PUBLIC OPINION > Most Moderates Think That Romney Will Lose the Election
SodaHead News
2012/10/09 19:00:00
By most accounts, last week's debate was a low point for Obama's campaign. Even Obama supporters seemed to concede that Romney was better prepared while the president came off as distant, disheveled, and fatuous. But could that single debate have cost him the election? We asked the public to find out.


Despite Obama's performance in Denver, the popular vote still went to Obama by a small margin. This says very little about the election, but it does tell us that the debate was not enough to swing many votes. That doesn't mean Obama will be able to get away with another lackluster debate, but we'll have to wait and see.
Mitt Hasn't Convinced the Moderates


As usual, liberals and conservatives stuck to their guns. Even supporters who admitted Obama lost the debate were confident their candidate would come back in time for the election. Only 5% of liberals felt Romney would win. However, the big news here is that Obama still took the moderate vote -- by a lot. Only 30% of moderates think Romney will win.
Florida Leans Right


As you may well know, elections aren't necessarily won by popular vote. Rutherford B. Hayes, Benjamin Harrison, and George W. Bush all managed to get elected without the popular vote. As you might remember, Florida was a big deal when Bush won, and Romney appears to have that state on lock-down at the moment.
College Voters Tip the Scales


As expected, college-aged voters still strongly support Obama. This is especially important here because college-aged people are typically less likely to vote. Teens also showed support for Obama, though not as much, and they're obviously not allowed to vote at all. With that in mind, Obama might not be in as good a shape as the overall would suggest.
If you'd like to vote on this question, dig deeper into the demographics, or engage in existing discussion about the topic, visit our poll about the Denver debate. We'd love to hear from you!
Top Opinion
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Fef 2012/10/09 20:29:10






















considers the issue and decides to make a change based on the merits; a liberal is concerned about others and compromises or moves to assist is fellow man; Liberals are willing to change for the good of all. Republicans are afraid of change and don't care about others.
You people do not have (collectively) two good brain cells to rub together.
Gallup;
Romney 49%, Obama 47% Among Likely Voters
Registered voter trend suggests Obama is recovering from post-debate drop
October 9, 2012 (just in time for another whoopin'.
(Reuters) - Republican challenger Mitt Romney has pulled ahead of President Barack Obama in the race for the White House for the first time in more than a month and leads 45 percent to 44 percent among likely voters, according to a Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll released on Wednesday.
Over in the Rasmussen Reports presidential tracking poll Mitt Romney has a 1% lead over President Obama which is within the margin of error. Obama was at 47% compared to 48% for Romney. Third party candidates were at 2% and undecided voters were at 3% nationally. Rasmussen Reports released their latest presidential tracking poll this morning, Friday, October 12, 2012.
Obama Maintains Lead Over Romney in Post-Debate ABC/Post Poll
ABC News/WaPo Poll: Obama Leads Romney By 3 Points
Poll: Obama Leads in Early Votes
Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012 per InTrade
Xbox/YouGov Poll Finds More Undecideds Preferring Obama After Debate, Other Polls Show Obama Win
An update to an election forecasting model announced by two University of Colorado professors in August continues to project that Mitt Romney will win the 2012 presidential election.
According to their updated analysis, Romney is projected to receive 330 of the total 538 Electoral College votes. President Barack Obama is expected to receive 208 votes -- down five votes from their initial prediction -- and short of the 270 needed to win.
http://www.colorado.edu/news/...
These guys have been successful 100% in the last 8 presidential elections.
BTW, from your Huff and Puff link, " Respondents favored Romney on a variety of issues, including the economy (58 percent to 40 percent over Obama), taxes (51 percent to 44 percent) and the budget deficit (59 percent to 36 percent). Romney held a narrower advantage on health care, 49 percent to 46 percent. On foreign policy, 49 percent said Obama would handle it better and 47 percent said Romney would."
What do we vote for, the guy we want to have steel our beer and smokes or the guy that will fix our problems?
'[T]he mastermind behind the "Keys to the White House," continues to cast his lot with Obama.
Since Lichtman used it to predict Regan's win in 1984, the keys have never been wrong. And they are legendary in the world of political science.
Lichtman says the formula is so trusted that it convinced former president Bill Clinton to take the presidential plunge in 1992.'
'Keys' forecasting model predicts an Obama victory (American Public Media)
Most Models Have Obama as the Favorite (New York Times)
http://www.realclearpolitics....
Most predictions for senate and house control are showing Republicans will win.
Intrade - Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012
'Never Wrong' Pundit Sticks By Obama in 2012 (US News & World Report)
...as well as...
Europe's Biggest Betting House Pays Out Early On Obama Victory
http://www.colorado.edu/news/...
http://www.usatoday.com/story...
http://www.gallup.com/poll/15...
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and another two percent (2%) are undecided.
http://www.rasmussenreports.c...
Like I said above, had you bothered to read, polls are like car, you can find them configured anyway you want.