I prefer a large sample and averaging all polls together.

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The new measure of voter sentiment comes as increased costs and decreased reliability of traditional telephone polls encourage new approaches.
Read More: http://nationaljournal.com/2012-presidential-campa...
The poll that really works is the "Weekly Reader" mock election. Kids tend to vote the same way their parents do. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
"The poll has now been conducted 14 times, most recently in 2008, and the students have voted for the person who became president 13 out of 14 times; the exception was in 1992, when George H.W. Bush garnered more votes than Bill Clinton. Third-party candidate Ross Perot, whose presence on the national ballot was important during the actual election, was not on the Weekly Reader ballot that year."