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PUBLIC OPINION > A Libertarian Can Be Elected President One Day

SodaHead News 2012/05/16 22:00:00
As with his 1988 and 2008 presidential campaigns, Ron Paul was able to accumulate an enormously active and responsive following this year, but once again, he's wound up a little short. He's run as a third-party libertarian and as a Republican; he's run in good times and bad; he's remained (relatively) honest and incorruptible in the eyes of the public. Still, nothing. If he can't make it to the Oval Office, will a libertarian candidate ever have a shot? We asked the public.

ron paul recap

The results were pretty close, but in politics, you don't need much of a margin to win. 53% is more than enough to land the presidency, even if you're Grover Cleveland. If we acted like everything that hasn't happened yet could never happen, humanity would never move forward. Will it happen? Who knows. But the point is, it could. This isn't about whether or not you'd want a libertarian president, but whether or not it would be possible to break the two-party system and elect someone outside of the box. As the Top Comment wrote, "At this point, they can only try to forestall the inevitable. A free and voluntary society is coming."

Libertarians Have Faith

Conservatives were a little more likely than liberals to trust that a libertarian president could win, but they were both unconvinced. Same goes for moderates. The only political demographics that thought it could happen were libertarians (obviously) and political "others." The real kicker was how many voters fell into those categories -- 45% combined.

Smokers Could See It Happening

One thing we've noticed in the past is a correlation between smokers and libertarian thinking. We've suggested that maybe recent proposals threatening to slap graphic warnings on packs, or jack the price of a pack up to $100, are the reason smokers are so like-minded. Here, again, smokers were much more likely than nonsmokers to believe libertarians could take the presidency.

High School Hot Spot

In his books, Ron Paul describes the overwhelming response he's gotten from college students who are frustrated with the rigid two-party political structure, but the breakdown shows that college students are no more likely than anyone else. In fact, high school students were the real supporters here. 84% of high schoolers said it's possible -- almost as much as the libertarians themselves.

If you'd like to vote on this question, dig deeper into the demographics, or engage in existing discussion about the topic, visit our poll about libertarian candidates. We'd love to hear from you!
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Top Opinion

  • The Bantam Seditioner 2012/05/17 00:01:07 (edited)
    The Bantam Seditioner
    +17
    All these comments bemoaning how "crazy" and "extreme" Ron Paul is supposed to be would have gotten under my skin at one time, but now they just amuse me, The enemies of liberty finally see the long-term impact of Ron Paul's campaign on the minds and hearts of Americans and they are going into full-blown panic mode.

    Unfortunately - civility and a firm grasp of logic not being most garden-variety statists' strong suit - the only tools left in their arsenal now are sophomoric shaming and social ostracism attempts using flaccid and meaningless buzzwords. "Radical!" "Crazy!" "Extreme!" is the kind of rubbish they bleat about when they can no longer find coherent justifications for their barbarically coercive models of society.

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Opinions

  • Robert Rich 2012/06/10 12:11:57
    Robert Rich
    +2
    There've been Libertarian oriented presidents abroad affiliated with the Libertarian International http://www.Libertarian-Intern...
  • AudioHipster Doyen 2012/05/27 00:24:23
    AudioHipster Doyen
    Public opinion is he is a winner, and is for the American peoples freedoms... others are paid for by the mafia minded, and stick their head up an elephants ass just to get a vote, lick or a dollar... get a clue... others are words he is for real... and all the others are liars... and work for the same elite... wake up and stop choosing based on preference... vote for the person... that cares and sticks to his principles... screw the left and right ... they are paid by the same. DR Ron ... is proven all others are liars.
  • akgold 2012/05/25 04:56:48
    akgold
    Gary Johnson could have won this year if he hadn't been buried by the media.
  • Golden Panther 2012/05/24 18:08:08
    Golden Panther
    Yes, a Ron Paul could be elected some day but it will be much to late to save our sorry asses. The great "evolved one" will have sunk us forever and a day and it will happen in the next four years.
  • Ryoka∞Boy 2012/05/23 08:04:37
    Ryoka∞Boy
    Let the miracle happen.
  • Calm down! 2012/05/21 20:19:35
    Calm down!
    If he or she is wealthy enough. It's just a rich man's contest now!
  • PAUL F 2012/05/19 18:00:12
    PAUL F
    +2
    If the public will elect Obama they will elect any one!!
  • Dan™: Real Change, Not Fals... 2012/05/19 17:20:00 (edited)
    Dan™: Real Change, Not False Hope
    +2
    The Libertarian Party has been around for decades now, yet it has consistently failed to make any inroads in national politics. While I consider myself a libertarian and agree with their platform, I've grown frustrated with the official Libertarian party and its tactics and strategies. And I say this as a dues paying member of the Libertarian Party for the past 8 years.

    The reality is that our national political environment will never elect 3rd party candidates. The whole system is stacked against it. For practical and strategic reasons, I've come to the point where I agree wholeheartedly with Reagan's view that what we need is not a 3rd party alternative to the Republicans & Democrats; what we need (as conservatives and libertarians) is a re-vitalized and conservatively re-oriented Republican party.

    The TEA party movement began this process a few years ago, I think. The natural home for serious limited-government libertarians is the Republican party -- but not the current establishment RINO dominated Republican party.

    We libertarians need to abandon the Libertarian party and attempt to take over the Republican party the same way the Progressives took over the Democratic party over the past decade. Thanks to the TEA party movement, the takeover is already well underway. We...



    The Libertarian Party has been around for decades now, yet it has consistently failed to make any inroads in national politics. While I consider myself a libertarian and agree with their platform, I've grown frustrated with the official Libertarian party and its tactics and strategies. And I say this as a dues paying member of the Libertarian Party for the past 8 years.

    The reality is that our national political environment will never elect 3rd party candidates. The whole system is stacked against it. For practical and strategic reasons, I've come to the point where I agree wholeheartedly with Reagan's view that what we need is not a 3rd party alternative to the Republicans & Democrats; what we need (as conservatives and libertarians) is a re-vitalized and conservatively re-oriented Republican party.

    The TEA party movement began this process a few years ago, I think. The natural home for serious limited-government libertarians is the Republican party -- but not the current establishment RINO dominated Republican party.

    We libertarians need to abandon the Libertarian party and attempt to take over the Republican party the same way the Progressives took over the Democratic party over the past decade. Thanks to the TEA party movement, the takeover is already well underway. We need to register to vote as Republicans and keep purging the party of progressives such as Dick Lugar and Arlen Specter.

    You hear a lot of whining and complaining from the Left-wing media about how the Republican party has moved so far to the Right, but it's not true. Not yet. But that's what they fear is happening. The truth is that the Democratic party was hijacked by the Progressive movement and moved so far Left that even moderate RINO Republicans seem like conservative firebrands to them, and they're frustrated that the Republicans won't move even further to the Left anymore.

    And now the conservative and Libertarian-minded TEA party movement threatens to take over the Republican party, and the Progressives are terrified.
    (more)
  • adeenmckenziekennedy 2012/05/19 17:12:07 (edited)
    adeenmckenziekennedy
    +1
    A libertartian is possible for the presidency.
    I believe so.
  • Commander Pyle 2012/05/19 17:11:32
    Commander Pyle
    +3
    I do wonder if people even understand libertarian principles or do they vision them as evangelicals who laugh at the poor and sick? Few ever present libertarianism as it actually is. Oh, we know what the Republican party fights for, and what the Democrats fight for...do you know what the Libertarians fight for?

    minarchist
  • Minarchist 2012/05/19 09:35:44 (edited)
    Minarchist
    +2
    With pluralism voting systems like we have now it is hard but not impossible. It takes usually in within the dynamics the base of a party is always going to vote for the nominee. this equates to 30% going Dem 30% going Rep immediately then an additional 10% of Independents going to either side this equals 40/40 the swing is gaining the additional 11% to equal 51%. When Ross Perot ran Bill Clinton won with only 43% of the vote. 20% of the nation is what I call self recognized Libertarians (means that they know that they are Libertarians) of these, not all are registered Libertarians, 8% of registered Republicans are self recognized Libertarians, and an additional 4% of registered Republicans are unrecognized Libertarians (meaning they don't realize they are actually Libertarians) This is also represented in the Democrat party as 2% realized and unrealized. The independents have a whopping 18% of thier group realized or not Libertarians this equates to national numbers as 58% realized and unrealized Libertarians. Now thinking like a candidate more competion lowers my odds, but gains my bids. 33, 33, and 34 if all candidates had equal footing. What's easier trying to gain 1% of the vote or 11% of the vote? How this works out in the ellectoral college I am unsure but delegates wou...
    With pluralism voting systems like we have now it is hard but not impossible. It takes usually in within the dynamics the base of a party is always going to vote for the nominee. this equates to 30% going Dem 30% going Rep immediately then an additional 10% of Independents going to either side this equals 40/40 the swing is gaining the additional 11% to equal 51%. When Ross Perot ran Bill Clinton won with only 43% of the vote. 20% of the nation is what I call self recognized Libertarians (means that they know that they are Libertarians) of these, not all are registered Libertarians, 8% of registered Republicans are self recognized Libertarians, and an additional 4% of registered Republicans are unrecognized Libertarians (meaning they don't realize they are actually Libertarians) This is also represented in the Democrat party as 2% realized and unrealized. The independents have a whopping 18% of thier group realized or not Libertarians this equates to national numbers as 58% realized and unrealized Libertarians. Now thinking like a candidate more competion lowers my odds, but gains my bids. 33, 33, and 34 if all candidates had equal footing. What's easier trying to gain 1% of the vote or 11% of the vote? How this works out in the ellectoral college I am unsure but delegates would rather vote the additional 2nd choice candidate that has 50% same values than that of losing to party opposite. If won by third party, it would be quite commical, because the popular vote would be set at 38% popular vote win, and a 66% win in the ellectoral college. The triumph is to stir interest for third parties is the 18% interest while most of the time they only amount to 5% of the ellectorate.
    (more)
  • Giantfighter 2012/05/19 07:30:25
    Giantfighter
    +2
    Anything is possible . 20 years ago a Black President seemed very unlikely
  • HAlex1972 2012/05/19 06:19:15
    HAlex1972
    +1
    Please, God, let anyone but a Republican or Democrat win this election. Please?
  • Bibliophilic 2012/05/19 01:09:26
    Bibliophilic
    +2
    A moderate libertarian yes, a conservative libertarian I sure hope not.
  • Command... Bibliop... 2012/05/19 17:19:23
    Commander Pyle
    +3
    Explain since to me breaking up libertarianism between conservative, moderate, and liberal is silly. Libertarianism is libertarianism...unless of course youre talking about left libertarianism which is basically anarchism (you know...the socialist kind).
  • Bibliop... Command... 2012/05/19 17:55:22
    Bibliophilic
    I don't think it's silly. Conservative libertarians are pro-death penalty and anti-choice. This ideology is not in sync with libertarian values. I didn't mention liberal libertarianism. I'd like to think that the typical libertarian is socially liberal and economically conservative- anything that deviates from this is problematic.
  • Command... Bibliop... 2012/05/19 19:34:11
    Commander Pyle
    +1
    I know you didnt mention liberal libertarianism, you didn't have to.

    I don't make the distinction (lib, mod, con), i just call it the way it is: If you do this, you are not a libertarian. Just look at those "close the border and increase military spending" libertarians. We call those Republicans.

    Libertarianism is popular these days. Instead of having 100 libertarians in a room disagreeing about a certain issue, you now have 1000 more libertarians disagreeing about a certain issue.

    The fauxbertarians will be easily spotted. They are usually found rallying behind some neocon at a Tea Party rally. The rest will be found using an ipod in a dirty tent just outside the city hall.
  • Dan™: R... Bibliop... 2012/05/19 17:32:48 (edited)
    Dan™: Real Change, Not False Hope
    +2
    How do you define a moderate libertarian? As a libertarian myself, I can tell you that I hold political positions that are both conservative (limited constitutional and accountable government, fiscal responsibility, minimal tax burden, minimal federal intrusion into private life) and classically liberal (liberal free-market economic policy, maximum civil liberties). So what exactly would a "moderate" libertarian be?

    What libertarians oppose, on principle, is excessive and overreaching federal government intrusion into the lives and decisions of free citizens. There is no "moderate" version of this basic position.
  • Bibliop... Dan™: R... 2012/05/19 17:58:23 (edited)
    Bibliophilic
    +1
    You are one, as per my personal definition. I define moderate libertarian as the purest essence of libertarianism (economically conservative and socially liberal).

    I only use this term due to the amount of LINOs here. My definition may not be accurate, but it makes logical sense to me. I'd consider supporting a moderate degree of libertarianism in the future. I am not interested in abolishing public libraries or universities.
  • Dan™: R... Bibliop... 2012/05/19 19:43:49
    Dan™: Real Change, Not False Hope
    My understanding of libertarianism is exactly opposite of of yours: economically liberal, socially conservative (meaning no government intrusion on civil liberties -- which is actually liberal). Maybe we're just haggling about definitions. I'm not advocating doing away with public libraries or universities or any other public works; but I think those need to be funded voluntarily.
  • Dogman 2012/05/19 01:02:28
    Dogman
    No.
  • Pm 2012/05/19 00:38:28
    Pm
    No, they are out of touch and have crazy ways of interpreting the constitution. Along with isolationist policies.
  • Arizona... Pm 2012/05/19 00:48:51
    Arizona1950
    +5
    Please look up the definition of isolationism vs non-intervention. You who follow this argument really show your ignorance. For those of us who know the difference to watch you humilate yourselves over and over is no longer laughable but embarrassing.
  • Pm Arizona... 2012/05/19 02:12:48
    Pm
    Yes, the only diff is there is some trade. Every other characteristic is the same. Ron Paul already said he will stop all foreign aid, isolate us from our allies, remove all military personnel from our bases around the globe, leave the U.N, and destroy the global economy.
  • Arizona... Pm 2012/05/19 04:28:08
    Arizona1950
    +3
    No he didn't ... not in the context as you stated; but you keep following the status quo and we will see where it leads you.
  • Pm Arizona... 2012/05/20 19:58:29
    Pm
    Every politician is the "status quo" Your savior Ron Paul is a life time politician and also rich. Pushes gold standard because he has millions invested in gold, liek all libertarians.
  • Arizona... Pm 2012/05/20 21:17:00 (edited)
    Arizona1950
    +1
    The status quo means the same direction and policies ... Obviously Paul's experience and direction are not the status quo and I only have One Savior and he is not a mortal man.
  • Pm Arizona... 2012/05/20 23:38:02
    Pm
    There are lib policies and there are policies that work...All RP has shown in his time is that he has no support for any of his ideas.
  • Arizona... Pm 2012/05/21 01:22:33
    Arizona1950
    +1
    You don't know much about Paul do you.
  • Pm Arizona... 2012/05/21 07:04:31
    Pm
    All you have to do is watch the forums he has been in, the discussions he has had, and the debates and you know everything about him...
  • Arizona... Pm 2012/05/21 12:13:59 (edited)
    Arizona1950
    Hmmm ... you would think so but with you, I think most ot it goes over your head.

    Are we done now because I really am not interested in keeping this convesation going.
  • Pm Arizona... 2012/05/21 16:07:24
    Pm
    So basically you cannot discuss your party's history? YOu cannot prove the constitution was written by libertarians since the party wasn't started until after...And the party of 1789 wasnt even the libertarian party we think of today, they were some of the first anarchists of America who had different ideals than today. Thanks you for not proving me otherwise...
  • Arizona... Pm 2012/05/22 00:18:13
    Arizona1950
    I am a registered Independent who is supporting a Republican candidate so I really don't know what your issue is.
  • Pm Arizona... 2012/05/22 00:46:20
    Pm
    Ron Paul is a self proclaimed lib..He is not a republican and he said himself he isnt a republican..
  • Arizona... Pm 2012/05/22 12:34:37 (edited)
    Arizona1950
    +1
    Ron Paul has always been a Republican but because of their falling away from what it once meant to be a Republican after several years he felt the Libertarian was more inline with what the "old" or "original" Repulican was.

    He has often said that he wants to return the Republican Party to its roots. So no as defined today he does not follow the Republican Party values. This is why the GOP has backed a neocon and globalist for the current status quo.

    None so blind as those who refuse to see ... this country was made great by following our Constitution.

    On another note, I think its 3 Supreme Court judges who are coming up to retirement or ready to die in office ... I'd rather have a proven constitutionalist picking the next supreme court judges than a lying flip-flopping failed one-term governor gloabalist who supports the Patriot Act and the NDAA!!
  • Pm Arizona... 2012/05/23 05:25:18
    Pm
    He has never been a republican he has said countless times he is a libertarian....
    The roots of the Republican party isn't libertarianism
    NDAA and patriot act have nothing to do with this discussion.
  • Arizona... Pm 2012/05/23 12:20:01
    Arizona1950
    +1
    What ticket is he running on genius. I didn't say the roots of the Republican party is libertarianism.

    The NDAA and the Patriot Act have everything to do with the Constitution ... still haven't a clue have you.
  • Pm Arizona... 2012/05/23 22:25:23
    Pm
    Genius, why dont you watch RP's video...Time and time again he calls himself a libertarian, that he isnt a republican...He is running on the ticket of R because he failed 2 times before while he was running as a libertarian.
    Do you even know what the NDAA is? Its not a single policy...The NDAA is a yearly fiscal policy which allocates money for defense spending under certain guidelines...Section 1021 was block a Judge a couple days ago because of the wording used.
    The patriot act doesn't affect you unless you are a terrorist? NO liberties were taken from you..
    And Obviously, both the NDAA and patriot act are constitutional...
  • Arizona... Pm 2012/05/24 00:51:01
    Arizona1950
    +1
    video please. Because I know he has said over and over again that he would like to restore the Repubican Party to its original values.

    Neither the Patriot Act of the NDAA is constitutional ... lol
  • Pm Arizona... 2012/05/25 04:25:10
    Pm
    Restoring the republican party to HIS view of what it should be isnt RP's declaration of being a republican.
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