PUBLIC OPINION > SodaHeads Predict Mitt Romney Will Be the Next President
Politics 2012/11/06 20:00:00
In case you failed to notice, it's election day! All that campaigning and debating and politicking has lead up to this 11-hour window. Absentee voters have already done their duty, but if you're walking in, this is your day. Naturally, we asked the public for their poll day predictions, and here they are.
Based on more than 1,500 registered votes (unregistered votes were filtered out to ensure legitimacy), SodaHeads feel Mitt Romney is more likely to come out on top after all the votes are tallied up. As usual, the results were pretty close -- 47% for Obama and 53% for Romney -- but as you know, an election can be decided by the smallest percentile. If Romney can pull the same numbers at the polls, it will be more than enough.
Predictions don't necessarily reflect party affiliations. For instance, an Obama supporter could feel Romney has better odds. However, that was almost never the case here. Nearly every liberal thinks Obama is going to win (92%) and nearly every conservative thinks Romney is going to win (96%). But because conservatives were 4% more confident, and because more of them voted, Romney took the lead.
Middle of the Road
Voters who were not affiliated with either party were much less predictable. The moderate group and the "other" group, both having notable sample sizes, were slightly in favor of Obama. The combination of liberals, moderates, and "other" voters was actually very close to the total number of conservative voters.
Asking the Unemployed
One of the core issues in this election was unemployment, and unemployed voters were largely in favor of Romney. Broken down by employment status, students were actually the only group favoring Obama. As we've noted in previous recaps, young voters are often less likely to vote. Many aren't even allowed to.
If you'd like to vote on this question, dig deeper into the demographics, or engage in existing discussion about the topic, visit our poll about the election. We'd love to hear from you!
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