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U.S. Debt Just Grew by $11 Trillion - Bloomberg: Does the national debt threaten the recovery?

Heisenberg 2012/08/09 14:40:52
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BLOOMBERG.COM reports:
Republicans and Democrats spent last summer battling how best to save $2.1 trillion over the next decade. They are spending this summer battling how best to not save $2.1 trillion over the next decade.

In the course of that year, the U.S. government’s fiscal gap -- the true measure of the nation’sindebtedness -- rose by $11 trillion.

The fiscal gap is the present value difference between projected future spending and revenue. It captures all government liabilities, whether they are official obligations to service Treasury bonds or unofficial commitments, such as paying for food stamps or buying drones.

Read More: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-08-08/blink-u-s...

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  • Matt 2012/08/09 14:48:47
    Yes
    Matt
    +5
    Our elected officials are all laughing at us... All the way to the bank.

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  • P. Sturm 2012/09/15 15:06:44
    Yes
    P. Sturm
    What's new? No one in either party has the will, or the balls, to stand up and do what needs to be done.
  • Alaydown 2012/08/10 11:23:36
    Yes
    Alaydown
    It hasn't helped it yet.
  • fortycal_sig 2012/08/10 05:38:21
    Yes
    fortycal_sig
    +1
    Eventually. The larger the debt, the more serious the inevitable bond market crisis will be when it materializes.

    The reason for this is that there aren't enough legitimate buyers of US Treasury debt (Bonds and Bills) to finance all the spending. So the Federal Reserve (the "Fed") steps in and buys what the few real buyers do not. They get the "money" for this by making it up out of thin air. Now the US Treasury has the new money from the Fed, which it spends into the economy.

    The flood of dollars into the economy causes inflation. There are a few technicalities by which inflation is kept somewhat under control, but the real amount of inflation is higher than officially reported.

    Now, since the Fed is making it look like there's high demand for Treasury debt, it doesn't have to be issued at the higher interest rate that would be needed to attract more real buyers. This one way the Fed keeps rates artificially low--so low, in fact, that it doesn't even cover the devaluation that their own money printing is causing!

    Back to the point: Eventually, there will be no market for Treasury debt except the Fed itself. No one else will touch it at such low rates because inflation makes the real rate so obviously negative. At that point, inflation itself will be financing the ...



    Eventually. The larger the debt, the more serious the inevitable bond market crisis will be when it materializes.

    The reason for this is that there aren't enough legitimate buyers of US Treasury debt (Bonds and Bills) to finance all the spending. So the Federal Reserve (the "Fed") steps in and buys what the few real buyers do not. They get the "money" for this by making it up out of thin air. Now the US Treasury has the new money from the Fed, which it spends into the economy.

    The flood of dollars into the economy causes inflation. There are a few technicalities by which inflation is kept somewhat under control, but the real amount of inflation is higher than officially reported.

    Now, since the Fed is making it look like there's high demand for Treasury debt, it doesn't have to be issued at the higher interest rate that would be needed to attract more real buyers. This one way the Fed keeps rates artificially low--so low, in fact, that it doesn't even cover the devaluation that their own money printing is causing!

    Back to the point: Eventually, there will be no market for Treasury debt except the Fed itself. No one else will touch it at such low rates because inflation makes the real rate so obviously negative. At that point, inflation itself will be financing the ever-increasing and unpayable debt. Interest rates will have to rise (exacerbating the debt maintenance problem), and/or some of the debt has to be officially defaulted on (a.k.a. liquidated).

    If we weren't spending so fast, and compounding the debt so viciously, the Fed and government might get away with inflating their way out of it. Effectively, we'd all be paying a giant inflation tax for generations until the debt was whittled down. The loss of real money will destroy savings at a rate that will cripple the productive sector, completely destroy the middle class, and the depression will continue until the debt is payed / liquidated and the inflation stops.

    But in order for even that to "work," the government has to stop spending and establish a realistic timeline. Far better simply officially to default. The bond-holders get screwed, but since they're already been swindled, there's no helping them anyway. Return to sound, unprintable money so that the government and Fed are precluded from the legalized counterfeiting that's got us into this mess. The government returns to a normal size and is forced to live within it's means. Until the next batch of criminal scum start a fiat-money central banking racket again.
    (more)
  • BILL 2012/08/10 05:17:41
    Yes
    BILL
    Well you can't call it a plus
    elmo
  • Janet C K 2012/08/10 04:48:17
    Yes
    Janet C K
    Heck yes- the dollar is being devalued at warp speed. Hope those 18-29 yr olds voting for Obama are prepared for the reality of their mistake when mom & dad moves in with them!
  • ☮ Ron ☮ Paul ☮ 2012! ☮ 2012/08/10 04:06:15
    Yes
    ☮ Ron ☮ Paul ☮ 2012! ☮
    Why do we have debts? Who do we owe? Are we paying on the interest or the principal? Better yet, are we paying at all or just spending w/o a care in the world? Can a debt this size ever be repaid? Even all the billionaires in the world couldn't put a dent in this debt!
  • Irish little 2012/08/10 03:38:59
    Yes
    Irish little
    Hell Yes !!! Is everyone in DC deaf, dumb, blind and stupid ?????
  • Captain-Morgan 2012/08/10 00:38:59
    Yes
    Captain-Morgan
    YES...
  • freakoutnow... cuz mom's here 2012/08/10 00:21:22
    Yes
    freakoutnow... cuz mom's here
    Money doesn't grow ontrees. Debt can only go so high before it starts to cause the economy to collapse in upon itself derailing the stock market and creating a new Great Depression.
  • Ol'Dave 2012/08/09 21:48:59
    Yes
    Ol'Dave
    The RULES OF ECONOMICS apply to the GOVERNMENT just like they apply INDIVIDUALS! If a GOVERNMENT overspends it's INCOME IT FAILS (a la GREECE)!!!
  • Eddie 2012/08/09 20:52:15
    Yes
    Eddie
    +1
    Absolutely! Whether it's an individual or a country, debt is the amount you owe versus the amount you have. Until the latter part exceeds the first part, or is at least equal, you are in trouble. The government just seems to have the habit of ignoring that little part of reality.
  • Tim Upham 2012/08/09 20:39:11
  • Cat 2012/08/09 20:34:49
    Yes
    Cat
    +1
    When you find yourself in a hole the first thing you should do is STOP DIGGING!

    Borrowing money for stimulus programs is exactly opposite of what should be done.
  • Philo-CommieHater! 2012/08/09 20:32:37
    Yes
    Philo-CommieHater!
    +1
    Look for another credit downgrade soon...
    This is NOT about money or welfare - it is about DESTROYING American-style capitalism.
    Your masters are setting you up, say it with me:
    heil obama
  • Mr Chin 2012/08/09 20:15:17
    Yes
    Mr Chin
    That looks like an honest graph. No wonder they downgraded us from a AAA credit rating in the US to a AA credit rating.
    Obama honesty
  • Outta' Here. 2012/08/09 19:22:10
    Yes
    Outta' Here.
    Well, Bush has been gone almost 4 years; who will they blame this on?
  • John Wa... Outta' ... 2012/08/09 19:34:39
    John Walker II
    +1
    That's kinda like changing coaches for a professional team late in the season and blaming just him for the team not winning.

    Bush still had a hand in this one. And his predecessor, and the one before that...

    They all stack on each other, all the past influences through to today and nothing is going to change that.

    You also have bills that congress passed without regard to the debt too. It's not just a matter of ONE coach at fault, but a whole team. And sorry... in this case, that team does include BOTH republicans and democrats. The only real way to break that rising debt is to get BOTH teams involved then, not biting and bickering for power for themselves.

    Point all the fingers you want... while you got one pointed at the other guy you have three pointing right back at yourself. Try starting there instead.
  • Outta' ... John Wa... 2012/08/09 19:40:01
    Outta' Here.
    Actually, it's more like jumping behind the wheel of a tractor trailer that's headed for a cliff for a photo op; then bitching because there is no brakes, steering, headlights, and you didn't have a driver's license to begin with.
  • ☆stillthe12c☆ 2012/08/09 19:19:15
    Yes
    ☆stillthe12c☆
    +1
    It does in deed threaten the economy. If the money was spent properly it would not be as big a problem, but the money is being thrown away in to ventures that are not paying off.
  • Frank 2012/08/09 19:12:25
    Yes
    Frank
    +1
    Want to become a multi-milionaire just become an elected official to Washington....
  • Space Invader 2012/08/09 18:56:44
    No
    Space Invader
    there is NO recovery; 1.5 GDP?; rising prices due to drought; rising costs of products and manufacture labor costs?
    The Market is part of it; there is no way that the IPO's and the margins on Wall Street are accurate...

    America is Humpty Dumpty; and we're getting ready to fall ...

    All those talking heads that speak of margins and analysis projections and etc.; are putting a red flag in the face of America....we are broke; we are out of money; we can never pay down the debt; let alone pay it off...

    Don't believe it.....the Fed knows it too.....
  • rand 2012/08/09 18:32:09
    Yes
    rand
    What we've done to the futures of our children is inexcusable.
  • Libertys Martyr 2012/08/09 17:53:56
  • Independent Thinker 2012/08/09 17:46:58
    Yes
    Independent Thinker
    Naturally! Of course! No-brainer! Etc. Yipes!
  • LovelyLady 2012/08/09 17:39:43
    Yes
    LovelyLady
    Smashing! I do feel condolence for mentioning both parties.
    It does look like it. I think both parties are not working well together. I don't think that whether Obama is "democrat" or Romney is "republican" should matter, it should matter are we voting Obama or Romney? It feels like the fight because of the dispute has caused more trouble than any president could deal with.
  • bmxschoolbus 2012/08/09 17:24:12
    Yes
    bmxschoolbus
    thats why the Obama lovers make me sick we change and need it now
  • rknothead 2012/08/09 17:14:22
    Yes
    rknothead
    Duh!!! I thought only Obama didn't know our national debt will adversely effect the so called recovery.
  • Lester 2012/08/09 16:39:29
    No
    Lester
    +1
    The debt will not have any significant effect on the economy for 10-20 years. The recovery will be long over before that time.

    Indeed, cutting spending now is likely to threaten the recovery. Simple economics shows that you should increase spending to help the economy recover, and you should cut spending when the economy is strong. So the real problem over the years has been that no one will support cuts when the economy is strong.
  • Jerry Lester 2012/08/09 17:27:47
    Jerry
    Greece and Spain...
  • Lester Jerry 2012/08/09 18:12:00
    Lester
    +1
    Spain is an excellent example. Their problem is that they have had a nationwide real estate crash, which has created a shortage of tax revenues, high unemployment due to laying off government workers, and therefore an increased deficit due to a drop in income tax receipts. They should increase spending to get people back to work, then when the real estate market and employment get back to normal, they should take steps to repay the additional debt with some combination of higher taxes and decreased spending. The important thing to note about Spain is that before the real estate crash, they were just fine.

    Greece is a poor example as 90% of their problem seems to be corruption. Until that is addressed, economic measures aren't going to have any effect.
  • Jerry Lester 2012/08/09 19:35:26
    Jerry
    Spain also spent thier wad on ineffective "green energy". There is only so much you can spend no matter how well intentioned.
  • Jimmy 2012/08/09 16:14:32
  • ETpro 2012/08/09 16:11:39
    No
    ETpro
    +2
    We do need to tackle the debt, but the middle of an extended recession is NOT the time to do it. And it's going to require restoring revenues to where they were when things worked. You can't cut off body parts till you regain full strength.

    That debt chart below is utter horse manure. We were NOT debt free at the end of WWII. The national debt was a greater percentage of the GDP then than now. Right now, the US is actually one of the most stable economies in the world. We can borrow money at interest rates that range from 0.1% to actual negative numbers. That's right, there are actually people willing to pay us to hold their money.

    With a good deal of the US construction industry sitting idle, the so called "conservatives" want to solve the unemployment problem by not borrowing money people will actually pay us to hold for them, and instead laying off even more workers. Instead of putting people to work, the phony conservatives want to give massive tax breaks to the "job creators" who are sitting on 2 trillion dollars right now. Maybe when we run up enough debt through revenue decreases, and these "job creators" have 5 or 10 trillion in their off-shore tax shelters, they will start huge manufacturing operations in the US and build tons of stuff to sell to a bunch of consumer...

    We do need to tackle the debt, but the middle of an extended recession is NOT the time to do it. And it's going to require restoring revenues to where they were when things worked. You can't cut off body parts till you regain full strength.

    That debt chart below is utter horse manure. We were NOT debt free at the end of WWII. The national debt was a greater percentage of the GDP then than now. Right now, the US is actually one of the most stable economies in the world. We can borrow money at interest rates that range from 0.1% to actual negative numbers. That's right, there are actually people willing to pay us to hold their money.

    With a good deal of the US construction industry sitting idle, the so called "conservatives" want to solve the unemployment problem by not borrowing money people will actually pay us to hold for them, and instead laying off even more workers. Instead of putting people to work, the phony conservatives want to give massive tax breaks to the "job creators" who are sitting on 2 trillion dollars right now. Maybe when we run up enough debt through revenue decreases, and these "job creators" have 5 or 10 trillion in their off-shore tax shelters, they will start huge manufacturing operations in the US and build tons of stuff to sell to a bunch of consumers you con men have bankrupted.

    Horse and sparrow theory economics has never worked. It's been tried over and over. It always fails. Feed rich plutocrats enough beluga caviar and Dom Perignon and what trickles down on the 99% is piss and manure.
    (more)
  • HOMBRE 2012/08/09 16:09:04
    Yes
    HOMBRE
    +1
    You know it does. Lets hear Obama sock puppets tell us it wont. I see all companies are coming out saying they raising prices on their goods and have a hiring freeze or job lay offs do to Obama care.You obama clowns asked for it you got it .now live in the crap you created
  • Peggy 2012/08/09 16:02:17
    Yes
    Peggy
    +1
    These cuts might help lower that debt.
    These are all the programs that the new Republican House has proposed cutting.
    NOTICE S.S AND MILITARY IS NOT ON THIS LIST!
    * Corporation for Public Broadcasting Subsidy -- $445 million annual savings.
    * Save America's Treasures Program -- $25 million annual savings.
    * International Fund for Ireland -- $17 million annual savings.
    * Legal Services Corporation -- $420 million annual savings.
    * National Endowment for the Arts -- $167.5 million annual savings.
    * National Endowment for the Humanities -- $167.5 million annual savings.
    * Hope VI Program -- $250 million annual savings.
    * Amtrak Subsidies -- $1.565 billion annual savings.
    * Eliminate duplicating education programs -- H.R. 2274 (in last Congress), authored by Rep. McKeon, eliminates 68 at a savings of $1.3 billion annually.
    * U.S. Trade Development Agency -- $55 million annual savings.
    * Woodrow Wilson Center Subsidy -- $20 million annual savings.
    * Cut in half funding for congressional printing and binding -- $47 million annual savings.
    * John C. Stennis Center Subsidy -- $430,000 annual savings.
    * Community Development Fund -- $4.5 billion annual savings.
    * Heritage Area Grants and Statutory Aid -- $24 million annual savings.
    * Cut Federal Travel Budget in Half -- $7.5 billion a...









































    These cuts might help lower that debt.
    These are all the programs that the new Republican House has proposed cutting.
    NOTICE S.S AND MILITARY IS NOT ON THIS LIST!
    * Corporation for Public Broadcasting Subsidy -- $445 million annual savings.
    * Save America's Treasures Program -- $25 million annual savings.
    * International Fund for Ireland -- $17 million annual savings.
    * Legal Services Corporation -- $420 million annual savings.
    * National Endowment for the Arts -- $167.5 million annual savings.
    * National Endowment for the Humanities -- $167.5 million annual savings.
    * Hope VI Program -- $250 million annual savings.
    * Amtrak Subsidies -- $1.565 billion annual savings.
    * Eliminate duplicating education programs -- H.R. 2274 (in last Congress), authored by Rep. McKeon, eliminates 68 at a savings of $1.3 billion annually.
    * U.S. Trade Development Agency -- $55 million annual savings.
    * Woodrow Wilson Center Subsidy -- $20 million annual savings.
    * Cut in half funding for congressional printing and binding -- $47 million annual savings.
    * John C. Stennis Center Subsidy -- $430,000 annual savings.
    * Community Development Fund -- $4.5 billion annual savings.
    * Heritage Area Grants and Statutory Aid -- $24 million annual savings.
    * Cut Federal Travel Budget in Half -- $7.5 billion annual savings
    * Trim Federal Vehicle Budget by 20% -- $600 million annual savings.
    * Essential Air Service -- $150 million annual savings.
    * Technology Innovation Program -- $70 million annual savings.
    * Manufacturing Extension Partnership (MEP) Program -- $125 million annual savings.
    * Department of Energy Grants to States for Weatherization -- $530 million annual savings.
    * Beach Replenishment -- $95 million annual savings.
    * New Starts Transit -- $2 billion annual savings.
    * Exchange Programs for Alaska Natives, Native Hawaiians, and Their Historical Trading Partners in Massachusetts -- $9 million annual savings
    * Intercity and High Speed Rail Grants -- $2.5 billion annual savings.
    * Title X Family Planning -- $318 million annual savings.
    * Appalachian Regional Commission -- $76 million annual savings.
    * Economic Development Administration -- $293 million annual savings.
    * Programs under the National and Community Services Act -- $1.15 billion annual savings.
    * Applied Research at Department of Energy -- $1.27 billion annual savings.
    * Freedom CAR and Fuel Partnership -- $200 million annual savings.
    * Energy Star Program -- $52 million annual savings.
    * Economic Assistance to Egypt -- $250 million annually.
    * U.S. Agency for International Development -- $1.39 billion annual savings.
    * General Assistance to District of Columbia -- $210 million annual savings.
    * Subsidy for Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority -- $150 million annual savings.
    * Presidential Campaign Fund -- $775 million savings over ten years.
    * No funding for federal office space acquisition -- $864 million annual savings.
    * End prohibitions on competitive sourcing of government services.
    * Repeal the Davis-Bacon Act -- More than $1 billion annually.
    * IRS Direct Deposit: Require the IRS to deposit fees for some services it offers (such as processing payment plans for taxpayers) to the Treasury, instead of allowing it to remain as part of its budget -- $1.8 billion savings over ten years.
    * Require collection of unpaid taxes by federal employees -- $1 billion total savings. WHAT THE HELL IS THISABOUT?
    * Prohibit taxpayer funded union activities by federal employees -- $1.2 billion savings over ten years.
    * Sell excess federal properties the government does not make use of -- $15 billion total savings.
    * Eliminate death gratuity for Members of Congress.WHAT???
    * Eliminate Mohair Subsidies -- $1 million annual savings.
    * Eliminate taxpayer subsidies to the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change -- $12.5 million annual savings WELL ISN'T THAT SPECIAL
    * Eliminate Market Access Program -- $200 million annual savings.
    * USDA Sugar Program -- $14 million annual savings.
    * Subsidy to Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) -- $93 million annual savings.
    * Eliminate the National Organic Certification Cost-Share Program -- $56.2 million annual savings.
    * Eliminate fund for Obamacare administrative costs -- $900 million savings.
    * Ready to Learn TV Program -- $27 million savings.. WHY?????
    * HUD Ph.D. Program.
    * Deficit Reduction Check-Off Act.
    * TOTAL SAVINGS: $2.5 Trillion over Ten Years

    My question is, what is all this crap doing in the budget in the first place?
    (more)
  • gnice123 Peggy 2012/08/09 16:30:40
    gnice123
    Did you mention this one?

    "President Obama’s new budget proposal calls for the repeal of billions of dollars in oil-and-gas industry tax breaks.

    The proposal would nix roughly $39 billion worth of tax breaks over a decade..."

    Taken from: http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-w...

    That's about $4 billion a year! Surely that made your list right?

    Greg P.
  • Peggy gnice123 2012/08/09 17:19:23
    Peggy
    While I am not for the oil companies we both know more taxes for them means more cost for all of us because they would pass it on in cost.
    Not to mention he is blocking drilling for oil. Which would not only lower the cost of gas but provide jobs that would stimulate the economy. His moratorium on Gulf drilling still stands in his usual under-handed way. Publicly, he claims companies are free to drill there, but getting government permits to drill from his administration is almost impossible.
    Read more: http://www.ctpost.com/news/ar...
    And my next point is they receive enough money in taxes already, use what you have wisely. We the people have to budget according to what we bring in.
  • gnice123 Peggy 2012/08/09 18:54:45
    gnice123
    " we both know more taxes for them means more cost for all of us because they would pass it on in cost." Yet you don't see how not funding healthcare is a cost "passed on to us" through the use of emergency room treatment?

    I'm also interested in how you justify how companies that make record profits every year need to keep their tax breaks while I don't (unless more rich people get an even bigger cut?)

    Greg P.
  • Peggy gnice123 2012/08/09 20:46:20
    Peggy
    Obama care is definitely going to cost more in taxes. And I for one do not want the government taking care of my health. They have been SO SUCCESSFUL in every other endeavor they have managed, social security, medicare, Barney Frank Housing Act and how about the Post Office.

    $1.76 trillion from American taxpayers to pay for Obamacare over 10 years, nearly double the $940 billion forecast when the bill was signed into law (Congressional Budget Office). / $52 billion in new taxes on businesses as employers are forced to provide health insurance. (CBO). / $800,000 fewer U.S. jobs. (CBO). / $47 billion in new taxes on drug companies and medical device makers, costs that surely will be passed down to patients, particularly our senior citizens.
    Families earning more than $250,000 a year will see more taxes, as Obamacare adds a new tax to investment income, including capital gains, dividends, rental income and royalties.

    Insurance premiums are expected to increase 1.9 percent to 2.3 percent in 2014 and up to 3.7 percent by 2023 because Obamacare adds a premium tax on health insurers offering full coverage.
  • gnice123 Peggy 2012/08/09 20:53:06
    gnice123
    I don't even know where to begin with all of that misinformation. Can you please link your source?

    Greg P.

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