a radical leftist!
  • truthzx95 ProudPr... 2012/06/15 04:01:54
    truthzx95
    +1
    if you're gonna' use FDR as your model, and argue for more public sector union employees, be honest about what FDR thought of them. he knew they were a bad idea and he made speeches proclaiming so! damn are leftists stupid.
  • Cognito22 ProudPr... 2012/06/14 23:04:12 (edited)
    Cognito22
    +2
    Obama's best argument for himself is a testimony of his failure.
    4.3 million jobs created in more than 2 years is woefully inadequate.
    It will take 3 million jobs each year for the next four years to get unemployment back down to what it was in 2007.

    Obama's gaffe was based on his attempt to deflect criticism away from himself and place blame at the state level. (His press conference was a shameless use of the White House for campaigning. There was no need for him to hold a news conference and not tell us anything new.)
    The President has very little to do with jobs for teachers, police and firefighters.
    With the exception of another stimulus, he has no effect whatsoever. And all that would accomplish is to transfer debt from the states to the federal level.

    Funny thing is, (I tend to think absurdities are amusing), the same thing President Obama says he is not responsible for he blames Romney for. Romney, as President could not "fire teachers, firemen and police officers" anymore than President Obama.
  • Ken Cognito22 2012/06/14 23:45:09 (edited)
    Ken
    +2
    Obama's "progressive" mentality is taking over. To him, a tax cut for anyone isn't allowing them to keep their own money, it's giving them money that belongs to the federal government. Same with state and local jobs - they are really federal (union) jobs and the federal government must fund the states (which can't print their own money thte way Obama can) to keep from losing all of those union-dues/democrat-donations.

    Wisconsin has been a major disaster for the Dems, union membership has fallen nearly 70% since the forced deduction of union dues from government pay has been ended!
  • BoJay 2012/06/14 20:38:58
  • Ken BoJay 2012/06/14 21:00:54
    Ken
    +3
    That's a really scrawny butt!

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