How many Muslims are Terrorists?
- 2010/01/29 15:18:03
- Read all 21 opinions
I am often asked to guess as to how many Muslims are jihadists. The
easiest answer is: enough to commit the terrorist acts detailed in this
1,000-page-long Islamic Terror Timeline. But if you are looking for a more analytical response, I think the math goes something like this:
are between 1.2 and 1.5 billion Muslims in the world. Half are women.
While a substantial percentage of Islamic women support jihad, less
than one in fifty Islamic terrorist acts is actually perpetrated by a
female. That leaves us with a maximum pool of jihadists that is just
over 50% of the total population.
preponderance of terrorist acts are conducted by young Muslim men 15 to
30 years old. This age bracket covers about half of the male population
of the Islamic world, leaving us with a potential jihad pool of 25% of
all Muslims - approximately 300 million people.
logical way to determine the percentage of Muslims who are
salafi/fundamentalists - a precondition to jihad - is to consider the
most recent elections in Islamic countries. For example, the
fundamentalist Islamic group HAMAS received 65% of the popular vote in "Palestine." The somewhat secular Fatah, at least by comparison to HAMAS, won only 30% of the votes.
he was not popularly elected, Turkey's president, Ahmet Necdet Sezar,
is a fundamentalist Muslim. Turkey's parliament, which selected him by
a 70% majority, is formed as a result of a popular mandate and it is
predominately composed of fundamentalist Muslims. Turkey's Prime
Minister, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, is the nation's most popular leader. He
is a convicted felon who believes: "Mosques are our barracks, domes are
our helmets, minarets our bayonets, and believers our soldiers." He won
a landslide victory in 2002 - and Turkey is considered to be the most
moderate Islamic state.
The newly elected fundamentalist
Islamic nutcase ruling Iran, President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, earned 62%
of the popular vote. The most moderate Islamic challenger garnered less
than twenty percent support. The notion that the majority of Iranians
are hostile to the Shia mullahs, and are poised for a revolution, is a
In Lebanon, politicians got all excited when 50,000 people
marched in support of democracy. The following week when 500,000 people
protested in support of Islam/Submission, the percentage of
fundamentalist Muslims became clear.
candidates in the most recent Iraqi elections, those individuals who
belonged to clerical parties like the Islamic Revolution in Iraq
founded by Grand Ayatollah al-Sistani, won 65% of the seats in the new
While opinion surveys can be suspect, and are often
tainted by the manner in which a question is phrased, there are two
that are worth mentioning. Opinion polls taken by the British
Government reveal that 70% of Iraqis think killing Americans is
justified, something that is impossible to justify outside the
conditioning of fundamentalist Islam. The rising death toll of American
troops and stunning escalation in terror in Iraq give credence to those
numbers. Polls taken in Pakistan, where bin Laden is being harbored,
reveal that 70% of Pakistanis view the world's most famous Islamic
terrorist very favorably. In fact, Osama has become the most popular
name for boys in the region.
Therefore, based upon the most
objective data available to us, at least 60% of all Muslims have the
potential to be jihadists by way of their fundamentalist voting
patterns. That is to say, Islam has grown substantially closer to its
salafi, and thus terrorist, roots over the past decade. It is safe to
say that 750 million Muslims are fundamentalists trying to follow
Allah's orders and Muhammad's example. And as fundamentalists, they are
If the 60% response levels derived from
polling data is an accurate reflection of the current state of Islam,
then sex and age criteria further reduce Islamic terrorist candidates
down to a maximum of one in every seven Muslims - 25% of 60%. That
means that no more than 15% of the total Islamic population of 1.2 to
1.5 billion people has the potential to be a terrorist should the
opportunity arise. That equates to a minimum of 180 million potential
jihadists and a maximum of 225 million.
But when it comes to
actual jihadists, to those who have or will commit an act of terrorism
in Allah's name, my research suggests that they represent no more than
one in one hundred of the 180 million young fundamentalist Muslim men
prepared mentally, morally, and spiritually to be terrorists. That
means that there are 1.8 million actual Islamic jihadists on the planet
today - a number which could jump one hundred fold almost
instantaneously should the opportunity arise.
political commentator Daniel Pipes says that there are no less than 130
million Islamic jihadists but I don't believe that is possible because
there haven't been sufficient jihadist attacks over the past 20 years
for that many Muslims to be engaged in the business of killing people
for Allah. The potential pool of jihadists, however, is reasonably
close to Pipes' estimate.
Before you get a warm and cozy
feeling, thinking that only 60% of Muslims are sufficiently
indoctrinated in fundamentalist Islam to be a terrorist should the
opportunity arrise, and that only 25% of those Muslims are the
appropriate age and sex to actually engage in jihad, let's consider
some recent historical events. In 1917, less than 3% of Russians were
Communists. Yet since that 3% was sufficiently corrupted by an immoral
and ruthless religion (Socialist Secular Humanism), they quickly came
to oppress the entire nation - murdering 30 million Russians in the
process. In 1924, less than 3% of Germans were Nazis. And yet since
that 3% was sufficiently corrupted by Hitler's "People's Religion" as
it was immorally and ruthlessly laid out in Mein Kampf, that 3% came to
oppress the entire nation and led the world into a war that killed 50
Also keep in mind that while only 15% of
Muslims are potential jihadists today, that percentage is growing
rapidly. Thanks to OPEC funding and clerical indoctrination, the
Islamic world is becoming increasingly fundamentalist. In twenty years
most Muslims could be terrorists - and probably will be.
is another factor in play that we must not ignore. When America invaded
Iraq my analysis was validated. With accessible Infidel targets, the
gap between potential jihadists and actual jihadists narrowed
substantially. Acts of terrorism increased over one million percent -
from one every several months to hundreds per day. Given the
opportunity to tangibly demonstrate their religion, an unparalleled
number of Muslims became terrorists. Therefore, should there be another
miscue like Iraq, or should the war on terror be expanded, rather than
dealing with 1.8 million Islamic jihadists, the world will have to
confront a hundred million of them, or more.
The moral of the
story is: the fastest way to convert potential jihadists into actual
jihadists is to send infidels into an Islamic country. To say that the
American invasion of Iraq was counterproductive, is the understatement
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