PUBLIC OPINION > Most Moderates Think That Romney Will Lose the Election
SodaHead News 2012/10/09 19:00:00
By most accounts, last week's debate was a low point for Obama's campaign. Even Obama supporters seemed to concede that Romney was better prepared while the president came off as distant, disheveled, and fatuous. But could that single debate have cost him the election? We asked the public to find out.
Despite Obama's performance in Denver, the popular vote still went to Obama by a small margin. This says very little about the election, but it does tell us that the debate was not enough to swing many votes. That doesn't mean Obama will be able to get away with another lackluster debate, but we'll have to wait and see.
Mitt Hasn't Convinced the Moderates
As usual, liberals and conservatives stuck to their guns. Even supporters who admitted Obama lost the debate were confident their candidate would come back in time for the election. Only 5% of liberals felt Romney would win. However, the big news here is that Obama still took the moderate vote -- by a lot. Only 30% of moderates think Romney will win.
Florida Leans Right
As you may well know, elections aren't necessarily won by popular vote. Rutherford B. Hayes, Benjamin Harrison, and George W. Bush all managed to get elected without the popular vote. As you might remember, Florida was a big deal when Bush won, and Romney appears to have that state on lock-down at the moment.
College Voters Tip the Scales
As expected, college-aged voters still strongly support Obama. This is especially important here because college-aged people are typically less likely to vote. Teens also showed support for Obama, though not as much, and they're obviously not allowed to vote at all. With that in mind, Obama might not be in as good a shape as the overall would suggest.
If you'd like to vote on this question, dig deeper into the demographics, or engage in existing discussion about the topic, visit our poll about the Denver debate. We'd love to hear from you!
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