Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -20
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday, Labor
Day, shows that 26% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way
that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-six percent
(46%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index
rating of -20 (see trends).
Sixty-nine percent (69%) of voters nationwide view President Obama as politically liberal. Republicans and unaffiliated voters see him that
way. Democrats are fairly evenly divided. Among those in his own
political party, 47% see the president as liberal while 40% view him as a
Most voters continue to favor repeal of the health care law passed earlier this year by Congressional Democrats.
A commentary by Larry Sabato projects the Republicans will pick up 47 House seats, 8 Senate seats, and 8
Governorships. These numbers reflect a significant deterioration for the
The number of Republicans in the nation grew by two percentage points over the past month while the number of Democrats slipped a bit. As a
result, the GOP has closed the partisan gap to the smallest margin in five years.
The Presidential Approval Index is calculated by subtracting the number who Strongly Disapprove from the number who Strongly Approve. It is
updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update). Updates are also available on Twitter andFacebook.
Overall, 45% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's performance. Fifty-four percent (54%) disapprove. See more
measures of the president’s performance on the Rasmussen Reports By the Numbers page.
The Rasmussen Reports Gubernatorial Scorecard projects 27 Governorships for the GOP, 16 for the Democrats, and seven Toss-Ups (Florida, Illinois, Maryland, New Mexico, Oregon, Vermont, and Wisconsin).
A Wall Street Journal profile calls Scott Rasmussen “America’s Insurgent Pollster.”
In a book released earlier this year, Scott observed that, "The gap between Americans who want to govern themselves and politicians who want
to rule over them may be as big today as the gap between the colonies
and England during the 18th
century." In Search of Self-Governance
is available at Rasmussen Reports and Amazon.com.
The Rasmussen Reports Media Meter shows that media coverage of President Obama has been 50% positive over the
past week. It remains fascinating to watch the volatility of media
coverage concerning the president while public opinion remains stable. Platinum Members can review coverage of the president by individual major media outlets.
If you'd like Scott to speak at your conference or event, contact Premiere Speakers Bureau.
Scott has published several recent Wall Street Journal columns including "Why Obama Can't Move the Health Care Numbers" and how Obama won the White House by campaigning like Ronald Reagan. He has also written an overview of the health care reform debate, a look at how President Obama is losing independent voters, and was the first to note the decline in the president's approval ratings.
You can also learn about Scott's favorite place on earth and his time working with hockey legend Gordie Howe.
It is important to remember that the Rasmussen Reports job approval ratings are based upon a sample of likely voters. Some other firms base
their approval ratings on samples of all adults. President Obama's
numbers are always several points higher in a poll of adults rather than
likely voters. That's because some of the president's most enthusiastic
supporters, such as young adults, are less likely to turn out to vote.
It is also important to check the details of question wording when comparing approval ratings from different firms.
Rasmussen Reports has been a pioneer in the use of automated telephone polling techniques, but many other firms still utilize their own
operator-assisted technology (see methodology). Pollsters for Presidents Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton have cited our "unchallenged record for both integrity and accuracy."
The Pew Center noted that Rasmussen Reports beat traditional media in covering Scott Brown's upset win in Massachusetts earlier this year: "It was polling-not journalistic reporting-that caught the wave in the race
to succeed Massachusetts Senator Edward M. Kennedy."
Rasmussen Reports was also the first to show Joe Sestak catching Arlen
Specter in the Pennsylvania Democratic Primary race this year.
In the 2009 New Jersey Governor's race, automated polls tended to be more accurate than operator-assisted polling techniques. On reviewing
the state polling results from 2009, Mickey Kaus offered this assessment, "If you have a choice between Rasmussen and, say, the prestigious N.Y. Times, go with Rasmussen!"
In 2008, Obama won 53%-46% and our final poll showed Obama winning 52% to 46%. While we were pleased with the final result, Rasmussen Reports
was especially pleased with the stability of our results. On every
single day for the last six weeks of the campaign, our daily tracking
showed Obama with a stable and solid lead attracting more than 50% of
We also have provided a summary of our 2008 state-by-state presidential results for your review.
In 2004 George W. Bush received 50.7% of the vote while John Kerry earned 48.3%. Rasmussen Reports polling projected that Bush would win
50.2% to 48.5%. We were the only firm to project both candidates' totals
within half a percentage point by (see our 2004 results).
Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The
margin of sampling error-for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters--is
+/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are
also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for full-week results are available for Platinum Members.
Like all polling firms, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large (see methodology). Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party
affiliation using a dynamic weighting process. While partisan
affiliation is generally quite stable over time, there are a fair number
of people who waver between allegiance to a particular party or
independent status. Since the November 2008 election, the number of
Democrats in the country has declined while the number of unaffiliated
voters has grown.
Our baseline targets are established based upon separate survey interviews with a sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding three months (a total of 45,000 interviews) and
targets are updated monthly. Currently, the baseline targets for the
adult population are 35.3% Democrats, 32.9% Republicans, and 31.8%
unaffiliated. Likely voter samples typically show a slightly smaller
advantage for the Democrats
A review of last week's key polls is posted each Saturday morning.
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion polling
information. We poll on a variety of topics in the fields of politics,
business and lifestyle, updating our site’s content on a news cycle
throughout the day, everyday.
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