If you listen to many on this site and others, conservatism is a failed belief system steeped in failure upon failure. And in the wake of President Obama's win one year ago tomorrow, you would have to conclude that what happened tonight in Virginia did not happen at all. You would also have to believe that what appears to be happening in New Jersey, isn't actually happening at either.

Watching CNN tonight (Yes I did, but for a reason) you would believe that Republicans and more importantly, Conservatives, had a fluke of a night that can not be seen as any kind of referendum on President Obama, his policies or the current state of affairs in Washington D.C. We are to believe that because Obama wasn't on the ticket, the large numbers of young, urban and the otherwise Democratically energized simply sat it out and called it in this time around.

I'm afraid I will have to call B.S. on that theory for one simple reason; the numbers tell us just to opposite. As it appears right now, and keep in mind all of the votes have not yet been counted, 90% of the Black vote went for the Democrat in Virginia. And while that sounds strong, it has dropped from 97% just a year ago. The White vote just a year ago ran 52% for Mr. Obama yet today is seems to have shifted from 52% for the Democrats to 38%. Interesting to say the least.

So what does it mean? Buyers Remorse. Just over a year ago Obama ran as a left leaning centrist bent on doing what was necessary to offer hope for change. Today, in the wake of some of that change having been passed or being in the pipe and headed down the line towards Virginian's they realize that while Virginia has bypassed most of the very big problems being suffered around the country, they can not bypass it forever. They need someone in their corner to fight off the Democratically controlled Washington wave of crushing unemployment, spending and increasing Federal interference in their daily lives. They have rejected by a 20 point or larger swing overall, the Obama Presidency and particularly his policies.

How will the likely outcome of these elections manifest themselves in Washington D.C. later this week? The most telling sign will be the Health Care Reform bill due for a vote as early as Friday of this week. Blue Dog Democrats, the more conservative fiscally of the Left, may well bolt on the bill as it is written because many of them sit in traditionally Red districts and they fear that just because they won last time, a true conservative will likely take that away from them if ran by the GOP or worse, the people themselves.

But remember, McDonnell won Virginia for one reason and one reason only, he gave Virginians a reason to vote for him, not just a name on the ballot to vote for to show their displeasure with the same old same old. In New Jersey in recent weeks, Christie has developed the same conservative message for those in Jersey to vote for and he will likely be another new GOP Governor at the next Governor's get together. In New York, in just 30 days, the unknown know holds the opportunity to take over if the vote holds along with a California district as well.

Conservative principles, when explained in their bare bones as facts will sell to Americans because it is what they overwhelmingly believe in.

Make no mistake, in the next few weeks you will see a sizable shift in the way Washington operates and Obama himself may even make a "I heard you" speech, but make no mistake, he has not changed nor has Harry Reid of Nancy Pelosi.

A Tiger does what a Tiger does....