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SAVAGE: 'Don't believe the big lie of the latest Gallup polls'

FairLady 2012/09/23 18:22:13
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To me personally it makes a perfect sense: the Gallup polls are not really reliable. Recognize the same 47% spread ?? Please read the M. Savage's article below.

What do you think, guys?

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Savage looked back to the
notoriously inaccurate 1980 polls that predicted a solid victory for
Jimmy Carter and explained exactly why, time after time, such polls fail
to reflect what American voters are really thinking.


He reminded listeners that Gallup had Carter up four points against Reagan in September 1980, then added:


For those
of you who are starting to believe the big lie of Gallup (which is a
poll that exists only for the Democrat machine), for those of you who
are losing heart because of the liars in the media, let me reassure you.


Think about
that 1980 Gallup poll, which was just unearthed by Gateway Pundit
blogger Jim Hoft. It had Carter up over Reagan in mid-September, but it
gets even more instructive.


Later, according to Gallup, Carter was up over Reagan by eight points that October!


Then in the final Gallup poll before the election, it showed that Ronald Reagan only had 47% of the vote.


Doesn’t
that sound familiar? Ironically it’s the same figure – “47 percent” –
that the media is now using to spread lies about Romney.


Let’s look back at what happened during the actual 1980 election. Reagan won by 50.8 percent of the vote.


So listen: Reagan ended up winning by nine points and taking 44 states.


The reason
these polls are all wrong is because conservatives usually hang up on
people who call them with a poll question, or they’re never called at
all, or the pollsters load up the survey sample with Democrats and
illegal aliens.


The important thing to remember is: You have to vote and you have to get other people out to vote. Period.





Read More: http://www.michaelsavage.wnd.com/2012/09/savage-do...

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Top Opinion

  • texasred 2012/09/23 19:36:14
    I agree with M. Savage... it all makes sense
    texasred
    +14
    Justice Dept. Gallup lawsuit came after Axelrod criticized pollsters

    Internal emails between senior officials at The Gallup Organization, obtained by The Daily Caller, show senior Obama campaign adviser David Axelrod attempting to subtly intimidate the respected polling firm when its numbers were unfavorable to the president.

    After Gallup declined to change its polling methodology, Obama’s Department of Justice hit it with an unrelated lawsuit that appears damning on its face.

    Read more: http://dailycaller.com/2012/0...

    I seriously doubt that Gallup wasn't intimidated. Look what's happened to Gibson Guitars.

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  • FairLady texasred 2012/09/24 01:00:42 (edited)
    FairLady
    +3
    Aha... it proves the poll's question. Thank you so much, Barb. Excellent comment.
    Gallup go to Hell. LOL

    Let them show Obama 10 points .. only naive liberals will believe them as they are so damn gullible.
  • texasred FairLady 2012/09/24 02:17:50
    texasred
    I just hope it doesn't make Romney voters think it's a lost cause and make them feel like they might as well not vote. I'm counting on it making them want to get out there and vote even more!!
  • ReconMarine~AVA/POTL/JLA/PWCM 2012/09/23 19:34:20
    I agree with M. Savage... it all makes sense
    ReconMarine~AVA/POTL/JLA/PWCM
    +7
    Polls are A Guide, only....
    Most are skewed to favor the Incumbent, or the Favored in that State race...
    The NBC Poll a week or so ago for Instance...The Ratio's Between DEM, REP and INDEP...Was so Skewed to the DEM Favor...
  • Striker ReconMa... 2012/09/24 00:58:59
    Striker
    +2
    but but but everyone LOVES the Dem-Rep monopoly!
  • FairLady ReconMa... 2012/09/24 01:21:12
    FairLady
    Excellent point, my friend! TY so much.
  • V~POTL~PWCM~JLA 2012/09/23 19:31:25 (edited)
    Undecided (please comment)
    V~POTL~PWCM~JLA
    +6
    The polls have a difficult task estimating which responders will actually vote. For starters, not everyone will answer their phone without using caller ID to reject an unsolicited call. Of those who do answer, a disproportionate number are elderly. A great deal of guesswork goes into calculating fudge factors to approximate the demographics of previous elections.

    Many people voted for Obama in 2008 simply because he was the first black candidate in history. Just look back at the testimonials from celebrities during that campaign. They certainly weren't promoting his experience or record of accomplishment -- because there was nothing to speak of. Now that the novelty is a distant memory and reality has set in, how many of them will be back to vote in 2012? Even among those who still claim to be Obama voters, how many will stay home and watch TV on election day?

    If the demographics of 2012 are similar to 2008, Obama has a good chance of winning. But if the turnout is more like 2000 or 2004, he's in trouble.

    A re-election campaign is the incumbent's race to lose. But if he fails to build up a lead going into the final week, the challenger gets most of the undecided vote. All of the attack ads in the world won't change the fact that undecided voters tend to elect challeng...

    The polls have a difficult task estimating which responders will actually vote. For starters, not everyone will answer their phone without using caller ID to reject an unsolicited call. Of those who do answer, a disproportionate number are elderly. A great deal of guesswork goes into calculating fudge factors to approximate the demographics of previous elections.

    Many people voted for Obama in 2008 simply because he was the first black candidate in history. Just look back at the testimonials from celebrities during that campaign. They certainly weren't promoting his experience or record of accomplishment -- because there was nothing to speak of. Now that the novelty is a distant memory and reality has set in, how many of them will be back to vote in 2012? Even among those who still claim to be Obama voters, how many will stay home and watch TV on election day?

    If the demographics of 2012 are similar to 2008, Obama has a good chance of winning. But if the turnout is more like 2000 or 2004, he's in trouble.

    A re-election campaign is the incumbent's race to lose. But if he fails to build up a lead going into the final week, the challenger gets most of the undecided vote. All of the attack ads in the world won't change the fact that undecided voters tend to elect challengers when the incumbent has not proven his case for a second term. The more attack ads Obama runs on TV, the more obvious his failure to prove the case for a second term.

    If I was a sitting President who saw the handwriting on the wall and was simply angry about losing, I would run attack ads ever day and quietly look for a retirement property in Hawaii. Oh, wait... http://beforeitsnews.com/elec...
    (more)
  • templer003 2012/09/23 19:29:53
    Undecided (please comment)
    templer003
    +10
    here in the middle of Ohio, when i go out for the most part I hear people saying Mitt. over Obama, the ones who still insist obama are for the most part either on the govt. teet in some way, have the " I am a victim " mentality, or are just stuck on his half black part of his skin....
    When you present the facts to them they get real upset and go into deniable chatter.. churchill on socialism lipstick on obama lipstick on obama
  • YesME templer003 2012/09/23 19:50:28
  • jean YesME 2012/09/23 20:36:50 (edited)
    jean
    +10
    So now what is Owebama doing with our money!!?? Sending it overseas (29 billion of our stimulus money)? Paying off his buddies? Solyndra, Planned Parenthood, Chevy Volt - oh wow!?

    Wow the person below attacks me then blocks me so that I can't answer!! Coward or what??
  • YesME jean 2012/09/23 22:08:00
    YesME
    Your views are very myopic.
    bain capital
    GOPocrisy
    GOPocrisy
  • Mike56 YesME 2012/09/27 21:41:44
    Mike56
    you seem to lose this argument
  • YesME Mike56 2012/09/28 17:12:31
  • Mike56 Mike56 2012/09/28 21:51:47
    Mike56
    YesME follows the suit of her soul mates, obmanoid empty suits, and blocked me - as they are apparently instructed to by their bosses, if their opponents beat their "arguments"
  • marcuss... jean 2012/09/23 23:12:22
    marcuss LIBERALS ARE IDIOTS
    +5
    Yes a coward.
  • templer003 YesME 2012/09/23 22:12:27
    templer003
    +6
    Are you old enough to remember the polls in the Carter/Regan race ?? lmao the polls had Carter in the lead by a wide margin even in October...but in November Regan won by a even wider margin....
    Yea praise obama for 43 striate months of 11% or higher REAL UN employment..
    Praise him for having the USA's AAA rating DOWNGRADED 3 times...
    Praise him for having the middle class LOOSE over $4,000.00 income annually.
    Shall I go on little girl ?? Are you ready to deal with FACTS ???
  • YesME templer003 2012/09/23 22:26:10
  • marcuss... YesME 2012/09/23 23:14:22
    marcuss LIBERALS ARE IDIOTS
    +3
    0WEbamas jobs plan does not even have democrat support.
  • templer003 YesME 2012/09/24 00:19:25
    templer003
    +2
    Yup those " shovel ready " jobs that he was soooooo keen on, well they wen't all that " ready now was they... obama FAIL
    Solendra...ANOTHER epic FAIL..
    the GM Volt...FAIL...
    Auto bail out will COST taxpayer's 23.77 BILLION.....FAIL
    LMAO got any more cute pictures little girl ??? empty chair obama fail
  • YesME templer003 2012/09/24 01:05:50
    YesME
    I'll tell you who has failed

    This racist
    Trouble with the curve

    Democrats are boycotting your commedian

    clown clint eastwood

    Now who is laughing?
  • templer003 YesME 2012/09/24 01:43:18
    templer003
    +1
    Lmao....little girl, little girl I use facts and pictures...all you have is pictures and NO facts....I am very sure that Mr. Eastwood could care less if every democrat in the US boycotted him, however I am also sure that there are Democrats who see Obama for what he is a MARXIST who would destroy America, besides Eastwood has more than enough power and money to shrug off any lame boycott...
    NOW show me PROOF that he is a racist and DO try using facts and not wishful thinking..
    Last but not least show me where Obama has lowered the natl. debt.
    Show me where the middle class is growing both in numbers and economical strength..
    show me where the USA is safer today..
    You can not because his every policy has failed to the max.. drank the kool aid sucker
  • YesME templer003 2012/09/24 01:54:18
    YesME
    To Boycott Clint Eastwoods new movie click here

    http://www.facebook.com/Boyco...
  • Mike56 YesME 2012/09/27 21:45:42
    Mike56
    boycott movies, because you don't like his viewes?
    well, the left are just slaves of their totalitarian fuehrers - have always been anf probably will always be.
  • FairLady templer003 2012/09/24 01:28:06 (edited)
    FairLady
    +2
    @yesMe is probably young and doesn't remember those polls.

    Templer, this a good example - the Reagan-Carter fake polls when Carter was shown way ahead. These polls mean nothing at all.
  • templer003 FairLady 2012/09/24 01:43:52
    templer003
    +1
    That is correct the vote will be what matters..
  • templer003 FairLady 2012/09/24 02:09:22
    templer003
    +1
    @ yesme ROFLMAO OMG you are a spoiled little child !!!!! When an adult comes and uses FACTS about your beloved Obama , YOU act like a little bitch and BLOCK rather than hold an informative dialog.. I am not using to big of words on you am I ???
    I went to the link why oh my gosh there is a whole 47 people going to block Mr. Eastwood's next movie.....to funny for words... Now be a good little Obam rodent and go play in traffic, I do hope that you will not breed, the human race needs people with working minds, not slaves..
  • Striker templer003 2012/09/24 00:57:06
    Striker
    +2
    And where's Gary Johnson in the polls (a rising star!)?

    Gary Johnson

    He may end up being the winner, and will otherwise have a big impact on the outcome.
  • templer003 Striker 2012/09/24 01:46:14
    templer003
    +1
    I do not know where he is or if he is even listed, for right now we need to get behind Mitt, and once he is in office we must surly hold his feet to the fire, then next election cycle we need to get more people like Mr. Johnson in all levels of office and keep at it till we restore the honor of all public offices..
  • FairLady templer003 2012/09/24 01:23:09
  • templer003 FairLady 2012/09/24 01:46:40
  • Dagon 2012/09/23 19:22:31
  • nofrills 2012/09/23 19:11:16
    Undecided (please comment)
    nofrills
    +9
    This election is going to expose one of the big flaws in the Cloward & Piven strategy, the fact that they didn't truly understand the American people. If you overload an unprepared nation you can then replace the govt. If you overload the United States, we the people will fight back. Obama has done enough to trigger the knee jerk reaction in the people and he will get kicked out of office. I think the coming generations will become more aware of the dangers of overspending and diminished liberties, and strengthen the values of responsibility and freedom.
    GOMITT
  • Oaces_b... nofrills 2012/09/23 19:43:24
  • George Romney 2012/09/23 19:09:24 (edited)
    This is nonsense.. our Gallup polls are accurate
    George Romney
    Gallup is accurate about what's going on RIGHT NOW. Just as they were in 1980. In September, people were generally of the opinion that Jimmy Carter should be re-elected. But Mr. Reagan worked over-time throughout September and into October to pull the Kennedy Democrats out from under Carter, solidify the Republican base and reach out to Independents. And guess what? Gallup had Reagan up in their last polls of the election. And if you followed the trend lines in Gallup - and other pollsters - polls that showed undecideds going more and more for Reagan, you would reach that same margin of victory Reagan got over Carter.

    Even people like Glenn Beck draw parallels between 2012 and 1980, but none of them say the polls are wrong right now, they think Romney is going to make a surge. Mr. Savage seems to just not like facts that don't support his view 100%.
  • texasred George ... 2012/09/23 19:34:23
    texasred
    +6
    Justice Dept. Gallup lawsuit came after Axelrod criticized pollsters

    Read more: http://dailycaller.com/2012/0...

    Sure makes you wonder.
  • tommyg ... George ... 2012/09/23 19:34:51
    tommyg - POTL- PWCM-JLA
    +4
    Well then, the polls are useless. imho
  • George ... tommyg ... 2012/09/23 19:43:24
    George Romney
    +2
    Polls ask people what they currently feel. Of course that cannot possibly be 100% accurate in judging how people will feel over a month from now.
  • DoxieDad 2012/09/23 18:59:20
    Undecided (please comment)
    DoxieDad
    +2
    If Micheal Savage said the sky is blue I would go out to make sure for myself. The guy is a right wing loon that makes Hannity look moderate.
    As for current polling, it makes good fodder for the political pundits and for the party zealots. For the rest of us the only poll that counts is the one taken on election day. People who are going to vote or not vote based on current political polls should do us all a favor and stay home.
  • Oaces_boss_yo® 2012/09/23 18:47:48
  • Stryder 2012/09/23 18:43:45
    I agree with M. Savage... it all makes sense
    Stryder
    +5
    Gallup has been oversampling to intentionally skew the polls in favor of Obama.
  • I. Car Rus 2012/09/23 18:30:29
    Undecided (please comment)
    I. Car Rus
    If Romney could manage to keep his mouth shut for the next four weeks he might gain back some ground. But, what are the odds of that happening?

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