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Five Reasons Why Romney is the Favorite

Obama Failed Soda Head Chief Opi 2012/06/17 13:21:20
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Why is Barack Obama’s road to re-election so steep and uncertain at this stage?

There are five important reasons.

1. An indefensible record. Every election which features an incumbent is, at least in good measure, a referendum on the record of the incumbent. The problem facing Obama is that he can’t offer a convincing case that his policies have succeeded. Recall that at the outset of his presidency, Obama told NBC’s Matt Lauer, “I will be held accountable. I’ve got four years… If I don’t have this done in three years, then there’s going to be a one-term proposition.” Yet last October, Obama had to concede to ABC’s George Stephanopoulos that “I don’t think [people are] better off than they were four years ago.”

In addition, the main achievements of the Obama presidency – including the Affordable Care Act and the stimulus package – are deeply unpopular. By virtually any measure, then, the president has presided over a failed first term. He cannot reinvent, and therefore he cannot successfully defend, his record.

2. A weakening economy. The Obama campaign rested its hopes on the American economy getting stronger rather than weaker. This would have allowed the president to argue that while things haven’t improved as quickly as Americans had hoped, the trajectory was encouraging, that progress was being made, that the building blocks to prosperity were in place. From there, Obama would say he needed a second term to complete what he (belatedly) started in his first. But the data this year – including dismal economic growth, job creation, and factory orders – have left the Obama narrative in ruins. In the fourth year of his presidency, Obama is presiding over a weak economy that is becoming weaker still. The issue the public cares most about (the economy) is the issue the president is most vulnerable on.

3. Intellectual exhaustion. The Obama campaign is out of ideas. On the economy, Obama has used virtually everything in his progressive toolkit. Nothing has worked. And so the president, unable to defend his record in the first term, is left with no compelling vision to offer in a second term. Witness his speech in Ohio yesterday. It was billed as a “major” address on the economy. But it was widely panned even on the left for being empty and uninteresting. The president himself cannot articulate why his agenda in a second term would be more effective than what he’s done in his first term. He’s running on empty.

4. A formidable opponent. The Obama campaign’s attempt to disqualify Mitt Romney on grounds that he’s too extreme to be president has fizzled. Whatever complaints one may have about Romney, being an extremist is not a plausible one. As Bill Clinton admitted, Romney has been a governor, had a “sterling business career,” and “crosses the qualification threshold.” Since securing the GOP nomination, Romney has made few unforced errors. He’s begun to repair the damage he had sustained. He’s shown impressive discipline and focus as a candidate. He’s outraising the president. And Governor Romney’s campaign is, at least as of now, clearly superior to the president’s.

5. The late break. In most presidential elections, undecided voters break in large numbers for the challenger. If someone is undecided about an incumbent they know well, they will usually cast their ballot for the challenger. That’s particularly true when the country is suffering from economic difficulties and the political fundamentals are bad for the person occupying the Oval Office, which is certainly the case today.

Craig Shirley’s book Rendezvous With Destiny reminds us that 10 days before the 1980 election, Jimmy Carter led Ronald Reagan by one point in a CBS News/New York Timespoll; and the morning of the presidential debate (October 29), a Gallup Poll reported that Carter had a three-point lead over Reagan. Yet Reagan outdueled Carter in the debate and ended up winning 44 states and defeating Carter by almost 10 points.

I have long believed, and continue to believe, that the durable dynamic in this race will be that a majority of the public, and a large majority of independent voters, (a) consider Barack Obama’s tenure to be a failure and (b) are inclined to vote against him. They are bone weary of his presidency, and they want it over.

The challenge for Mitt Romney is to sufficiently reassure these voters that he’s up to the task of being president and that he would be an improvement over Obama. There have been higher bars to clear in the history of American politics, and at this stage in the race – with less than 150 days to go – the former Massachusetts governor is on course to do just that. Which is why he should be considered the favorite in the race.

Read More: http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2012/06/15/five-...

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  • CFlyJuice 2012/06/17 13:25:53
    I agree Romney is the Favorite, comment if you like
    CFlyJuice
    +7
    Gee.... Lets see:
    Obama is an economic ignoramus that blew 1 trillion dollars on a failed stimulus that only lined the pockets of his donors like Kaiser from Solyndra. Gas prices have doubled since he took office and he has managed to keep unemployment ABOVE 8% for more than 40 straight months even after sending the debt to $15,844,561,324,145 usdebtclock.org

    Romney is a HUGELY successful CEO who saved companies and jobs that were on their way to bankruptcy and as Governor BALANCED THE BUDGET every year after inheriting a deficit, had 4.7% unemployment and saved a scandal filled Olympics in the shadow of 9-11.

    IT'S A NO BRAINER! ROMNEY IN A LANDSLIDE!
    takes a carter reagan

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  • Diane Spraggs Yates 2012/06/17 22:39:58
    I agree Romney is the Favorite, comment if you like
    Diane Spraggs Yates
    +1
    “I don’t think people are better off than they were four years ago.” Coal fired EEI electical power plant laid off indefinately 44 jobs !!! This week !!! Obama running on empty in ideas on the economy!!!
  • Diane S... Diane S... 2012/06/17 22:43:33
    Diane Spraggs Yates
    +2
    Obama broke his promise to never allow Iran the ability to create nuclear weapons.

    Obama broke his promise to end the hiring of former lobbyists into high White House jobs.

    Obama broke his promise to end no-compete contracts with the government.

    Obama broke his promise to disclose the names of all attendees at closed White House meetings.

    Obama broke his promise to NOT use SUPER-PACS

    Obama broke his promise to use matching funds for the '08 election.

    Obama broke his promise to recognize the Armenian Genocide.

    Obama broke his promise to get out of Iraq in 16 months (actually left when Bush had signed the agreement to leave)

    Obama broke his promise to end CIA renditions.

    Obama broke his promise to end the Bush tax-cuts.

    Obama broke his promise to Expand the child and dependent care credit

    Obama broke his promise to Create a foreclosure prevention fund for homeowners

    Obama broke his promise to Provide option for a pre-filled-out tax form

    Obama broke his promise to Require automatic enrollment in IRA plans

    Obama broke his promise to End income tax for seniors making less than $50,000

    Obama broke his promise to Phase out exemptions and deductions for higher earners

    Obama broke his promise to Sign the Employee Free Choice Act, making it easier for workers to unionize

    Obama broke his...



























































    Obama broke his promise to never allow Iran the ability to create nuclear weapons.

    Obama broke his promise to end the hiring of former lobbyists into high White House jobs.

    Obama broke his promise to end no-compete contracts with the government.

    Obama broke his promise to disclose the names of all attendees at closed White House meetings.

    Obama broke his promise to NOT use SUPER-PACS

    Obama broke his promise to use matching funds for the '08 election.

    Obama broke his promise to recognize the Armenian Genocide.

    Obama broke his promise to get out of Iraq in 16 months (actually left when Bush had signed the agreement to leave)

    Obama broke his promise to end CIA renditions.

    Obama broke his promise to end the Bush tax-cuts.

    Obama broke his promise to Expand the child and dependent care credit

    Obama broke his promise to Create a foreclosure prevention fund for homeowners

    Obama broke his promise to Provide option for a pre-filled-out tax form

    Obama broke his promise to Require automatic enrollment in IRA plans

    Obama broke his promise to End income tax for seniors making less than $50,000

    Obama broke his promise to Phase out exemptions and deductions for higher earners

    Obama broke his promise to Sign the Employee Free Choice Act, making it easier for workers to unionize

    Obama broke his promise to Forbid companies in bankruptcy from giving executives bonuses

    Obama broke his promise to Allow workers to claim more in unpaid wages and benefits in bankruptcy court

    Obama broke his promise to Allow imported prescription drugs

    Obama broke his promise to Prevent drug companies from blocking generic drugs

    Obama broke his promise to Allow Medicare to negotiate for cheaper drug prices

    Obama broke his promise to Appoint federal-level coordinator to oversee all federal autism efforts

    Obama broke his promise to Double federal funding for cancer research

    Obama broke his promise to Direct the Secretary of Health and Human Services to conduct a comprehensive study of federal cancer initiatives

    Obama broke his promise to Provide the CDC $50 million in new funding to determine the most effective approaches for cancer patient care

    Obama broke his promise to Fully fund the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act(IDEA)

    Obama broke his promise to Require employers to provide seven paid sick days per year

    Obama broke his promise to Develop an alternative to President Bush's Military

    Commissions Act on handling detainees

    Obama broke his promise to Seek to negotiate a political agreement on Cyprus

    Obama broke his promise to Tougher rules against revolving door for lobbyists and former officials

    Obama broke his promise to minimize civilian casualties but with drone strikes more

    than Bush had in 8 years, has killed more civilian children than Bush EVER did.

    Obama broke his promise to Expand the Employment Non-Discrimination Act to include sexual orientation and gender identity

    Obama broke his promise to Allow bankruptcy judges to modify terms of a home mortgage

    Obama broke his promise to Increase the minimum wage to $9.50 an hour

    Obama broke his promise to Restore Superfund program so that polluters pay for clean-ups

    Obama broke his promise to Reduce the number of middle managers in the federal workforce

    Obama broke his promise to Strengthen the Age Discrimination in Employment Act

    Obama broke his promise to Limit term of director of national intelligence

    Obama broke his promise to Reduce earmarks to 1994 levels

    Obama broke his promise to Enact windfall profits tax for oil companies

    Obama broke his promise to Create cap and trade system with interim goals to reduce global warming

    Obama broke his promise to Require plug-in fleet at the White House

    Obama broke his promise to Mandate flexible fuel vehicles by 2012

    Obama broke his promise to Allow penalty-free hardship withdrawals from retirement accounts in 2008 and 2009

    Obama broke his promise to No family making less than $250,000 will see "any form of tax increase."
    (more)
  • Obama F... Diane S... 2012/06/18 00:45:01
  • bill 2012/06/17 15:52:56
    I agree Romney is the Favorite, comment if you like
    bill
    +2
    Like it or not, we'll have two choices come election time. He's one of them.


    I have heard one of these stories before - it is actions that count not words or excuses..

    I checked this story out at 3 different sites as to whether it's true or not.
    It is a true story. I don't like to forward 'false' information...





    Like him or not INFO you need on the background on Mitt Romney,



    Whether you like Romney or not, this story is very revealing.
    Sometimes, this facet of Romney's personality isn't so subtle.

    In July, 1996, the 14-year-old daughter of Robert Gay, a partner at Bain
    Capital, had disappeared. She had attended a rave party in New York
    City and gotten high on ecstasy. Three days later, her distraught
    father had no idea where she was, and Romney took immediate action.

    He closed down the entire firm and asked all 30 partners and employees to
    fly to New York to help find Gay's daughter. Romney set up a command
    center at the LaGuardia Marriott and hired a private detective firm to
    assist with the search. He established a toll-free number for tips,
    coordinating the ef...


























    &

    &










    Like it or not, we'll have two choices come election time. He's one of them.


    I have heard one of these stories before - it is actions that count not words or excuses..

    I checked this story out at 3 different sites as to whether it's true or not.
    It is a true story. I don't like to forward 'false' information...





    Like him or not INFO you need on the background on Mitt Romney,



    Whether you like Romney or not, this story is very revealing.
    Sometimes, this facet of Romney's personality isn't so subtle.

    In July, 1996, the 14-year-old daughter of Robert Gay, a partner at Bain
    Capital, had disappeared. She had attended a rave party in New York
    City and gotten high on ecstasy. Three days later, her distraught
    father had no idea where she was, and Romney took immediate action.

    He closed down the entire firm and asked all 30 partners and employees to
    fly to New York to help find Gay's daughter. Romney set up a command
    center at the LaGuardia Marriott and hired a private detective firm to
    assist with the search. He established a toll-free number for tips,
    coordinating the effort with the NYPD, and went through his Rolodex
    and called everyone Bain did business with in New York, and asked them
    to help find his friend's missing daughter.

    Romney's accountants at Price Waterhouse Cooper put up posters on street
    poles, while cashiers at a pharmacy owned by Bain put fliers in the bag of every
    shopper. Romney and the other Bain employees scoured every part of New York
    and talked with everyone they could... prostitutes, drug addicts, anyone.

    That day, their hunt made the evening news, which featured photos of
    the girl and the Bain employees searching for her. As a result, a teenage boy
    phoned in, asked if there was a reward, and then hung up abruptly.

    The NYPD traced the call to a home in New Jersey, where they
    found the girl in the basement, shivering and experiencing withdrawal
    symptoms from a massive ecstasy dose. Doctors later said the girl
    might not have survived another day. Romney's former partner credits
    Mitt Romney with saving his daughter's life, saying, "It was the most
    amazing thing, and I'll never forget this to the day I die."

    So, here's my epiphany: Mitt Romney simply can't help himself. He sees
    a problem, and his mind immediately sets to work solving it, sometimes
    consciously, and sometimes not-so-consciously. He doesn't do it for
    self-aggrandizement, or for personal gain. He does it because that's
    just how he's wired.

    Many people are unaware of the fact that when Romney was asked by his
    old employer, Bill Bain, to come back to Bain & Company as CEO to
    rescue the firm from bankruptcy, Romney left Bain Capital to work at
    Bain & Company for an annual salary of one dollar. When Romney went
    to the rescue of the 2002 Salt Lake Olympics, he accepted no salary
    for three years, and wouldn't use an expense account. He also accepted
    no salary as Governor of Massachusetts.

    Character counts! The media and Obama re-election machine will focus
    on Romney's wealth and the immorality of it, as they see it, but Romney is
    a man who uses his wealth to make this world a better place.
    Let's get this message out because it is not likely that the media will do so!

    This article can be verified at www.snopes.com. It is completely true. I'd suggest you read the Snopes website for the additional comments about Romney:
    http://www.snopes.com/politic...
    (more)
  • Mr. Smith 2012/06/17 14:30:09
    I agree Romney is the Favorite, comment if you like
    Mr. Smith
    +2
    There are 15.788 trillion reasons why Romney is the favorite!

    National Debt Clock 6 17 12
  • CuppaT Child of God 2012/06/17 14:16:55
    No i do agree Romney is the Favorite , comment if you like
    CuppaT   Child of God
  • CAPISCE 2012/06/17 13:42:15
  • mwg0735 2012/06/17 13:40:20
  • irish 2012/06/17 13:37:00
    No i do agree Romney is the Favorite , comment if you like
    irish
    +1
    neither one is capable. obama is a failure of the worst kind,romney is beyond bland and a proven job destroyer. neither one is effectual at leadership.

    Bain managers said their mission was clear. “I never thought of what I do for a living as job creation,” said Marc B. Walpow, a former managing partner at Bain who worked closely with Romney for nine years before forming his own firm. “The primary goal of private equity is to create wealth for your investors.”

    Here’s the rundown on Mitt Romney’s devastating record as CEO of Bain Capital, a tenure marked by bankruptcies, bailouts, and mass layoffs — all while Romney and his partners raked in billions of dollars in profits for the firm and Romney himself amassed a quarter-billion dollar fortune.

    Romney’s Bain Capital Caused Mass Layoffs, Sent Jobs Overseas

    Thousands of Americans were laid off by Bain Capital at companies it purchased, managed, and, at least a quarter of the time, drove into bankruptcy.

    and obama:
    Obama is the most anti-business President in U.S. history. The result of his policies has been economic collapse and carnage from coast to coast.
  • Gordon 2012/06/17 13:33:03
    I agree Romney is the Favorite, comment if you like
    Gordon
    +4
    Any patriotic, law-abiding, American born citizen would be an improvement over Obama. Satanic Obama
  • CFlyJuice 2012/06/17 13:25:53
    I agree Romney is the Favorite, comment if you like
    CFlyJuice
    +7
    Gee.... Lets see:
    Obama is an economic ignoramus that blew 1 trillion dollars on a failed stimulus that only lined the pockets of his donors like Kaiser from Solyndra. Gas prices have doubled since he took office and he has managed to keep unemployment ABOVE 8% for more than 40 straight months even after sending the debt to $15,844,561,324,145 usdebtclock.org

    Romney is a HUGELY successful CEO who saved companies and jobs that were on their way to bankruptcy and as Governor BALANCED THE BUDGET every year after inheriting a deficit, had 4.7% unemployment and saved a scandal filled Olympics in the shadow of 9-11.

    IT'S A NO BRAINER! ROMNEY IN A LANDSLIDE!
    takes a carter reagan
  • mwg0735 CFlyJuice 2012/06/17 13:37:50
  • irish CFlyJuice 2012/06/17 13:38:04
    irish
    +1
    neither is good.
    Thousands of Americans were laid off by Bain Capital at companies it purchased, managed, and, at least a quarter of the time, drove into bankruptcy.
  • Selkets... irish 2012/06/22 14:31:07
    Selketskiss
    I do not care if it is that prisoner from WV running I am voting for any one that is not Odummy...

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