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Soda head posters say it's dead-even...Polls say Obama ahead in Colorado, Iowa and Wisconsin: Do you agree with Soda Head posters ?

Jeff King 2012/09/20 23:07:33
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Kevin Lamarque / Reuters

President Barack Obama shakes hands after holding a round table discussion with first time voters at OMG Burger in Miami on Sept. 20, 2012.

President Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney in Colorado, Iowa and Wisconsin, reaching the key 50 percent support threshold in all three battlegrounds, according to the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls of these states.

In both Colorado and Wisconsin, Obama is ahead by 5 points among likely voters (including those learning toward a candidate), 50 percent to 45 percent.

And in Iowa, the president’s edge over Romney is 8 points, 50 percent to 42 percent.

Read the Colorado poll results here (.pdf)

Among a wider sample of registered voters, Obama’s lead is even larger – 6 points in Colorado, 8 in Wisconsin and 11 in Iowa. While Obama still hasn't closed the deal, says Marist College pollster Lee Miringoff, “The advantage is his in all three states.”

He adds, “It is very important in an election when you start closing in on 50 [percent]. In politics that is a big number.”

The results from these new polls are similar to the NBC/WSJ/Marist surveys of Florida, Ohio and Virginia that were released last week. Those showed Obama ahead in all three battlegrounds. And they’re consistent with this week’snational NBC/WSJ poll (conducted by different pollsters) that found Obama up by 5 points among likely voters, 50 percent to 45 percent.

Romney’s favorability vs. Obama’s
These new surveys – conducted after the political firestorm over last week’s attacks on U.S. embassies in Libya and Egypt, and during the melee over a leaked video of Romney talking about the “47 percent” of Americans who are dependent on government and believe they are victims – also show the Republican’s favorability rating in an unenviable place.A plurality of likely voters view Romney in a negative light in all three states. In Colorado, it’s 43 percent favorable to 50 percent unfavorable; in Iowa, it’s 42 percent to 50 percent; and in Wisconsin, it’s 43 percent to 46 percent.

By contrast, out of last week’s polls in Florida, Ohio and Virginia, just one of them – Ohio – found Romney’s favorable/unfavorable rating under water.

Read the Wisconsin poll results here (.pdf)

Meanwhile, Obama’s favorable/unfavorable scores in Colorado (51 percent to 45 percent), Iowa (53 percent to 42 percent), and Wisconsin (51 percent to 44 percent) are all above water.

Romney casts himself as 'change' candidate in seizing on Obama comment

Yet the president’s job approval rating in these states is a bit lower – 47 percent in Colorado, 48 percent in Wisconsin, and 49 percent in Iowa.

Tied on the economy
According to these polls, Obama and Romney are essentially battling to a tie on the question of which candidate would do a better job in handling the economy. In Wisconsin, 46 percent of likely voters pick Romney, while 45 percent select Obama.

But in Colorado, the president gets 48 percent, and the GOP nominee gets 46 percent. And in Iowa, Obama is up by four points, 47 percent to 43 percent.

Read the Iowa poll results here (.pdf)

Yet when it comes to which candidate would do a better job on foreign policy, the president enjoys a double-digit advantage in all three states.

Other notable numbers

  • In Republican running mate Paul Ryan’s home state of Wisconsin, his favorable/unfavorable score among likely voters is 49 percent to 40 percent (versus 51 percent to 44 percent for Obama, 43 percent to 46 percent for Romney, and 42 percent to 45 percent for Vice President Joe Biden).
  • In Wisconsin’s competitive Senate contest, Democrat Tammy Baldwin gets support from 48 percent of likely voters, and Republican Tommy Thompson gets 46 percent.
  • Obama is ahead among independents in all three states – by 1 point in Wisconsin, 10 points in Iowa and 11 points in Colorado.
  • And there’s a significant gender gap in these three states, with the president up by double digits among women and with Romney slightly ahead among men.

The NBC/WSJ/Marist polls were conducted Sept. 16-18 of 971 likely voters in Colorado (which has a margin of error of plus-minus 3.1 percentage points), 898 likely voters in Iowa (plus-minus 3.3 percentage points) and 968 likely voters in Wisconsin (plus-minus 3.2 percentage points).

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  • charles nelson 2012/09/21 00:32:54
    None of the above
    charles nelson
    +1
    SH posters keep postin and he keeps diggin bigger holes.
  • CAROLYN NTARWNJBS 2012/09/21 00:29:22
    Soda head poster are wrong as two left shoes
    CAROLYN NTARWNJBS
    +1
    This is a right wing site with extremists not functioning in reality.
  • Jeff King CAROLYN... 2012/09/21 01:36:35
  • CAROLYN... Jeff King 2012/09/21 01:40:41
    CAROLYN NTARWNJBS
    Lol, I don't know, how much do you love it? :)
  • Jeff King CAROLYN... 2012/09/21 01:49:53
  • CAROLYN... Jeff King 2012/09/21 01:59:18
    CAROLYN NTARWNJBS
    +1
    If we have,we can again. :)
  • mrk5panzer 2012/09/21 00:03:13
    None of the above
    mrk5panzer
    We on the right know that when the left start spouting numbers that its close my Butt.
    He is out of their and all the wind the libs blow our way is nothing but hot air.
  • Grabitz 2012/09/20 23:33:14
    Soda head poster are wrong as two left shoes
    Grabitz
    +2
    They say that for the small minded people who believe them . Their entire campaign has been full of crap and cant figure out that it only makes Obama supporters work that much harder for Obama . Well makes no difference romney is blowing his own campaign .
  • mrk5panzer Grabitz 2012/09/21 00:06:13
    mrk5panzer
    You know Obama's out of their come Nov. and no matter how hard you rub that lamp nothing is going to save him.
  • Grabitz mrk5panzer 2012/09/21 00:22:14
    Grabitz
    +1
    No I don't think so this time unless Obama screws up as bad as Romney did . It was going good until Romney blew off 47% of the people .
  • mrk5panzer Grabitz 2012/09/21 00:49:09
    mrk5panzer
    I have no problem with that statement of 47% are in Obamas pocket,its the truth. Mitts got my vote!
  • Grabitz mrk5panzer 2012/09/21 01:08:34
    Grabitz
    +1
    The red republican welfare states are not in Obamas pocket . Its all red states that are welfare states besides Texas and one blue state . Maybe Romney was talking about his people I don't know but I do know us blue states hate welfare . Even here in Detroit we give them 3 years to be on it and thats it for life . We also make them go to a Work first program 35 hours a week or until they get a job get drug tested clean them up and send them on their way . Sometimes people need a helping hand . I agree some abuse the system but not in Michigan because we simply do not let them .
  • mrk5panzer Grabitz 2012/09/21 19:36:40
    mrk5panzer
    Detroit! really, not the same Detroit that Fox interviewed all those people that were standing in the welfare lines telling everyone that they were their to get the Obama Money that had no idea were it was coming from.
    Just another misunderstanding or is it?
  • Grabitz mrk5panzer 2012/09/21 19:54:28
    Grabitz
    Lolz yep same Detroit . Why do you think they was all happy ? They figured they had it made " NOT " . Everyone thinks people left Detroit because its so bad , truth is they was all welfare lifers and we sent them all your way .


    http://www.ehow.com/info_8053...
  • Jeff King mrk5panzer 2012/09/21 01:43:53 (edited)
  • mrk5panzer Jeff King 2012/09/21 19:45:35
    mrk5panzer
    Yes I agree but these states are also very heavy in Illegal Alien and Blacks can't claim taxes from people that are here illegal.
  • Joe Shwingding BN-ZERO 2012/09/20 23:10:15
    Soda head poster are wrong as two left shoes
    Joe Shwingding BN-ZERO
    +3
    wishful thinking from far right extremists with no platform or grip on reality.
  • mrk5panzer Joe Shw... 2012/09/21 00:09:04
    mrk5panzer
    +1
    You speak of reality,man you better put down that tea cup and take a big breath. Your way out there aren't you?
    magic musroom
  • Joe Shw... mrk5panzer 2012/09/21 00:36:27
    Joe Shwingding BN-ZERO
    you assume too much and have trouble with thought outside what the lame stream media spoon feeds you huh? I can tell.
  • mrk5panzer Joe Shw... 2012/09/21 00:51:12
    mrk5panzer
    +1
    And you my friend are one of those that pushs on a door when it says pull to open.
  • Joe Shw... mrk5panzer 2012/09/21 00:58:59
    Joe Shwingding BN-ZERO
    and you came to that conclusion all on your own? Yeah, good luck with selling that assessment
  • mrk5panzer Joe Shw... 2012/09/21 19:46:19
    mrk5panzer
    Done!
  • CAROLYN... Joe Shw... 2012/09/21 00:30:16
    CAROLYN NTARWNJBS
    +2
    Reality is a big problem here. lol

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