
OBAMA HEADED FOR A LANDSLIDE LOSS? By: OLD SALT
It is important to understand when we read the
various polls stating standings of Obama Vs. Romney that we have one major
understanding. WHO are these polls calling to ascertain their final percentages
when completing their survey? Many polls
call a random group of registered voters to simply ask, “If the election were
held today, for whom would you vote for President?”
Unfortunately, many of these individuals being
called have little or no intention to vote in the first place. Unlike most
polls, RASMUSSEN will pay very close attention to LIKELY VOTERS in their
assessment of conducting their polls. So
when we see these polls come out, we may wish to pay much closer attention to
the HOW the poll is conducted?
Even many of the polls which have been calling
only Registered Voters have seen dramatic declines for President Obama,
especially in the all important “swing states!” These polls have either
eliminated or greatly closed the huge percentages Obama had just a few months
earlier! February 7th FOX NEWS showed the highest lead among registered
voters in the four swing states of Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and Virginia
with a comfortable 7 point lead for Obama! However, most recent polling done by
FOX shows the margin to be a “dead heat,” 47 to 47%..... while GALLOP shows
Romney up by 3%, again citing registered voters! Not only do these numbers spell “trouble” for
Obama, but there are still 6 to 8% of voters out there that are “undecided!” In past Presidential elections… Johnson in
'64, Nixon in '72, Ford in '76, Carter in '80, Reagan in '84, Bush in '92 and
Clinton in '96…. All incumbents failed to pick up more than 1% of the
outstanding “undecided” vote at the time of the election!
In addition to the FOUR major “swing states” mentioned above,
other states have now come up that may likely swing over to Romney! Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, New
Hampshire, Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado and Nevada are now are within very few
percentage points of voting for Romney, some even have him leading!
Adding to troubles for the President has are his new “personal
favorability” numbers. What has usually run about 10 to 20 points higher than
his job approval, are now equal to his job rating. In Michigan alone, his
personal favorability among likely voters is 47-47, while his job rating is
50-48. Romney's favorability is 49-42. It is my opinion that these lower
numbers have come from a backlash from his recent speeches. In substance, his
focus on class warfare and his sarcastic and bombastic demagogic style are not
playing well with the voters, especially Catholics. He is no longer seen as “Presidential” to a vast
number of Americans. Especially flip flopping on major issues as Gay Marriage and
the Keystone Pipeline. The President is well aware he has “kissed” North
Carolina “good bye!” Nor does his message of attacking Big Oil seem
constructive. Voters all distrust Big Oil and would rather see them get
punished, but they do not see repealing their tax breaks as any way of lowering
prices at the pump or of increasing the supply of oil. Especially when the
President has guaranteed BILLIONS to Brazil and Columbia with the promise to
buy “ALL the oil Brazil can drill and all the gasoline Columbia can refine!”
I will “go on the record” as saying… providing no major change in
President Obama’s current positions... this blogger will be shocked IF he can
even muster 230 Electoral Votes come November. MITT ROMNEY will win by a
LANDSLIDE!
WHAT SAY YOU, Soda Head member?
Old Salt
Read More: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/presi...
Top Opinion
-
tommyg - POTL- PWCM-JLA 2012/05/11 19:53:06MITT ROMNEY WILL WIN, YES!!!






















The Paulobots may or may not vote.
The independents will with go for Romney or they may stay home.
The left is really divided, with many bailing out of the sinking 0 boat.
The EU will probably fail. That will create the atmosphere where violence could become the norm Worldwide.
Israel will attack Iran.
We will be force through the atrocities in Syria to do something, with Israel's help.
Other than that it'll be just another year and election.
If we stick together united under the belief of our Republic, we will be OK and will do much better than anyone else. If we let the left divide us, using class and racial divisionary policies, it could get ugly here.
America is NOT too big to fail.
I expect riots this summer in most major cities. It's going to be a hot time in town this year.
Regarding Dr. Ron Paul... he's a GOOD man and a friend of mine! I like him. However, he's got about as much of a chance in getting the Republican nood as Keith Judd can beat obama! :)
*
*
*
HOWEVER.... I think Dr. Paul would make a GREAT Sect of Treasury!!! :) Almost as good of one as John Bolton would make a GREAT Sect of State! :)
counted that is cast for him........
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
Things are looking very grim for Romney in swing states. RCP is pretty good but did make a mistake in AZ that should be leans Republican on the map.
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
http://www.realclearpolitics....
Things are looking very grim for Romney in swing states. RCP is pretty good but did make a mistake in AZ that should be leans Republican on the map.
That's TYPICAL of the disrespect Liberals have to Conservatives! When Republicans refuse to pass a Democrat proposal.... Democrats Call them "The Party Of NO!"
However, 3 & 1/2 years the Democrat have had control of Washington. NOT ONE SINGLE BUDGET have they brought up for vote!
When the Republicans take over the House, what is the 1st thing they do..... A BUDGET! Three of them have been SITTING on Harry Reids desk waiting for him to bring them before the Senate! He has not!
Now WHO is the REAL Party of NO???? :(
1) Outdated
2) Take Regestered voters in response rather than LIKELY VOTERS!
That will be a HUGE, HUGE factor this year! For no longer does obama have the CHARM with young people he had last election. Nor does he have the advantage of MILLIONS of Republicans staying at home. For they ALL see what happens when one refuses to vote for a "lesser of two bad choices!"