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As tide of illegal immigrants goes home,will U.S. Economy Suffer?

atomikmom 2012/04/15 22:48:44
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As tide of illegal immigrants goes home, will US economy suffer?



The illegal immigrant boom has fizzled; and as Mexican migrants go
home, the question is whether it will drain the labor pool and hurt the
US economy.



In the more than a dozen states that require businesses to confirm
employment eligibility through the Internet-based federal program E-Verify,
employers are in a corner. "The em-ployers just really don't have an
option," Ms. Whitley says. She adds that the farm labor workforce is 75
percent illegal.









Whitley has noticed growing interest in the H-2A visa program that
brings in temporary seasonal farmworkers. But many employers still shun
these visas, saying the program – which requires housing provisions and
set wages – is too bureaucratic and costly. Advocacy groups long have
maintained the program is fraught with employer abuse.

Massey says
spot shortages are possible in sectors that employ large numbers of
Mexican workers, particularly agriculture, but he believes that a
gradual shift toward the use of guest workers may offset any potential
labor deficiencies.

Mexicans in growing numbers are securing visas
that allow them to hold temporary US jobs legally, says Massey. "The
workers that are coming into the United States are not just agricultural
workers, they're workers in the non-agricultural sector, and
increasingly, they're skilled workers."

The US State Department
reports a 53 percent increase in temporary visas for seasonal farm work
issued between 2006 and 2010. And other visa categories are driving the
expansion, too, including those for professional health and technology
workers under the North American Free Trade Agreement.

But even with the visas, the farm labor situation suffers, says David Dyssegaard Kallick, a senior fellow at the Fiscal Policy Institute, a nonpartisan think tank in New York. "Those jobs really do seem to go begging when immigrants are pushed out, at least temporarily."

In
the long run, Mr. Kallick says, the US labor market probably would
adapt: "Maybe wages and working conditions would go up enough to make
the jobs more attractive, or maybe some farms would close up shop.
Basically, though, I don't think dishes wouldn't be washed in
restaurants without immigrants to do it."

He says the flow of immigrants will return when the demand for workers is back, although "we're not anywhere near there" yet.

"As
long as the large wage differences between Mexico and the US exist,
there will be incentives for people to endure the real risks of crossing
illegally," says Judith Gans, manager of an immigration policy program
at the University of Arizona in Tucson. She says that as jobs do become available, the pressure on the border will correspondingly increase.

In
the long term, the changes in Mexico and shifts in migration in all of
Latin America may ease the pull north of the border, Ms. Gans adds.

The
impact of fewer illegal immigrants coming into the US will depend on
how long it takes for the economy to bounce back, says Audrey Singer, a
senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, a Washington public policy group.

"In
the intervening time, a lot can happen in a place like Mexico, where
unemployment is relatively low right now," she says. "Birthrates have
dropped and the demand for workers has been rising. For young people
entering the workforce, it may mean more opportunities and less reason
to leave."

• Sara Miller Llana contributed to this article from Mexico City.










Read More: http://www.thechristiansciencemonitor.com

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  • DavidK 2012/04/16 15:21:35
    NO
    DavidK
    Minorities......................

    We need
    to show more sympathy
    for these people.



    *


    They travel miles in the
    heat.

    *


    They risk their lives crossing a
    border.

    *


    They don't get paid enough
    wages.

    *


    They do jobs that others won't do
    or
    are afraid to do.

    *

    They
    live in crowded
    conditions
    among a people who
    speak a different
    language.
    *
    They
    rarely see their families,
    and they
    face adversity all day ~ every
    day.


    I'm not
    talking about illegal Mexicans


    ~

    I'm talking
    about our troops!


    Doesn't
    it seem strange that so
    many are
    willing to lavish all kinds
    of social
    benefits on illegals,
    but don't support our
    troops?

    Wouldn't it
    be great if we took
    the
    $360,000,000,000 (that's billion)
    we spend on
    illegals every
    year, and spend it on our
    troops!!!
  • Maynard 2012/04/16 11:24:45
    NO
    Maynard
    The ER that never got paid? SUFFER?

    The people who got their car smashed by a guy with no insurance, SUFFER?

    AMERICA SUFFER?


    OK, you got me, a few more months to go.
  • Lady Whitewolf 2012/04/16 10:20:22
    NO
    Lady Whitewolf
    Maybe that will clear up jobs for AMERICAN CITIZENS!
  • David Hussey 2012/04/16 06:45:45
    YES
    David Hussey
    Of course it will. All those people support local economies wherever they happen to be and of the jobs they leave behind many will end up being shipped out of the country as those jobs are not viable paying the wages American workers demand. Not to mention all the tax remittances which never have any claims paid out on
  • Arjuna 2012/04/16 06:29:11
    Undecided
    Arjuna
    +1
    maybe maybe not. With the levels of unemployment, I suppose "legal" Americans will have to man the sweat shop jobs. On this matter of legality of human beings:

    no human being is illegal
  • peggy 2012/04/16 05:54:08
    Undecided
    peggy
    They ain't going home thete in the welfare lines! Haha. Where have you been. 560.00 a month per kid, 1500.00 a month for a premature baby, free medical, housing, and food stamps....they arent leaving thiet multipleimg collecting ss that YOU WILL NEVER GET haha. Omg unbelievable
  • Kane Fernau 2012/04/16 04:20:58
    NO
    Kane Fernau
    +1
    Obama has managed to degrade our economy to the point that Mexico's economy is stronger than ours.
  • H H 2012/04/16 03:59:45
    YES
    H H
    The US economy is in such bad shape, some illegals going home isn't going to make the economy better again. The fundamental things wrong with the economy will still be present. The US has foolishly deported its manufacturing base under the flawed ideology of free trade. Instead of a sound dollar, we have a fiat currency that gets perpetually devalued. The monetary system and the economy are under the control of the Federal Reserve, which is a Rothschild bank, i.e. the Federal Reserve operates to serve the interests of the cabal of Jewish usury bankers who own it, not the interests of America.

    The one huge mistake that has killed the US was the failure of conservative leadership to block the Immigration and Nationality Act of 1965. Jews constantly pushed for immigration reform since some time around 1900. They finally succeeded with the 1965 act. That did away with quotas of national origin and increased the number of legal immigrants from around 250,000 to more than a million per year. Those immigrants are almost all nonwhite. They are also young, meaning that they have higher birthrates than Americans native to this country. Gradually they are shifting the demographic away from the Europids who founded and made the US great. Many may not notice the gradual changes...
    The US economy is in such bad shape, some illegals going home isn't going to make the economy better again. The fundamental things wrong with the economy will still be present. The US has foolishly deported its manufacturing base under the flawed ideology of free trade. Instead of a sound dollar, we have a fiat currency that gets perpetually devalued. The monetary system and the economy are under the control of the Federal Reserve, which is a Rothschild bank, i.e. the Federal Reserve operates to serve the interests of the cabal of Jewish usury bankers who own it, not the interests of America.

    The one huge mistake that has killed the US was the failure of conservative leadership to block the Immigration and Nationality Act of 1965. Jews constantly pushed for immigration reform since some time around 1900. They finally succeeded with the 1965 act. That did away with quotas of national origin and increased the number of legal immigrants from around 250,000 to more than a million per year. Those immigrants are almost all nonwhite. They are also young, meaning that they have higher birthrates than Americans native to this country. Gradually they are shifting the demographic away from the Europids who founded and made the US great. Many may not notice the gradual changes, but over time they will add up to transform America into something unrecognizable in comparison to what it was. To quote James Edwards, "you cannot have a First World nation with a Third World population." California is an example of a part of the country that is already lost. No conservative can ever win an election there again.
    (more)
  • Ken 2012/04/16 02:33:14
    NO
    Ken
    +1
    It will get better and so will the funds in the Treasury.
  • Dandydon 2012/04/16 01:22:27
    NO
    Dandydon
    +2
    Why is there a tide of illegal immigrants going home,is there some kind of festival going on?
  • atomikmom Dandydon 2012/04/16 01:30:31
    atomikmom
    +1
    LOL!!!!
  • Dandydon atomikmom 2012/04/16 01:34:03
    Dandydon
    +1
    :)) !!
  • atomikmom Dandydon 2012/04/16 02:34:11
    atomikmom
    +1
    LOL!!! I hope the festivals las to forever!!!
  • Dandydon atomikmom 2012/04/16 02:41:31
    Dandydon
    +1
    Me too!!... Lol!!
  • atomikmom Dandydon 2012/04/16 02:43:03
    atomikmom
    +1
    LOL!!! That would be a real dream come true!!!
  • Dandydon atomikmom 2012/04/16 02:45:57
    Dandydon
    +1
    Sure would :P
  • atomikmom Dandydon 2012/04/16 02:48:02
    atomikmom
    +1
    Immigration hits in my neighborhood 24/7, LOL!!! and i live in a God For Sakin' Liberal State!!
  • peggy atomikmom 2012/04/16 21:47:54
    peggy
    One of Americans biggest problems is the illegals continue to flood in here. County hosp. Are unable to care for our own poor and homeless vets becaue we have to take care of illegas and there spawn. Im toast. I will quit you guys can chew on me now.<><
  • peggy Dandydon 2012/04/16 05:56:07
    peggy
    +1
    No this is not true...the ranchers in Texas are still shooting at them. Haha. No there here to stay and takee over pesople
  • Dandydon peggy 2012/04/16 21:07:50
    Dandydon
    I'm pretty sure,plenty enough of them will stay....
  • JohnT 2012/04/15 23:38:35
    NO
    JohnT
    +3
    Less free medical care being given, will open jobs for those that are citizens or legally here, will help with reduction in crime rate. reduce crowded class rooms in schools. I think it is positive
  • ed 2012/04/15 23:26:56
    NO
    ed
    +3
    GOOD RIDANCE,now Americans can get a job except those that love getting taken care of by the rest of us.
  • Rusty Shackleford 2012/04/15 23:00:45
    NO
    Rusty Shackleford
    +6
    It will improve as more Americans will find employment.
  • atomikmom Rusty S... 2012/04/15 23:25:00
    atomikmom
    +1
    God Willing!!! if these cheapskate employers will pay an honest wage to the Americans. They are to use to paying Chump Change to the lllegals and they get away with it.If they want to sell their merchandise to the people, then need to pay an honest wage to Americans
  • Gregaj7 2012/04/15 23:00:26
    NO
    Gregaj7
    +5
    If what you are posting is accurate, then there should be more jobs available than there was when the illegal aliens had them.
  • atomikmom Gregaj7 2012/04/15 23:25:30
    atomikmom
    +2
    I pray there is!!!
  • Beccy 2012/04/15 22:55:26
    NO
    Beccy
    +4
    People will be able to go back to work
  • Arizona1950 2012/04/15 22:54:26
    NO
    Arizona1950
    +3
    The reason why they are leaving is because there are no jobs available that they can qualify for!
  • atomikmom 2012/04/15 22:51:23
    Undecided
    atomikmom
    +4
    It will suffer only if the American Employers don't start hiring Americans and Legals, and pay them an honest wage. E-VERIFY is a must!!!

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