New PPP Poll Shows Ron Paul Polling Slightly Better Than Romney vs Obama in North Carolina
Public Policy Polling may have buried the lede in its latest news release.
pollster, which mainly works for Democratic candidates, starts by
talking about Mitt Romney facing a tough road here, despite effectively
wrapping up the nomination when former Sen. Rick Santorum suspended his campaign earlier this week. The
release goes on to say PPP's latest poll shows Obama with a 49 percent
approval rating in the state, one percentage point shy of the magical 50
percent mark and one percentage point ahead of his "negative" number.
But what caught our attention was this paragraph, deep in the release:
Paul matches Romney's general election viability in North Carolina,
also trailing Obama by a 5 point margin at 48-43. Newt Gingrich would be
far weaker, trailing Obama by 10 points at 51-41. His favorability
spread is 26/64. It's irrelevant now but we found Rick Santorum trailing
Obama 50-44 on this poll."
Really? Paul hasn't come close to
winning a single state in the primary but he'd be just as good as Romney
against Obama this fall? And he's doing better in that regard than
Gingrich, who is actually spending some time here?
So if you break down the numbers:
Obama vs Romney 49-44
Obama vs Paul 48-43
That means Paul actually pulls Obama away 1% point farther away from the magical 50% point.
unless something quite unusual happens -- like Gingrich catching fire
all of a sudden -- those are purely academic questions.
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