Obama camp launches desperate ad as Catholic vote crumbles. 82% of the Catholics voted for JFK. The census estimates the number of Catholics in 2010 at 58.9 million. What percentage of Catholic voters do you think will vote for Obama?

tncdel 2012/09/19 02:30:14
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  • mrdog 2012/09/19 07:22:05
    Tell us your estimate.
    Catholics...i am one...can't support Obama.... if they truly support church teachings...

    supermarket catholics...can vote either way...bark
  • JWnTX 2012/09/19 05:21:49
    Tell us your estimate.
  • tncdel 2012/09/19 03:50:30
    Tell us your estimate.
    He will be lucky to get 15%.
  • redhorse29 2012/09/19 03:48:31
    Tell us your estimate.
    Hopefully Catholics will be less liberal progressive than their Jewish brothers that still support Obama while he plans let Israel burn.
  • Kiosk Kid 2012/09/19 03:48:26
    Tell us your estimate.
    Kiosk Kid
    Obama's problem is not with just Catholics it is also with Baptist. It is with all Christians.
  • Magus BN-0 2012/09/19 03:31:44
    Tell us your estimate.
    Magus BN-0
    It's not Obama that's desperate. Obama is going to win, and win easily. His percentage of Catholic voters will probably be the same as his percentage of all voters. Over 50%.

    BTW, that's cute the way you cite the percentage that voted for JFK, as that's representative of what Democrats get. JFK got the overwhelming majority of Catholics because he was Catholic.
  • tncdel Magus BN-0 2012/09/19 03:55:12
    For WHATEVER reason, the fact remains that JFK did get that percentage. So what percentage of Catholic votes will a man raised a Muslim who is trying to force Catholics to fund abortions do you think he will get? I say Obama will be lucky to get 15% of the Catholic vote.

    And in the close election most experts are predicting, getting just 15% of the over 20 million Catholics voting will seal it for Romney and America.
  • Magus BN-0 tncdel 2012/09/19 04:22:49
    Magus BN-0
    Neither of those are true. Obama was not "raised a Muslim" and he's not trying to force Catholics (or anybody else) to fund abortions.
  • JWnTX Magus BN-0 2012/09/19 05:20:59
    You're whistling past the graveyard. Obama's going to get 13 states. Every major poll has oversampled Democrats by 36/32 or even larger when the latest party identification polls show Republicans are up to over 37% and Democrats down to less than 33% (their smallest ever). That's an 8 pt. swing based on changing the sampling to match reality. Plus, there's a phenomenon known among social scientists that makes people afraid of appearing intolerant or insensitive when talking about people of color, especially when conversing with strangers. My bet is that a lot of Democrats who claim they're going to support Obama are playing along until they get into the voting booth.
  • Magus BN-0 JWnTX 2012/09/19 19:34:35
    Magus BN-0
    Those numbers for party identification you refer to come from Rasmussen. Has it completely slipped your mind that maybe it's Rasmussen that's oversampling Republicans, rather than every single other poll (including Fox News) oversampling Democrats?

    Also, that phenomenon you refer to? 2008 proves that it doesn't actually exist. The polls were completely accurate about who was going to vote for Obama then. Why do you think it's different now? Other than because you wish that were the case, I mean.
  • DavE 2012/09/19 02:58:19
    Tell us your estimate.
    Let's look at the past few elections first . . .

    In 2000, 50% of all Catholics voted for Gore, although only 47% of white Catholics did.
    In 2004, 47% of all Catholics voted for Kerry, but only 43% of white Catholics.
    In 2008, 54% of all Catholics voted for Obama, but only 47% of white Catholics.

    In 2012, I predict 46% of all Catholics will vote for Obama but only 41% of white Catholics will vote for him.

    I wish the percentage of Obama supporters would be even lower in 2012, but Catholic voters and Jewish voters have one thing in common: Their religious affiliation and their religion's values are way down on their list of priorities used to pick their candidate. Therefore the unborn, Israel, and the family suffer.
  • American Girl 2012/09/19 02:52:50
    Tell us your estimate.
    American Girl
    I will go with 25% catholics for romney
  • wtw 2012/09/19 02:50:48
    Tell us your estimate.
    70%--most catholics I have ever known are dems and have stayed that way as long as I have known and I am clueless as to tell how or why especially how bad Obama and the dems treat catholics! Obama has dissed catholics more than any other president in our history!
  • tncdel wtw 2012/09/19 03:58:32
    I raved for posting, not because I agreed with you on that. "Change" is in the wind. Never before have Catholic leaders vigorously condemned a Democrat presidential candidate as they are doing Obama this time around. They largely supported him in 2008.
  • tommyg - POTL- PWCM-JLA 2012/09/19 02:47:32
    Tell us your estimate.
    tommyg - POTL- PWCM-JLA
    I have no idea. I'm hoping for 3% - 5%.
  • Kat ♪ ~ ♪ 2012/09/19 02:34:29
    Tell us your estimate.
    Kat ♪ ~ ♪
  • Gracie - Proud Conservative 2012/09/19 02:32:53
    Tell us your estimate.
    Gracie - Proud Conservative
    I'm going with 40%...just like American Jews, some people just don't get it.

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