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General Motors To Go Bankrupt Again? ... and should we let it this time?

drdos1943 2012/09/09 02:40:21
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Thirty years ago, General Motors claimed 48% of the United States market. Today, the company can claim 18%, and that figure is stable, but would be even lower if the government, with out tax dollars, did not buy thousands of their vehicles.

General motors has over one million employees. About half of those jobs are not in the United States.

The stimulus "saving" of GM was a temporary band-aid. Most of the money went to
bolster the underfunded union pensions and benefits. Not much went to
the company except to build a Chevy Volt plant, which can now be added
to government failures. Very few, if any, of the union issues, which led to GM's
demise were addressed.



GM stock is now selling for a little over $21/share. It needs to be
selling for over $53/share to pay us taxpayers back the billions it owes
us. If the economy does not substantially improve, expect GM either to
file for bankruptcy or to ask for another stimulus in the very near
future.... but, of course, not before the election. The embarrassment to
the Obama administration would be irreparable.
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Top Opinion

  • Tee Quake 2012/09/09 02:46:47
    We should let GM go bankrupt and reorganize.
    Tee Quake
    +8
    Let them fail. This too big to fail malarkey is no more than political doublespeak when it comes to huge union employers who are the Democrat's life blood. They're not too big to fail; they're too important to the Democrat's retaining control, politically.

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  • T. Bejma 2012/09/17 13:16:37
    Other....
    T. Bejma
    Looks like the Credit Reporting Agencies don't believe GM (or Ford for that matter), are going Bankrupt...

    "DBRS, Canada’s largest credit rating agency, upgraded GM to BBB (low) from BB (high), citing its robust financial profile due to a strong balance sheet, with low debt, and solid earnings performance over the past two and a half years. DBRS also upgraded Ford Motor to BBB (low), putting both U.S. automakers into investment grade territory."

    “The Company’s progress in its core North American market has been impressive amid industry conditions that, while improving, remain below historical norms. The strong results of GM’s North American operations (GMNA) incorporate higher volumes and firmer pricing that are not only a function of moderately improving industry conditions, but also reflect GM’s success in introducing new vehicle models, most of which have been well received in the marketplace and are attaining higher pricing and segment share vis-à-vis their predecessors.”

    "GM’s geographic diversification, including China, is a strength, adding that a lackluster performance in South America is due to a relatively old product line and changing government policies that have affected trade patterns as well as access to foreign currency. GM is in the process of rolling out a...



    Looks like the Credit Reporting Agencies don't believe GM (or Ford for that matter), are going Bankrupt...

    "DBRS, Canada’s largest credit rating agency, upgraded GM to BBB (low) from BB (high), citing its robust financial profile due to a strong balance sheet, with low debt, and solid earnings performance over the past two and a half years. DBRS also upgraded Ford Motor to BBB (low), putting both U.S. automakers into investment grade territory."

    “The Company’s progress in its core North American market has been impressive amid industry conditions that, while improving, remain below historical norms. The strong results of GM’s North American operations (GMNA) incorporate higher volumes and firmer pricing that are not only a function of moderately improving industry conditions, but also reflect GM’s success in introducing new vehicle models, most of which have been well received in the marketplace and are attaining higher pricing and segment share vis-à-vis their predecessors.”

    "GM’s geographic diversification, including China, is a strength, adding that a lackluster performance in South America is due to a relatively old product line and changing government policies that have affected trade patterns as well as access to foreign currency. GM is in the process of rolling out a more modern lineup in South America."

    "While GM initially benefited by dumping many of its obligations in bankruptcy, DBRS said, “GM has proved successful in upholding its balance sheet (and even strengthening it considerably further)."

    http://www.forbes.com/sites/j...
    (more)
  • drdos1943 T. Bejma 2012/09/17 20:30:06
    drdos1943
    We shall see.
  • Raphy 2012/09/10 03:51:47
    We should let GM go bankrupt and reorganize.
    Raphy
    +2
    Ford survive without a bailout. GM need's to get their S#!T together. That is why I drive a Ford
  • marty 2012/09/10 01:33:55
    We should let GM go bankrupt and reorganize.
    marty
    +1
    Tough luck; other corporations/companies don't get bailed out a first time so why should GM get bailed out again? Here's an idea: update your manufacturing line-up to reflect what others are buying! Notice the decline of SUV sales? Stop making them! If your trucks and passenger vans are doing great, emphasize those. Americans aren't the only ones that buy and drive vehicles ya know; make and market to Asia and Europe.
  • drdos1943 marty 2012/09/10 06:20:19 (edited)
    drdos1943
    Gas prices are high. In most of Europe, it is approaching $9/gallon and over $10.00 in Norway; but the average income is a higher than in the U.S. so the bite isn't quite as bad. The "gas price relative to income" is what counts. In India, for instance, at about $5.50 a gallon, to fill up a Chevy Suburban takes about two month's income.... so one should not even think about marketing anything abroad to the masses except those vehicles that are gas stingy and practical.

    I drive a Nissan Altima that get's 34mpg highway (actually more) and about 28mpg city. It was built in Smyrna, Tennessee with just about all parts made in the U.S.A. and built by American labor. I've owned Cadillacs and even more expensive vehicles; and in many respects, I like this car better ... and Nissan's service has been exemplary. ... no I am not affiliated with Nissan. My wife drives a Ford fusion.

    Last year, when we were shopping for a new car for my wife, we looked at the cars in the show room of two GM dealers. On more than one vehicle in the showrooms, the doors and trunk trim didn't line up. We crossed GM off our list.
  • william raggett 2012/09/10 01:00:15
    We should let GM go bankrupt and reorganize.
    william raggett
    +1
    They outsourced most of their work anyways I say they should just move to Mexico and let them help bail them out. I wouldn't buy anything GM
  • firebird 2012/09/09 15:21:14
    We should let GM go bankrupt and reorganize.
    firebird
    +1
    YES.. let it go bankrupt AGAIN ! NO MORE BAILOUT MONEY TO THEM... we already bailed them out... they blew it! SORRY GM you need to reorganize and start over and DOWNSIZE... CUT OUT THE BIG PERKS, THE BIG VACATIONS, THE BIG BONUSES...STOP THE OUTRAGEOUS SALARIES ...
  • Jacob Mahurien 2012/09/09 15:17:31
    We should let GM go bankrupt and reorganize.
    Jacob Mahurien
    +1
    It's sad, and a lot of people will lose jobs, (temporarily), but more money from the government won't help them.
  • drdos1943 Jacob M... 2012/09/09 15:44:14
    drdos1943
    You are right. The major loss of jobs would only be temporary. Only GM would no longer be subject to union demands, be able to hire those employees back who were productive, reduce the price on their vehicles and compete in a global market.
  • lucky 2012/09/09 14:43:38
    Other....
    lucky
    +1
    The problem with GM isnt the workers, its the design of the cars they are making. They are not competitive in even their home market which is the states, Volkswagon, Honda and Niassan are kicking their butts on car design and engineering, Id like to see a complete overhaul of management, design and engineering departments. Leave the blue collar workers alone, its the white collar workers causing the problems.
  • drdos1943 lucky 2012/09/09 16:10:25
    drdos1943
    That is only part of the problem. GM, unlike Ford, did not have the fortitude to stand up to its unions and negotiate. It has been estimated that about an average of $3000-$8000 of union excesses is built into every GM vehicle. There is no way that can be competitive in the U.S., let alone in a global market as to price/per specific genre of vehicle. Toyota understood exactly what was going on, and a few years ago raised its prices without having to raise its cost of production. As a result, Toyota, for the last few years anyway, has become the most profitable auto company in the world.... at the expense of consumers. However, Ford is now beating Toyota out by producing equal or better vehicles at a lower price. Expect that Toyota start offering deals that "you cannot refuse."

    THAT IS HOW THE FREE MARKET AND CAPITALISM WORKS.
  • lucky drdos1943 2012/09/09 16:43:00
    lucky
    +2
    Id disagree with a portion of that, GM can be competitive with a competitive product, Most non-union companies pay close to or equal to union companies, just another reason why a union isnt needed now days, company benefits are often equal or in some cases even better also. The union is not the major problem with GM.

    Here is a decent article on some of the issues with GM products vs. other competitive companies.

    http://www.forbes.com/sites/l...
  • drdos1943 lucky 2012/09/09 17:11:29
    drdos1943
    +1
    Thank you for providing the link, which reinforces my claim and argument... and you are correct in that there is more to it than just a union problem; but the unions are a major problem due to the lack of leadership, management skills, and negotiating skills of GM itself, plus not having the foresight to produce quality products that the consumer wants to buy at a price that consumers want to pay. It has been estimated that $3000-$8000, depending upon the vehicle, is the union included cost in the manufacture of GM products. I do not have to be specific of how that competes in a free or global market.
  • T. Bejma drdos1943 2012/09/09 17:33:03
    T. Bejma
    No, the real reason is not the Union because BOTH GM and Ford have to deal with the same UAW Contract, Ford has just gotten leaner faster...

    "Why is Ford doing better than GM? Essentially, because it is far ahead of GM in reducing its global “platforms.” This means that it’ll be able to assemble more cars on fewer platforms, cutting its manufacturing costs and boosting its efficiency. This has allowed it to re-design its most profitable product, the gas-guzzling, greenhouse-gas emitting F-series pick up trucks that libs hate but American car drivers love. GM’s redesign of its comparable products, GM’s Silverado and GMC Sierra pickups, by contrast, is languishing."

    http://reason.com/blog/2012/0...
  • T. Bejma drdos1943 2012/09/09 17:39:42
    T. Bejma
    The whole story on the Union Labor Costs. Not a Ford vs. GM thing - all domestics in the same boat...

    "Just four years ago, the domestic automakers were paying an average of about $76 an hour in compensation for UAW workers, a full 50 percent more than what “transplant” carmakers paid at the Toyota assembly line in Georgetown, Ky., or the Honda East Liberty, Ohio, plant.

    That higher payment averaged out to a cost penalty of more than $500 per vehicle — a significant disadvantage in the hotly competitive auto industry.
    Labor costs began to come down when the UAW agreed to make major concessions in 2007 — and the union gave back even more when GM and Chrysler plunged into bankruptcy two years later.

    As labor talks began in July [2011] it was believed the Detroit automakers were paying an average of just over $50 an hour — still several dollars higher than at the typical transplant automaker."

    http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/4...
  • drdos1943 T. Bejma 2012/09/09 18:28:36 (edited)
    drdos1943
    Thank you. You just proved my argument, but also added some others which have as much validity as mine. All together they add up to where GM probably should not be in business at all.

    The fact is that they are not selling enough automobiles to stay in business. The question is why? I will have to admit that GM has some decent vehicles out there, although hardly any of them are rated highly by any of the rating organizations. Why? Could it be one of the factors might be that many buyers do not like the idea of buying an expensive commodity from a company in which they do not have confidence?
  • T. Bejma drdos1943 2012/09/09 19:24:51
    T. Bejma
    Have to disagree that GM does not have any highly rated vehicles. The new ATS is getting great reviews:

    The new Sonic, the only B-Segment compact car currently being built in the US, is profitable, fun to drive and also getting great reviews:

    http://www.caranddriver.com/r...

    And the Volt received the highest customer satisfaction rating Consumer Reports has ever had:

    http://news.consumerreports.o...

    Curious about your statement that GM is not selling enough vehicles to stay in business. That would imply that with the current market share, they would be losing money. Instead, with a streamlined organization, higher quality level and increased transaction prices, GM is definitely on the way to sustained profitability.

    Seems like the Wall Street guys are agreeing...

    http://seekingalpha.com/artic...
  • T. Bejma lucky 2012/09/09 17:17:14
    T. Bejma
    +1
    Oh really. So the Cadillac ATS, which has been widely reviewed as being better than the BMW 3 series, is not competitive. And the Chevy Cruze that has sold twice as many Nissan Sentra's in the first quarter of 2012 (57,083 to 31,763) is a dismal failure. And then take the Chevy Sonic (the only B-Segment car built in the US - Lake Orion, MI) that is the second best seller in it's class. Can't forget the VW Passat. Oh wait, GM has sold over 58,000 Mailbu's (a car that is 6 years old) compared to 24,000 of the BRAND NEW Passat's. And the best of all, proving that GM has way better Engineering than NIssan, the Chevy Volt that has sold 13,497 compare to a tiny 4,228 units for the Nissan Leaf.

    GM is no where near going bankrupt. If you look at strictly stock price, I'd be more worried about Ford who's stock was $12 in January and now is hovering around $9, and they owe the government a big payment on their loan...

    "Ford Motor owes the government $5.9 billion it borrowed in June 2009, the same month GM filed for bankruptcy. By Sept. 15, Ford needs to start paying that money back. In a government filing, the carmaker said $577 million is due within the next year, and the full amount must be paid off by June 15, 2022."

    http://www.forbes.com/sites/j...
  • drdos1943 T. Bejma 2012/09/09 19:19:51 (edited)
    drdos1943
    That is not an insurmountable amount for Ford, whose products are selling well and are rated highly. Unless the consumer starts buying GM products more aggressively, everything I have said will come to pass....if not now, then later.

    The Cadillac, although a great automobile, has a very limited market.

    It is better to sell 1000 items at two dollars each than it is to sell two items for $1000 each. For the former, if you lose a few customers, you are still in business. For the latter, if you lose even one customer, you are out of business.

    I do not want GM to go bankrupt or to go out of business; but they are doing something wrong, and no amount of government help is going to save them in the long run...and government help is translated into our help with our tax dollars. Enough is enough.
  • Vision of Verve 2012/09/09 13:38:48
  • All American 2012/09/09 13:14:59
    We should let GM go bankrupt and reorganize.
    All American
    +1
    As Romney originally suggested, chapter 11 reorganization to bust the unions stranglehold on GM and to renegotiate all obligations on more favorable terms. This is not chapter 7 liquidation like the left was trying to imply where a business is dissolved. This is what they should have done in the beginning.
  • drdos1943 All Ame... 2012/09/09 16:19:10 (edited)
    drdos1943
    +1
    It's a chapter 9 bankruptcy. What happens is that both the company produces a business plan for survival and the unions provide their plan to a judge, supported by independent business advisers. In just about all cases, the unions never win at these proceedings, the company is rejuvenated, workers who were productive go back to work, and the company profits again providing capital for expansion and more jobs.

    That is exactly what happened with many of the airline companies.

    On the other hand, the decision by the court might be to dissolve the company entirely.
  • All Ame... drdos1943 2012/09/09 16:26:16
    All American
    +1
    Thanks for info. I think a chapter 9 would be in order, you think?
  • drdos1943 All Ame... 2012/09/09 17:14:42
    drdos1943
    +1
    Yes...I think.
  • mal 2012/09/09 12:36:25
    Other....
    mal
    +1
    Let g.m. go bankrupt.It is inevitable. Fire the politicians that backed this scam .. http://www.economicpopulist.o...
  • drdos1943 mal 2012/09/09 16:53:55
    drdos1943
    +1
    That would be many in both houses of Congress... and it's about time.
  • ed 2012/09/09 12:01:34
    We should let GM go bankrupt and reorganize.
    ed
    +1
    let China bail them out
  • drdos1943 ed 2012/09/09 12:30:30
    drdos1943
    What??? ... and have them own more of us?
  • ed drdos1943 2012/09/09 15:19:28 (edited)
    ed
    they already own most of GM already and no telling what else plus if you didn't know the Chinese are in this country doing our infrastructure that Americans should be doing.
  • Maynard 2012/09/09 11:40:39
    Other....
    Maynard
    +1
    Liberal BAILED OUT FAILURES,,,,

    Solyndra,,,

    General Motors,,,

    Unions,

    COMING SOON?

    Cites, like the BK ones in California,

    THEN WHAT?

    States, like California and some more lib run States.


    STOP THE HELP PLEASE, or else,


    AMERICA WILL NEED A BAILOUT DEFINED, unless we rid ourselves of these progressives, libs, WHAT EVER THEY WANT TO BE CALLED.
  • ruralntex 2012/09/09 10:16:16
    We should let GM go bankrupt and reorganize.
    ruralntex
    +1
    The damn government should have stayed out of this in the first place.
  • Wolf 2012/09/09 08:21:41
    Other....
    Wolf
    +1
    GM and the US will be bankrupt shortly ...the Public Sector operations and their millionaire pension scam, excessive staffing and over compensation has bankrupted America...the Public Sector pension obligation is $50 Trillion on the taxpayers much higher than the $50 Billion of GM ...
  • drdos1943 Wolf 2012/09/09 11:23:24
    drdos1943
    On paper, the United States IS bankrupt. When you have a national debt of over 16 trillion and rising, and a total GDP of a little over 15 trillion and declining, that's called bankruptcy... we just haven't filed for it yet. What's saving us is that we are the monetary reserve. If we ever lose that status, be prepared for a loaf of bread to cost over $100.
  • sglmom 2012/09/09 06:46:15
    We should let GM go bankrupt and reorganize.
    sglmom
    +1
    LET it go bankrupt (As it should have been the first time around)
    INSTEAD of Reorganization ..
    SEIZE and sell their assets ..
    to pay back FIRST the TAXPAYERS for the WASTE of our resources ..

    Let's let free market fill the void
    with NEW products
    NOT Funded at OUR Taxpayer Expense ..
  • TheTruth1313 2012/09/09 06:19:40
    We should let GM go bankrupt and reorganize.
    TheTruth1313
    +2
    Yet another obama failure.
  • Jdogg 2012/09/09 06:12:00
    We should let GM go bankrupt and reorganize.
    Jdogg
    +2
    They should and hopefully they will smarten up and put the volt out of it's misery lemon volt
  • Simmering Frog 2012/09/09 05:16:23
    We should let GM go bankrupt and reorganize.
    Simmering Frog
    +2
    GM is number 1 again

    What's gone wrong with America? If this company isn't producing, let them go under. That's capitalism.
  • SteveMarine- JLA 2012/09/09 04:56:09
    No, we need to save only those job in the United States.
    SteveMarine- JLA
    +2
    Well... I hope this doesn't impact my family...they are retired GM ... My mother is sick and needs her retirement pay...or she will be screwed. And I will be pissed.
  • nonnonsenseguy 2012/09/09 04:25:33 (edited)
    We should let GM go bankrupt and reorganize.
    nonnonsenseguy
    +2
    Chrysler went into chapter 11 and they are still here. They still sold cars and I didn't hear of any jobs being lost on a massive scale.
  • CUDDLY BUT STILL CRABBY 2012/09/09 04:22:15
    We should let GM go bankrupt and reorganize.
    CUDDLY BUT STILL CRABBY
    +2
    I've read wherein the vast majority of sales of GM vehicles has been to the government.

    Pathetic.

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