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Poll: 1-in-4 uncommitted now in White House race This is bad news for Odumbo.. since traditionally undecided swing away from the incumbent

iamnothere 2012/06/25 12:05:45
Poll: 1-in-4 uncommitted now in White House race
JENNIFER AGIESTA and LAURIE KELLMAN | Associated Press

WASHINGTON (AP) — They shrug at President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney. They're in no hurry to decide which one to support in the White House race. And they'll have a big say in determining who wins the White House.

One-quarter of U.S. voters are persuadable, according to an Associated Press-GfK poll, and both Obama and Romney will spend the next four months trying to convince these fickle, hard-to-reach individuals that only he has what it takes to fix an ailing nation.

It's a delicate task. These voters also hate pandering.

"I don't believe in nothing they say," says Carol Barber of Ashland, Ky., among the 27 percent of the electorate that hasn't determined whom to back or that doesn't have a strong preference about a candidate.

Like many uncommitted voters, the 66-year-old Barber isn't really paying attention to politics these days. She's largely focused on her husband, who just had a liver transplant, and the fact that she had to refinance her home to pay much of his health bill. "I just can't concentrate on it now," she says before adding, "If there were somebody running who knows what it's like to struggle, that would be different."

John Robinson, a 49-year-old general contractor from Santa Cruz, Calif., is paying a bit more attention, but is just as turned off by both candidates.

"I'm just bitter about everybody. They just keep talking and wavering," said Robinson, a conservative who backed the GOP nominee in 2008, Arizona Sen. John McCain, but is undecided between Obama and Romney. "There's nothing I can really say that's appealing about either one of them."

To be sure, many of the 1-in-4 voters who today say they are uncommitted will settle on a candidate by Election Day, Nov. 6.

Until then, Obama and Romney will spend huge amounts of time and money trying to win their votes, especially in the most competitive states that tend to swing between Republicans and Democrats each presidential election. Obama and Romney face the same hurdle, winning over wavering voters without alienating core supporters they need to canvass neighborhoods and staff telephone banks this fall to help make sure their backers actually vote.

"It presents an interesting challenge to the campaigns," said Steve McMahon, a founding partner in Purple Strategies, a bipartisan crisis management firm. "Moving to the middle means winning these voters, but it also means creating problems with your base."

Obama has sought to straddle both the left and the middle by announcing policies that expand access to contraception and allow immigrants brought illegally to the United States as children to be exempted from deportation and granted work permits if they applied.

Both issues are popular with his core supporters and centrist voters. The president also is promoting a list of what he says are bipartisan measures that would help homeowners, veterans, teachers and police officers, and he accuses Republicans of causing gridlock by refusing to act on them. It's a pitch intended for independent-minded voters frustrated by inaction in Washington.

Romney has broadened his tea party-infused message from the GOP primary and softened his tone as he looks to attract voters from across the political spectrum.

He abandoned the harsh immigration rhetoric on Thursday when he pledged to address illegal immigration "in a civil but resolute manner" while outlining plans to overhaul the green card system for immigrants with families and end immigration caps for their spouses and minor children. In doing so, he risked inflaming conservatives who make up the base of the Republican Party.

Overall, the poll found that among registered voters, 47 percent say they will vote for the president and 44 percent for Romney, a difference that is not statistically significant.

Those totals include soft support, though, meaning people who lean toward a candidate as well as those who said they could change their minds before November. The poll showed that these persuadable voters are equally apt to lean toward Obama, Romney, or neither, with about one-third of them in each camp.

The survey also showed that these voters are more likely than others to say they distrust both Romney and Obama on the major issues. They are far more likely to think the outcome of the election won't make a big difference on the economy, unemployment, the federal budget deficit or health care.

Party politics and wedge issues have dubious weight with this group. The poll found more independents fall into this category than partisans. The partisans who are persuadable are more likely to be in the ideological middle than either liberal Democrats or conservative Republicans. Seventeen percent of persuadables say they consider themselves supporters of the tea party.

The poll also found that demographically, they are more likely to be members of Generation X (between the ages of 30 and 49) than other registered voters. Many, 71 percent, have not graduated college. They are a bit more likely to have lower incomes than all registered voters. Fifty-two percent of persuadables have incomes below $50,000, compared with 44 percent of all voters.

On other characteristics — gender, religious preference and race — they're split similarly to other registered voters.

The Associated Press-GfK Poll was conducted June 14-18, 2012 by GfK Roper Public Affairs and Corporate Communications. It involved landline and cellphone interviews with 1,007 adults nationwide, including 878 registered voters and 228 persuadable voters. Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.0 percentage points. For registered voters it is 4.2 points and for persuadable voters it's plus or minus 8.3 points.

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  • Andrew 2012/06/27 05:34:43
    Andrew
    +1
    Odumbo, that cracks me up.
  • iamnothere Andrew 2012/06/27 13:46:32
    iamnothere
    if the shoe fits...
  • Charles R. Anderson 2012/06/26 02:46:52
    Charles R. Anderson
    +2
    The persuadable voters are also those who have not bothered to inform themselves of what is going on politically throughout the Obama presidency and who have little knowledge of history. It is good to know that the fate of freedom rests squarely in their hands. Too bad there are not more informed and knowledgeable Patriots.
  • Diane Spraggs Yates 2012/06/25 18:32:41 (edited)
    Diane Spraggs Yates
    +3
    Anything bad for Obama is good for America --one N done !!!!!
  • Andy 2012/06/25 18:26:00
    Andy
    +4
    NOBAMA-2012!!
  • Frank 2012/06/25 17:26:08
    Frank
    +3
    There is no way Romney can be any worse than our current President.
  • SoCalEx-Dem 2012/06/25 17:12:27
    SoCalEx-Dem
    +5
    I don't trust any poll that is put out by the left. They use more dems to tilt the polls.
  • CAPISCE 2012/06/25 14:35:53
    CAPISCE
    +5
    Obumble must go.
  • wtw 2012/06/25 13:24:37
    wtw
    +2
    Why do all the polls show Obama still ahead?
  • iamnothere wtw 2012/06/25 13:45:21
    iamnothere
    +5
    not amongst likely voters
  • CAPISCE wtw 2012/06/25 14:36:51 (edited)
    CAPISCE
    +4
    Rasmussen latest poll june 24th had Romney 47 Obumble 44
  • iamnothere CAPISCE 2012/06/25 16:59:40
    iamnothere
    +2
    and gallop is even O got a big bump from his anti constitutional immigration BS
  • CAPISCE iamnothere 2012/06/25 17:29:33
  • wtw CAPISCE 2012/06/26 03:29:00
    wtw
    We can hope!
  • Schläue~© 2012/06/25 13:18:56
    Schläue~©
    +5
    0bozo will be chopped liver well before the DNC convention in September.

    The pair of SCOTUS rulings will be major blows and with the pending scandals of Fast & Furious, Intel leaks, and especially the PROPER vetting process he wont be able to escape this time around, it leaves two questions.

    When does he give his LBJ speech and blame it on racism....?

    and ..... Who do the Dem's possibly have to replace him on their ticket?
  • Bevos 2012/06/25 13:02:42 (edited)
    Bevos
    +1
    What about the ones backing Ron Paul? Did NONE of the people that these pollsters talked to mention him? This poll does not compute for some reason. 44% for Romney, 47% for Obama is 91%. So how can there be 25% left for persuadeable? Just asking.
  • iamnothere Bevos 2012/06/25 13:10:03
    iamnothere
    +1
    what about that Ron has suspended his campaign and is not even running? so his supporters who amount to about 2% of the likely voters will likely sit home or not go obama
  • ladyjane iamnothere 2012/06/25 13:36:23
    ladyjane
    Ron Paul did not suppend his campaign and is still running! Wake up because he is still running strong. It's the Media that's not reporting and the sheep keep voting for the ones that are put in there by special interest... It's time somebody stopped and decided to vote outside of the box and really get someone elected that the people choose!
  • iamnothere ladyjane 2012/06/25 13:47:59
    iamnothere
    +4
    wow are you out of the loop ?? here is a link filled with hundreds of links which if you click on just one will show you YES HE HAS SUSPENDED HIS campaign

    https://www.google.com/search...

    You really need to keep up with what is going on .. someday you might discover that JFK was assassinated
  • Schläue~© ladyjane 2012/06/25 13:55:43
    Schläue~©
    +3
    The 'people' did choose and that's why Paul topped out at a measly 15% nationwide since Feb. 2011.
    And that was only after all the other candidates, sans Romney had vacated one way or another.
    Paul got a whopping 1% bump but spent most of the time in the cellar, the only one that never had a surge throughout the primary process.
    America has rejected the fool, once again.
  • Rich Matarese 2012/06/25 12:52:14
    Rich Matarese
    +1
    The Republican "establishment" has AGAIN sabotaged their faction's chances of winning a presidential election by forcing their suck-ass favorite down their core constituents' throats.

    This reminds me just too goddam much of the 1996 election, when that same "establishment" could've had Bubba's butt on the barbecue with no trouble at all - and then they screwed the pooch by putting a walking corpse named "Bob Dole" at the top of the ticket.

    Are these arrogant, bankster-sucking, neocon numbnuts doing the same thing with the Etch-A-Sketch, the single contestant in this contentious primary cycle who has kept proving that the conservatives (constitutionalists, religious "social" types, and libertarians) HATE HIS FRIGGIN' GUTS?

    Seems like, don't it?

    Somebody really needs to shove a fragmentation grenade (one each) into the skivvies of the Red Faction's "establishment," and then send in a crew with mops and buckets.

    Starting with Willard the Wussie.
  • Schläue~© Rich Ma... 2012/06/25 13:14:26
  • iamnothere Schläue~© 2012/06/25 13:49:37 (edited)
    iamnothere
    +4
    and is running a quiet well run disciplined campaign at that. from what I have been watching he is matching and besting the Odumbo group daily at their own game

    This is what happens when you have a business person as opposed to feel good community organizer rabble rouser running
  • Schläue~© iamnothere 2012/06/25 13:59:03
    Schläue~©
    +3
    Exactly
    Romney's campaign is sitting back and watching team 0bozo shoot themselves on a daily basis.

    Needs more cowbell ..... let Joey give more speeches.
  • John Hall 2012/06/25 12:21:59
    John Hall
    +3
    i'll believe it in november if obama is thrown out on his ass .
  • iamnothere John Hall 2012/06/25 12:24:49
    iamnothere
    +3
    would love to see a landslide away from him . a real mandate to put this country back to times before the anti business efforts of Obama
  • Patric 2012/06/25 12:10:39
    Patric
    +5
    and the liberals should be committed to the local mental institute if they think obomma has made America stronger the past 4 years...

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