Next Great Depression? MIT researchers predict "global economic collapse" by 2030
Damocles
2012/04/05 16:47:06
( AP / Andy Wong )
A new study from researchers at Jay W. Forrester's institute at MIT says that the world could suffer from "global economic collapse" and precipitous population decline" if people continue to consume the world's resources at the current rate.
Smithsonian Magazine writes that Australian physicist Graham Turner says, "the world is on track for disaster" and that current evidence coincides with a famous, and in some quarters, infamous, academic report from 1972 entitled, "The Limits to Growth." The study's researchers created a computing model to forecast different scenarios based on the current models of population growth and global resource consumption. The study also took into account different levels of agricultural productivity, birth control and environmental protection efforts.
Most of the computer scenarios found population and economic growth continuing at a steady rate until about 2030. But without "drastic measures for environmental protection," the scenarios predict the liklihood of a population and economic crash.
However, the study said "unlimited economic growth" is still possible if world governments enact policies and invest in green technologies that help limit the expansion of our ecological footprint.
Turner says that perhaps the most startling find from the study is that the results of the computer scenarios were nearly identical to those predicted in similar computer scenarios used as the basis for "The Limits to Growth."
"There is a ver clear warning bell being rung here," Turner said. "We are not on a sustainable trajectory."
A new study from researchers at Jay W. Forrester's institute at MIT says that the world could suffer from "global economic collapse" and precipitous population decline" if people continue to consume the world's resources at the current rate.
Smithsonian Magazine writes that Australian physicist Graham Turner says, "the world is on track for disaster" and that current evidence coincides with a famous, and in some quarters, infamous, academic report from 1972 entitled, "The Limits to Growth." The study's researchers created a computing model to forecast different scenarios based on the current models of population growth and global resource consumption. The study also took into account different levels of agricultural productivity, birth control and environmental protection efforts.
Most of the computer scenarios found population and economic growth continuing at a steady rate until about 2030. But without "drastic measures for environmental protection," the scenarios predict the liklihood of a population and economic crash.
However, the study said "unlimited economic growth" is still possible if world governments enact policies and invest in green technologies that help limit the expansion of our ecological footprint.
Turner says that perhaps the most startling find from the study is that the results of the computer scenarios were nearly identical to those predicted in similar computer scenarios used as the basis for "The Limits to Growth."
"There is a ver clear warning bell being rung here," Turner said. "We are not on a sustainable trajectory."
Sort By
- brian.tucker.988 2013/05/04 06:42:26This is B.S.For a study to predict that more government spending is the way to avoid economic collapse when out of control gov spending has already pushed most states to the edge of collapse tells me this will never survive peer review, if it is ever submitted.reply
- bob 2012/04/05 17:16:28This is serious!It's a bit scarry I'll be 72 by then.... Will this also start WW3?reply
-
That wasn't mentioned in the study, but anything is a possibility I guess.reply














