Obama Publicly Supports Gay Marriage: Will It Help or Hurt His Campaign?
SodaHead News
2012/05/09 20:00:00
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1,107 votes
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1,282 votes
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54% | |||
We're six months from the general election, and things are starting to get serious. After months of focus on the GOP primary, President Obama is taking a preliminary shot at policy. In an interview with ABC News on Wednesday, Obama became the first U.S. president to publicly support gay marriage. This is a significant change in perspective from his 2008 campaign, when he supported civil unions but opposed gay marriage.
He told ABC News, "For me personally, it is important for me to go ahead and affirm that I think same-sex couple should be able to get married." Many suspect the sudden shift is in response to public opinion, which has been steadily moving in the direction of support for gay marriage, and while it certainly won't be the focus of the election, it has vast implications for the direction Obama's campaign might head. Do you think it will help Obama get reelected, or will this breaking news do more harm than good?
He told ABC News, "For me personally, it is important for me to go ahead and affirm that I think same-sex couple should be able to get married." Many suspect the sudden shift is in response to public opinion, which has been steadily moving in the direction of support for gay marriage, and while it certainly won't be the focus of the election, it has vast implications for the direction Obama's campaign might head. Do you think it will help Obama get reelected, or will this breaking news do more harm than good?
What really matters, though, is whether or not this is just a campaign tactic in light of the disaster that is Amendment 1 in North Carolina. Will he stick with it or drop it once re-elected?
Religion % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Protestant (43%) 65% 35%
Catholic (30%) 64% 36%
Other (11%) 33% 67%
None (16%) 10% 90%
As Protestants and Catholics constitute Western Christianity, which in turn accounts for about 90% of Christians in the world (most likely more than 90% in California), it is highly unlikely that a significant portion of the "Other" group are Christians. Therefore, further simplification of the data:
Religion % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Christian (73%) 65% 35%
Non-Christian (27%) 18% 82%
shows people voted for or against Proposition 8 primarily based on whether an individual considered him or herself not simply religious, but specifically Christian. Given another statistic:
Church Attendance % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Weekly (32%) 84% 16%
Occasionally (44%) 46% 54%
Never (21%) 17% 83%
One can quite accurately pre...
Religion % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Protestant (43%) 65% 35%
Catholic (30%) 64% 36%
Other (11%) 33% 67%
None (16%) 10% 90%
As Protestants and Catholics constitute Western Christianity, which in turn accounts for about 90% of Christians in the world (most likely more than 90% in California), it is highly unlikely that a significant portion of the "Other" group are Christians. Therefore, further simplification of the data:
Religion % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Christian (73%) 65% 35%
Non-Christian (27%) 18% 82%
shows people voted for or against Proposition 8 primarily based on whether an individual considered him or herself not simply religious, but specifically Christian. Given another statistic:
Church Attendance % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Weekly (32%) 84% 16%
Occasionally (44%) 46% 54%
Never (21%) 17% 83%
One can quite accurately predict whether someone voted yes or no on Proposition 8 with this algorithm.
Does the person consider him or herself Christian?
If no, figure that person voted no.
If yes, ask the person how often they attend church.
If they answer weekly, figure they voted yes,
if some other frequency, they likely voted no.
Based on the exit poll data, this algorithm should lead to a correct prediction 3 out of 4 times.
The California Government is supposed to be secular. If one makes the argument that marriage is a religious institution, then no definition of it should exist in a government document such as a constitution. If a definition of it does exist in a government document, then the content of it should not be influenced by religious beliefs. By that logic, the passing of Prop 8 is a sham.
Race
Looking at the vote by race reveals a curious detail:
Race % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
White (63%) 49% 51%
African-American (10%) 70% 30%
Latino (18%) 53% 47%
Asian (6%) 49% 51%
Other (3%) 51% 49%
That data can be reduced to:
Race % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
African-American (10%) 70% 30%
Other (90%) 50% 50%
Why are African-Americans 40% more likely to have cast a vote in favor of Prop 8? Unfortunately one can only speculate as the exit poll data doesn't provide any other data allowing further refinement. However, another curious detail arises when one looks at sex and race:
Sex % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Male (46%) 53% 47%
Female (54%) 52% 48%
On the surface, whether one is male or female doesn't seem to play much of a part in how an individual votes. However, adding race into the mix:
Sex and Race % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
White Men (31%) 51% 49%
White Women (32%) 47% 53%
Black Men (4%) N/A N/A
Black Women (6%) 75% 25%
Latino Men (8%) 54% 46%
Latino Women (11%) 52% 48%
All Other Races (9%) 49% 51%
And calculating the missing black men percentages:
Sex and Race % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Black Men (4%) 62.5% 37.5%
You're copying and pasting that same thing to a bunch of people and you expect anyone to think you are serious? Especially with your nonexistent capitalization and issues with sentence structure.
Religion % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Protestant (43%) 65% 35%
Catholic (30%) 64% 36%
Other (11%) 33% 67%
None (16%) 10% 90%
As Protestants and Catholics constitute Western Christianity, which in turn accounts for about 90% of Christians in the world (most likely more than 90% in California), it is highly unlikely that a significant portion of the "Other" group are Christians. Therefore, further simplification of the data:
Religion % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Christian (73%) 65% 35%
Non-Christian (27%) 18% 82%
shows people voted for or against Proposition 8 primarily based on whether an individual considered him or herself not simply religious, but specifically Christian. Given another statistic:
Church Attendance % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Weekly (32%) 84% 16%
Occasionally (44%) 46% 54%
Never (21%) 17% 83%
One can quite accurately predict whether someone voted yes or no on Proposition 8 with this algori...
Religion % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Protestant (43%) 65% 35%
Catholic (30%) 64% 36%
Other (11%) 33% 67%
None (16%) 10% 90%
As Protestants and Catholics constitute Western Christianity, which in turn accounts for about 90% of Christians in the world (most likely more than 90% in California), it is highly unlikely that a significant portion of the "Other" group are Christians. Therefore, further simplification of the data:
Religion % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Christian (73%) 65% 35%
Non-Christian (27%) 18% 82%
shows people voted for or against Proposition 8 primarily based on whether an individual considered him or herself not simply religious, but specifically Christian. Given another statistic:
Church Attendance % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Weekly (32%) 84% 16%
Occasionally (44%) 46% 54%
Never (21%) 17% 83%
One can quite accurately predict whether someone voted yes or no on Proposition 8 with this algorithm.
Does the person consider him or herself Christian?
If no, figure that person voted no.
If yes, ask the person how often they attend church.
If they answer weekly, figure they voted yes,
if some other frequency, they likely voted no.
Based on the exit poll data, this algorithm should lead to a correct prediction 3 out of 4 times.
The California Government is supposed to be secular. If one makes the argument that marriage is a religious institution, then no definition of it should exist in a government document such as a constitution. If a definition of it does exist in a government document, then the content of it should not be influenced by religious beliefs. By that logic, the passing of Prop 8 is a sham.
Race
Looking at the vote by race reveals a curious detail:
Race % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
White (63%) 49% 51%
African-American (10%) 70% 30%
Latino (18%) 53% 47%
Asian (6%) 49% 51%
Other (3%) 51% 49%
That data can be reduced to:
Race % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
African-American (10%) 70% 30%
Other (90%) 50% 50%
Why are African-Americans 40% more likely to have cast a vote in favor of Prop 8? Unfortunately one can only speculate as the exit poll data doesn't provide any other data allowing further refinement. However, another curious detail arises when one looks at sex and race:
Sex % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Male (46%) 53% 47%
Female (54%) 52% 48%
On the surface, whether one is male or female doesn't seem to play much of a part in how an individual votes. However, adding race into the mix:
Sex and Race % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
White Men (31%) 51% 49%
White Women (32%) 47% 53%
Black Men (4%) N/A N/A
Black Women (6%) 75% 25%
Latino Men (8%) 54% 46%
Latino Women (11%) 52% 48%
All Other Races (9%) 49% 51%
And calculating the missing black men percentages:
Sex and Race % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Black Men (4%) 62.5% 37.5%
And women. They had to fight for their own rights, too. Now they are on the side they once fought against.
He's a campaigner - he never quit doing so.
Protestant (43%) 65% 35%
Catholic (30%) 64% 36%
Other (11%) 33% 67%
None (16%) 10% 90%
As Protestants and Catholics constitute Western Christianity, which in turn accounts for about 90% of Christians in the world (most likely more than 90% in California), it is highly unlikely that a significant portion of the "Other" group are Christians. Therefore, further simplification of the data:
Religion % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Christian (73%) 65% 35%
Non-Christian (27%) 18% 82%
shows people voted for or against Proposition 8 primarily based on whether an individual considered him or herself not simply religious, but specifically Christian. Given another statistic:
Church Attendance % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Weekly (32%) 84% 16%
Occasionally (44%) 46% 54%
Never (21%) 17% 83%
One can quite accurately predict whether someone voted yes or no on Proposition 8 with this algorithm.
Does the person consider him or herself Christian?
If no, ...
Protestant (43%) 65% 35%
Catholic (30%) 64% 36%
Other (11%) 33% 67%
None (16%) 10% 90%
As Protestants and Catholics constitute Western Christianity, which in turn accounts for about 90% of Christians in the world (most likely more than 90% in California), it is highly unlikely that a significant portion of the "Other" group are Christians. Therefore, further simplification of the data:
Religion % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Christian (73%) 65% 35%
Non-Christian (27%) 18% 82%
shows people voted for or against Proposition 8 primarily based on whether an individual considered him or herself not simply religious, but specifically Christian. Given another statistic:
Church Attendance % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Weekly (32%) 84% 16%
Occasionally (44%) 46% 54%
Never (21%) 17% 83%
One can quite accurately predict whether someone voted yes or no on Proposition 8 with this algorithm.
Does the person consider him or herself Christian?
If no, figure that person voted no.
If yes, ask the person how often they attend church.
If they answer weekly, figure they voted yes,
if some other frequency, they likely voted no.
Based on the exit poll data, this algorithm should lead to a correct prediction 3 out of 4 times.
The California Government is supposed to be secular. If one makes the argument that marriage is a religious institution, then no definition of it should exist in a government document such as a constitution. If a definition of it does exist in a government document, then the content of it should not be influenced by religious beliefs. By that logic, the passing of Prop 8 is a sham.
Race
Looking at the vote by race reveals a curious detail:
Race % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
White (63%) 49% 51%
African-American (10%) 70% 30%
Latino (18%) 53% 47%
Asian (6%) 49% 51%
Other (3%) 51% 49%
That data can be reduced to:
Race % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
African-American (10%) 70% 30%
Other (90%) 50% 50%
Why are African-Americans 40% more likely to have cast a vote in favor of Prop 8? Unfortunately one can only speculate as the exit poll data doesn't provide any other data allowing further refinement. However, another curious detail arises when one looks at sex and race:
Sex % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Male (46%) 53% 47%
Female (54%) 52% 48%
On the surface, whether one is male or female doesn't seem to play much of a part in how an individual votes. However, adding race into the mix:
Sex and Race % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
White Men (31%) 51% 49%
White Women (32%) 47% 53%
Black Men (4%) N/A N/A
Black Women (6%) 75% 25%
Latino Men (8%) 54% 46%
Latino Women (11%) 52% 48%
All Other Races (9%) 49% 51%
And calculating the missing black men percentages:
Sex and Race % of respondents Yes on prop 8 No on prop 8
Black Men (4%) 62.5% 37.5%
He has nothing to lose by making that statement.
history has shown no president has ever been reelected in a bad economy lets say carter was one. ue has been at 8.3 for 3yrs gas prices risen more then any president. obama has les job creation the bush 1 bush 2 reagan or clinton history has proven the numbers. he has spent more then bush in 3 then he did in 8. when the gop make obama run on his recored us things like we were supposed to be at 6% ue and run adds with etc obamas going down my freind lol.