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Computer Model Shows Perfect Storm: Is Obama Battling Romney or Economy?

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Every four years we hear the same refrain: "It's the economy, stupid!" James Carville coined the phrase when he served as a campaign strategist for Bill Clinton's successful 1992 presidential campaign against sitting president George H. W. Bush. Carville knew that Clinton could win if he focused on the bad economy instead of the candidate, George H.W. Bush.

President Obama won the 2008 presidential election against Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) on several issues including the bad economy. Four years later, Obama faces a perfect storm of a stuttering economy: high gas prices, a volatile stock market, increased unemployment, and a crisis in the Eurozone.

George Washington University associate professor John Sides created a computer model that determined President Obama has two opponents in his 2012 re-election battle: Mitt Romney and the horrible economy. "It's not the only factor, but it's arguably the most important factor," said Professor Sides.

CNN reports:President Barack Obama is running against former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, but the economy may truly be his greatest opponent.

president barack obama running massachusetts gov mitt romney economy opponent

Read More: http://www.cnn.com/2012/06/11/politics/obama-econo...

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Top Opinion

  • RastaFan 2012/07/02 10:37:43
    The Economy
    RastaFan
    +12
    I can't believe 47% of our citizens think he's doing a great job. Where are these people?

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  • angela Frank 2012/07/04 22:36:01
    angela
    +2
    I will take this country back in the direction my pal Bush had it going....NO MORE MIDDLE CLASS!!!!!!!
  • Frank angela 2012/07/05 18:13:44
    Frank
    I agree, except you got the name wrong, it's not Bush, but rather Obama.. The middle class was still there when Bush left office..........
  • Sherlock Dog BL - a Gazillion 2012/07/04 16:54:52
  • Diane Spraggs Yates 2012/07/04 15:37:11 (edited)
    The Economy
    Diane Spraggs Yates
    +2
    It'sthe Economy !!!!Democracts controlled everything from 2007-2010. To blame Republicans means the democrats (with complete control) are inept policy makers. If Bush left a mess, well then democrats are terrible at cleaning up messes (after spending $600,000,000 of poor peoples money to "inherit" the mess they didn't see while running to solve it) even when they own the house, senate, and potus to boot.
  • burning... Diane S... 2012/07/04 19:22:48
    burningsnowman
    +2
    The US should have done what Iceland did and demanded its idiot politicians resign, the constitution be amended and all the criminal bankers be thrown in prison (although that is too good for them).
  • LisaSmith 2012/07/04 14:58:52
    The Economy
    LisaSmith
    +3
    He is so desperate that he is promising the illegals and the Mexicans that he will give them our jobs, money and country if they will only vote for him, are they really stupid enough to believe him? The college kids were that stupid in 08 so you never know.
  • Diane S... LisaSmith 2012/07/04 15:39:40
    Diane Spraggs Yates
    +2
    A chicken in every pot and they are still ready for Obama to buy them a house and car !!!!
  • Diane S... Diane S... 2012/07/04 15:40:22 (edited)
    Diane Spraggs Yates
    +3
    Here is a few of Obama broken promises-- to lessen our dependency on Middle East oil by getting more oil from our neighbors.
    Obama broke his promise for a new era of bipartisan cooperation in all matters.

    Obama broke his promise to not force Americans to buy health insurance.
    Obama broke his promise that 90% of the stimulus jobs created would be in the private sector.
    Obama broke his promise that that if you like their current health plan you can keep it.

    Obama broke his promise to put all bills on the White House web site for five days before signing them.

    Obama broke his promise to have the congressional health care negotiations broadcast live on C-SPAN.
    Obama broke his promise to end earmarks.

    Obama broke his promise to keep unemployment from rising above 8 percent.

    Obama broke his promise to close the detention center at Guantanamo in the first year.

    Obama broke his promise to make peace with direct, no precondition talks with America's most hate-filled enemies during his first year in office, ushering in a new era of global cooperation.

    Obama broke his promise to never allow Iran the ability to create nuclear weapons.

    Obama broke his promise to end the hiring of former lobbyists into high White House jobs.

    Obama broke his promise to end no-compete contracts with the gover...



























































































    Here is a few of Obama broken promises-- to lessen our dependency on Middle East oil by getting more oil from our neighbors.
    Obama broke his promise for a new era of bipartisan cooperation in all matters.

    Obama broke his promise to not force Americans to buy health insurance.
    Obama broke his promise that 90% of the stimulus jobs created would be in the private sector.
    Obama broke his promise that that if you like their current health plan you can keep it.

    Obama broke his promise to put all bills on the White House web site for five days before signing them.

    Obama broke his promise to have the congressional health care negotiations broadcast live on C-SPAN.
    Obama broke his promise to end earmarks.

    Obama broke his promise to keep unemployment from rising above 8 percent.

    Obama broke his promise to close the detention center at Guantanamo in the first year.

    Obama broke his promise to make peace with direct, no precondition talks with America's most hate-filled enemies during his first year in office, ushering in a new era of global cooperation.

    Obama broke his promise to never allow Iran the ability to create nuclear weapons.

    Obama broke his promise to end the hiring of former lobbyists into high White House jobs.

    Obama broke his promise to end no-compete contracts with the government.

    Obama broke his promise to disclose the names of all attendees at closed White House meetings.

    Obama broke his promise to NOT use SUPER-PACS

    Obama broke his promise to use matching funds for the '08 election.

    Obama broke his promise to recognize the Armenian Genocide.

    Obama broke his promise to get out of Iraq in 16 months (actually left when Bush had signed the agreement to leave)

    Obama broke his promise to end CIA renditions.

    Obama broke his promise to end the Bush tax-cuts.

    Obama broke his promise to Expand the child and dependent care credit

    Obama broke his promise to Create a foreclosure prevention fund for homeowners

    Obama broke his promise to Provide option for a pre-filled-out tax form

    Obama broke his promise to Require automatic enrollment in IRA plans

    Obama broke his promise to End income tax for seniors making less than $50,000

    Obama broke his promise to Phase out exemptions and deductions for higher earners

    Obama broke his promise to Sign the Employee Free Choice Act, making it easier for workers to unionize

    Obama broke his promise to Forbid companies in bankruptcy from giving executives bonuses

    Obama broke his promise to Allow workers to claim more in unpaid wages and benefits in bankruptcy court

    Obama broke his promise to Allow imported prescription drugs

    Obama broke his promise to Prevent drug companies from blocking generic drugs

    Obama broke his promise to Allow Medicare to negotiate for cheaper drug prices

    Obama broke his promise to Appoint federal-level coordinator to oversee all federal autism efforts

    Obama broke his promise to Double federal funding for cancer research

    Obama broke his promise to Direct the Secretary of Health and Human Services to conduct a comprehensive study of federal cancer initiatives

    Obama broke his promise to Provide the CDC $50 million in new funding to determine the most effective approaches for cancer patient care

    Obama broke his promise to Fully fund the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act(IDEA)

    Obama broke his promise to Require employers to provide seven paid sick days per year

    Obama broke his promise to Develop an alternative to President Bush's Military

    Commissions Act on handling detainees

    Obama broke his promise to Seek to negotiate a political agreement on Cyprus

    Obama broke his promise to Tougher rules against revolving door for lobbyists and former officials

    Obama broke his promise to minimize civilian casualties but with drone strikes more

    than Bush had in 8 years, has killed more civilian children than Bush EVER did.

    Obama broke his promise to Expand the Employment Non-Discrimination Act to include sexual orientation and gender identity

    Obama broke his promise to Allow bankruptcy judges to modify terms of a home mortgage

    Obama broke his promise to Increase the minimum wage to $9.50 an hour

    Obama broke his promise to Restore Superfund program so that polluters pay for clean-ups

    Obama broke his promise to Reduce the number of middle managers in the federal workforce

    Obama broke his promise to Strengthen the Age Discrimination in Employment Act

    Obama broke his promise to Limit term of director of national intelligence

    Obama broke his promise to Reduce earmarks to 1994 levels

    Obama broke his promise to Enact windfall profits tax for oil companies

    Obama broke his promise to Require plug-in fleet at the White House

    Obama broke his promise to Mandate flexible fuel vehicles by 2012

    Obama broke his promise to Allow penalty-free hardship withdrawals from retirement accounts in 2008 and 2009

    Obama broke his promise to No family making less than $250,000 will see "any form of tax increase."

    Obama broke his promise end tax-cuts for corporate jets.... HE INCREASED THEM!

    Obama broke his promise to cut the Ex-Im bank's "corporate welfare"... HE INCREASED IT!
    (more)
  • Constit... Diane S... 2012/07/04 20:19:14
    Constitution Believer
    +1
    Psst! ! ! ! ! Diane, (whispering) over here....don't tell the Liberals that they will call you a liar and a racist...
    Here my sister in Canada sent this....and she cannot stand Obozo...
    Original Chinese Proverb: "Give a man a fish, and you feed him for a day. Teach a man to fish... and you feed him for a lifetime."

    Latest Proverb: "Give a man a welfare check, a cell phone, cash for his clunker, food
    stamps, section 8 housing, Medicaid, 100 weeks of unemployment checks, a
    40-ounce malt liquor, needles, drugs, contraceptives, and designer Air
    Jordan shoes... and he will vote Democrat for a lifetime."

    Now while read this I noticed one of the promises that Obozo broke ... "Obama broke his promise to No family making less than $250,000 will see "any form of tax increase." Now I don't know how to break it to the Liberals but when the Justices came up with there decision THEY AND OBAMA ARE THE ONES THAT GAVE US THIS WONDERFUL NEW GIFT CALLED A MANDATED MEDICAL TAX...welcome to the wonderful world of politics OBAMA STYLE.
    HEIL OBAMA, HEIL OBAMA, HEIL OBAMA.....please exuce me I have to puke over that last statement of mine.
  • Diane S... Constit... 2012/07/04 21:56:40
    Diane Spraggs Yates
    +1
    I know you are right !!!! Have a nice day !!!!
  • BIGK27 2012/07/04 14:23:30
    The Economy
    BIGK27
    +3
    Well....It's the ECONOMY, Stupid!! and Obama has no HOPE to CHANGE it. Now let's move FORWARD.
  • Josh Robinson 2012/07/04 13:49:12
    The Economy
    Josh Robinson
    +1
    If he can't win neither can America. ron paul
  • Constit... Josh Ro... 2012/07/04 20:21:38
    Constitution Believer
    +3
    YEP A VOTE FOR PAUL IS A VOTE FOR OBAMA......
  • Josh Ro... Constit... 2012/07/04 22:30:51
    Josh Robinson
    +2
    A vote for romney is a vote for the banksters replacement for Obama genius... How did you forget that...?
  • konalimu Josh Ro... 2012/07/04 23:05:06
    konalimu
    +1
    Paul will add his platform to Romney's at the Tempa convention. But, would you prefer obama banksters? They donated the most money to his campaign.
  • Josh Ro... konalimu 2012/07/05 04:30:36
    Josh Robinson
    Obama banksters will have less actual freedom than a shiny new Romney admin would. Obama is being rejected from many new angles for his policies and actions. Romney will blow a fresh breath up your rears and make you feel daisy fresh but it will be a lie, these scumbags take turns like musical chairs being president. Except for one guy... Ron Paul. We need a Ron Paul type to LEAD this nation for a change.
  • Constit... Josh Ro... 2012/07/05 17:19:35
    Constitution Believer
    obviously you and your party are pissed off because NO ONE IS REALLY VOTING FOR YOU.
    I have YET to hear your boy campaign in OHIO or to see any of his AD'S.....
    Can you please explain that?
    Also can you please explain why Paul has Total: 158 del versus Romney's Total: 1522 del. and has vote wise more then you boy will ever attain?
    I have heard of die hards but YOU PEOPLE GIVE A WHOLE NEW MEANING TO STUBBORN, BULLHEADED, OR BEING AS STUBORN AS A JACKASS....
    I bet you people still believe in the Tooth Fairy Santa Clause and the Easter Bunny.
    You know damn well in your heart that he is not going to win but I guess you feel just like Obama WHAT THE EFF IT IS ONLY MONEY AND I HAVE PEOPLE THAT WILL GIVE ME MO.

    WAKE UP YOU IDIOT.
  • Josh Ro... Constit... 2012/07/05 20:13:28 (edited)
    Josh Robinson
    I can explain it... Ron Paul refuses to take mega-bank money and his grass-roots donations ran out. Now instead of borrowing tens of MILLIONS of dollars like the others do, Rons campaign stopped spending when it ran out of money. THAT'S SOME PRESIDENTIAL BEHAVIOR. For example... Gingrichs campaign ended in debt of 3-4million dollars. Can you imagine how in debt both financially and in favors these 2 ass clowns are by now...? They owe their first born grand children to banks. It's not pathetic when a candidate stops spending when they are out of money. Not racking up vanity debts is Un-American but guess what... that America is dying and needs a tight-wad in charge. How in debt are you...? Lol...! And as far as delegates are concerned It is unlawful to intimidate,threaten or otherwise discourage any delegate from voting their conscience... So Romney nor Paul have ANY delegates.... WAKE UP YOURSELF YOU ILL-INFORMED MSM REGURGITATIOR. Ron Paul has the peoples vote... Romney has the stolen vote his ''DELEGATES'' will not honor in the voting rooms. I bet hundreds and hundreds of Romneys delegates vote their conscience for Ron Paul despite the threats of formal charges and promissory contracts they signed. Do you really think Ron Paul was some kind of flash-in-the-pants fad..? He's our times Thomas Jefferson broseph...!
    Lol... now what do you have to say..?
  • Constit... Josh Ro... 2012/07/10 19:15:26
    Constitution Believer
    EXCUSE ME "Ron Paul has the peoples vote" 2 million voted Paul versus 9 million Romney....WHERE IN THE HELL DID YOU GO TO SCHOOL?
    Since when does Less mean a WIN versus MORE being a looser?
    I don't understand you Paulistonians method of madness.
    DO YOU STILL BELIEVE THAT SANTA COMES DOWN THE CHIMNEY ON CHRISTMAS EVE OR THE EASTER BUNNY LEAVES EGGS AT YOUR HOUSE?
    As for the legality of the Delegates PLEASE SHOW ME WHERE IT IS SO THAT I CAN READ IT....I WANT TO READ IT NOT TAKE YOUR WORD FOR IT...
    Please explain HOW he is going to go all the way and be nominated for the Presidency....DAMN DREAM ON OR WAKE UP FROM YOUR FANTASY.
  • Josh Ro... Constit... 2012/07/10 21:45:35
  • Constit... Josh Ro... 2012/07/11 22:31:39
    Constitution Believer
    Ok mister guru of politics just where are your links to prove or disprove?
    I have not seen any one post an answer to that one.
    Just like when I get into it with many over what they say about Obama, funny I am still waiting for links from them.
    Trust me I just didn't pull those figure out of thin air.
    As I stated you Libartarians are the hardest people to prove anything to you will argue that black is not black even when you have the facts and figures in front of you.
    But then again I keep forgetting you have personal contacts with Paul. Sadly it is people like you that this country is in the condition you people are no different then the supporters of OBAMA.
    Again supply links
  • Josh Ro... Constit... 2012/07/12 00:25:24
    Josh Robinson
    If I dedicate months of my life 24/7 I might be able to pull 1 districts authentic numbers and furnish them for you. It's that sort of a mess you are asking people to go through. How about you just look up the testimonials of people who reported voter tallys that didn't match what the news/official count later stated. Some counties that were overwhelmingly won by Paul weren't even reported or were otherwise excluded from the final polling numbers. It's crooked and you hiding behind the lack of a linkable smoking gun makes you a fool. Why would you fight for your own slavery..? This makes no sense to me... never has.
  • Constit... Josh Ro... 2012/07/15 22:52:16
    Constitution Believer
    Therefore you cannot produce the proof I asked.
    I produced facts as I found them and if I CAN FIND THEM SURELY A PAULISTONIAN CAN ALSO USE THE SAME PROCEEDURES THAT i DID.
    As for slaves I am no man's slave. Not yours, not Pauls, not Romney's, not Obama's, and SURE AS HELL NOT ANY GOVERNMENT, simple as that.
    Now I again ask you show me where in Mr. Paul's platform does it even so much as mention SLAVERY.
    Please remember thus far you are batting ZERO.
  • Josh Ro... Constit... 2012/07/16 03:17:44
    Josh Robinson
    No thanks... enjoy patting yourself on the back...
  • Constit... Josh Ro... 2012/07/16 17:13:35
    Constitution Believer
    damn just like paul afraid of looooooooooooosing..........
    loser
  • Josh Ro... Constit... 2012/07/16 17:19:09
    Josh Robinson
    I knew you would... you can't resist. You don't have the self control.
  • Danaman117 2012/07/04 12:57:46
    Mitt Romney
    Danaman117
    +2
    Screw Obummer and Romney, Ron Paul is the only true answer.obama and the economy is a bull crap scam to create more taxes for you sheep that just conform and don't do research for your self's. he will tax you if you don't get his crap medical plan, he will tax you for using to much carbon, he will regulate your power usage from the power plant......wake up people "RON PAUL"
  • Mike Danaman117 2012/07/04 19:08:38
    Mike
    +1
    yea...but Ron Paul isn't running anymore....although he's not endorsing Mitt....I'll vote for Mitt just to keep Obama out....besides....the Libertarian group will have a better platform if Mitt is in rather then Obama.....I agree with what you say....but RP isn't running...:(
  • Constit... Danaman117 2012/07/04 20:36:09
    Constitution Believer
    +2
    IMO the closest Paul will get to the Republican Convention is to state his case in the nearest bathroom.
    Damn just look at the statistics...how many delegates does Romney have versus the number of delegates that Paul has. Are you trying to tell me that LESS WILL GET YOU MORE AND MORE WILL GET YOU LESS..........USE YOUR HEAD FOR SOME OTHER THEN A DAMNED HAT RACK.

    A VOTE FOR PAUL IS A VOTE FOR OBAMA.
  • shadow76 2012/07/04 08:34:23
    Mitt Romney
    shadow76
    +5
    actually he is battling liberty loving Americans!
  • bpf 2012/07/04 05:44:45 (edited)
    The Economy
    bpf
    +2
    Really you could list multiple things that Obama has screwed up, remember he had a lot of help from the democrats when they took full veto proof control in 2007 of both the House & Senate....and started the spending spree that drove our National Debt through the ceiling. People in America looked at the stats from 2007, the debt, stock market and the unemployment numbers after the Democrats took over in 2007. President Bush big mistake in 2007 he didn't veto anything..even though the Democrats could have easily overrode his veto it would at least been good to have more of a backbone and said to the American People... see these are the ones taking the future from your children.
  • findthelight2000 2012/07/04 05:25:24
    The Economy
    findthelight2000
    +2
    So, another failed poll by this poster.
  • exhon2009 2012/07/04 02:31:34
    The Economy
    exhon2009
    +4
    Mitt Romney is an imperfect candidate to be sure but if you're Barack Obama you have a bad economy hanging off of you like a cheap suit. I find it interesting that while Obama claims the republican's model for the economy was tried and failed in the past ten years. Didn't he know that his model of Keynsian economics was tried by Franklin Roosevelt 75 years ago and it failed then?
  • ComeOnNow 2012/07/03 23:57:15 (edited)
    The Economy
    ComeOnNow
    +3
    Obama is battling all of his horribly failed policies.He is promising free stolen stuff to everyone and people are still running from him in droves. It is like people running from the free sample lady at the store. He is that bad.
  • Kane Fernau 2012/07/03 23:50:36
    Mitt Romney
    Kane Fernau
    +2
    We are in a Depression. The media rigs the polls to keep people interested. Who do you know that thinks things are improving?
  • Aurora 2012/07/03 23:19:27
    The Economy
    Aurora
    +2
    Won't run on his record so this is all he has.
  • Mel the Witch POTL PWCM~JLA 2012/07/03 22:16:49 (edited)
    Mitt Romney
    Mel the Witch POTL PWCM~JLA
    +4
    He is in debt to Unions Soros an every other scum bag on the planet, He has sold the Country out. Anyone who supports this POS is crazy
  • Little Angel 2012/07/03 22:16:48 (edited)
    The Economy
    Little Angel
    +3
    It seems that both candidates are in a name calling contest and both are
    ignoring the issue of our economy. It is unbelievable that Obama thinks
    the average American is doing fine. If ever there was a time for a third
    party to take over running our economy it is now. That is why I belong
    to the Green Party and my vote will go to Jill Stein. For over a year I have
    been promoting the Green Party all over the U.S.

  • Charles E 2012/07/03 22:04:35
    Mitt Romney
    Charles E
    +3
    He wants to keep the discussion as far as possible from the miserable economy and high unemployment.
  • clasact 2012/07/03 21:53:40
    The Economy
    clasact
    +1
    if the economy picks up it wont be a race at all

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