Obama Is in Serious Trouble in Pennsylvania
Evil 1 2012/06/19 11:55:14
One of my first jobs in politics--decades ago--was to analyze the "undervote" in uncontested primaries. An undervote happens when a voter fails to register a vote in a particular primary contest when there is only one candidate on the ballot. In essence, the voter simply skips over the race. It happens either because the voter hasn't heard of that candidate or they have some basic opposition to that candidate. Our general rule of thumb was that a candidate who had more than 10% undervote was in serious trouble. In many counties in the recent Pennsylvania primary, Obama's undervote was 30% or higher.
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