OBAMA'S "OFFICIAL" CAMPAIGN KICKS OFF IN OHIO ON MAY 5TH TO A HALF EMPTY ARENA! DOES THIS SURPRISE YOU???

No, not at all. Obama has alienated just about every group of voters you can think of, except for the black vote, and the liberal jewish vote, and of course the hard left. All he has left to court are "the hispanic vote" (which is not a voting block the MSM would have you believe), and the women vote. That is it. That is pretty bad considering we are months away from the conventions, let alone the election. Also, Obama cemented the opposition of gun owners long ago (the NRA, and the Second Amendment Foundation will be campaigning hard against him). He recently cemented the opposition of the Roman Catholic Church, and any other churches or people concerned with religious freedom. And his "The GOP's War On Women" took off and immediately crashed with the attack on Ann Romney. Now we have "The Life Of Julia" which is as about as naked an ode to Socialized Democracy cradle to grave entitlements as could possibly could be written. Anyone with a working brain knows the federal budget is in trouble now, and as it is laid out now is not tenable in the future, so "The Life Of Julia" is an epic fail for anyone who understands the situation we are in right now.

As I look at the coming election, the two states I see deciding the election, should it be close and not a landslide, are Ohio and Pennsylvania. (People will throw in Florida, but I do not think that is going to be close).

I do not have metrics to support my opinion yet, but I think the election is going to have a very clear winner before we go to bed on election night, and that will be as Ohio and Pennsylvania goes. If both Ohio and Pennsylvania go for one candidate, then it is all over. If Ohio goes for Romney, and Pennsylvania goes for Obama, then Obama might hang on till the polls close on the west coast, but will ultimately lose. If Ohio goes for Obama and Pennsylvania goes for Romney, basically the world will end, early, and not wait till December 22nd, or whatever the date is.

Obviously Ohio is going to be problematic for Obama to win, as people there are socially traditional, and Obama is a radical liberal when it comes to social issues. Also, Ohio is suffering as much as any state from the economy, and that does not bode well for a second term for the Obama Administration. Pennsylvania is very difficult to call, as in 2008 Obama directly insulted the state with his "clinging to guns and religion" comment, but won it handily. Also, Pennsylvania has not gone for a Republican candidate since 1988, so if it is going to end that trend this will be the election, as the governorship, and the state's congress both rest in Republican hands right now. Voter turnout is going to have a great effect on how Pennsylvania goes. If you take the state and draw a T, that all goes Republican, and the areas around Pittsburgh and Philadelphia go Democrat. So the turn out somewhat in Pittsburgh area, but especially around Philadelphia and its surrounding counties is going to have a huge impact, and I just do not see the enthusiasm for Obama this time around. Also, there is something new in Pennsylvania, and something relatively recent in Ohio, for this general election in November 2012, and that is photo ID is going to be required before a person can vote. That means that both Ohio and Pennsylvania, the two most important electoral votes in the whole election, are going to have a safe guard in place against voter fraud. For the last two reasons, I tentatively think Pennsylvania will go for Romney.