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CHANGES ARE COMING ----

Arizona1950 2011/01/10 15:29:27
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Whether these changes are good or bad depends in part on how we adapt to them. But, ready or not, here they come.

1. The Post Office. Get ready to imagine a world without the post office. They are so deeply in financial trouble that there is probably no way to sustain it long term. Email, Fed Ex, and UPS have just about wiped out the minimum revenue needed to keep the post office alive. Most of your mail every day is junk mail and bills.

2. The Check. Britain is already laying the groundwork to do away with checks by 2018. It costs the financial system billions of dollars a year to process checks. Plastic cards and online transactions will lead to the eventual demise of the check. This plays right into the death of the post office. If you never paid your bills by mail and never received them by mail, the post office would absolutely go out of business.

3. The Newspaper
. The younger generation simply doesn't read the newspaper. They certainly don't subscribe to a daily delivered print edition. That may go the way of the milkman and the laundry man. As for reading the paper online, get ready to pay for it. The rise in mobile Internet devices and e-readers has caused all the newspaper and magazine publishers to form an alliance. They have met with Apple, Amazon, and the major cell phone companies to develop a model for paid subscription services.

4. The Book. You say you will never give up the physical book that you hold in your hand and turn the literal pages. I said the same thing about downloading music fromiTunes. I wanted my hard copy CD. But I quickly changed my mind when I discovered that I could get albums for half the price without ever leaving home to get the latest music. The same thing will happen with books. You can browse a bookstore online and even read a preview chapter before you buy. And the price is less than half that of a real book. And think of the convenience! Once you start flicking your fingers on the screen instead of the book, you find that you are lost in the story, can't wait to see what happens next, and you forget that you're holding a gadget instead of a book.

5. The Land Line Telephone. Unless you have a large family and make a lot of local calls, you don't need it anymore. Most people keep it simply because they've always had it. But you are paying double charges for that extra service. All the cell phone companies will let you call customers using the same cell provider for no charge against your minutes.

6. Music. This is one of the saddest parts of the change story. The music industry is dying a slow death. Not just because of illegal downloading. It's the lack of innovative new music being given a chance to get to the people who would like to hear it. Greed and corruption is the problem. The record labels and the radio conglomerates are simply self-destructing. Over 40% of the music purchased today is "catalog items," meaning traditional music that the public is familiar with. Older established artists. This is also true on the live concert circuit. To explore this fascinating and disturbing topic further, check out the book, "Appetite for Self-Destruction" by Steve Knopper, and the video documentary, "Before the Music Dies."

7. Television. Revenues to the networks are down dramatically. Not just because of the economy. People are watching TV and movies streamed from their computers. And they're playing games and doing lots of other things that take up the time that used to be spent watching TV. Prime time shows have degenerated down to lower than the lowest common denominator. Cable rates are skyrocketing and commercials run about every 4 minutes and 30 seconds. I say good riddance to most of it. It's time for the cable companies to be put out of our misery. Let the people choose what they want to watch online and through Netflix.

8. The "Things" That You Own. Many of the very possessions that we used to own are still in our lives, but we may not actually own them in the future. They may simply reside in "the cloud." Today your computer has a hard drive and you store your pictures, music, movies, and documents. Your software is on a CD or DVD, and you can always re-install it if need be. But all of that is changing. Apple, Microsoft, and Google are all finishing up their latest "cloud services." That means that when you turn on a computer, the Internet will be built into the operating system. So, Windows, Google, and the Mac OS will be tied straight into the Internet. If you click an icon, it will open something in the Internet cloud. If you save something, it will be saved to the cloud. And you may pay a monthly subscription fee to the cloud provider.

In this virtual world, you can access your music or your books, or your whatever from any laptop or handheld device. That's the good news. But, will you actually own any of this "stuff" or will it all be able to disappear at any moment in a big "Poof?" Will most of the things in our lives be disposable and whimsical? It makes you want to run to the closet and pull out that photo album, grab a book from the shelf, or open up a CD case and pull out the insert.

9. Privacy. If there ever was a concept that we can look back on nostalgically, it would be privacy. That's gone. It's been gone for a long time anyway. There are cameras on the street, in most of the buildings, and even built into your computer and cell phone. But you can be sure that 24/7, "They" know who you are and where you are, right down to the GPS coordinates, and the Google Street View. If you buy something, your habit is put into a zillion profiles, and your ads will change to reflect those habits. And "They" will try to get you to buy something else. Again and again.

All we will have that can't be changed are Memories.

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Top Opinion

  • baboula 2011/01/10 16:06:07 (edited)
    Undecided
    baboula
    +5
    Post Office: Good Riddance..If it was any good Fedex, Ups and email would not have gotten the hold that they have (or in the case of email:not as soon)
    Music: I don't care
    Checks: I don't like paperless billing because out of sight, out of mind for me and I do not like plastic besides anyone heard of hackers; why make it easier for them
    Newspapers: whatever
    Book: I love books and I love to read. Browsing a bookstore online is not like browsing in the physical bookstore and surrounded by all those books. Will this affect libraries too?
    Land-Line: what about those of us who don't use a cell phone? The only reason I have one is if I go out for awhile and want to check on things at home otherwise the cell sits on my desk. What about businesses?
    So basically the future consists of forcing people to spend time in front of computer. Not of their own volition but because the necessities are there. Talk about a depressing future

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  • dlsofsetx 2011/01/13 19:16:02
    Yes ...
    dlsofsetx
    +1
    I've been for privtizing the post office for years.
  • Ruby Dear - The Fangirl of ... 2011/01/12 00:41:45
    Undecided
    Ruby Dear - The Fangirl of PHAET
    +1
    I certainly hope not.
    Post Office - I can quite easily see this happening, email and facebook messages are the new letter.
    The Check - I don't even know anyone who still uses checks.
    The Newspaper - I generally read newspapers online, most I now don't even do that.
    The Book - I will keep buying books for as long as they make them. I can't stand reading ebooks. It's not the same experience.
    Land Lines - I use them twice as much as my mobile. Standard rate for local calls vs. paying per minute?
    Music - The underground will always be around, and they produce far better music anyway. I couldn't give a damn if the pop industry dies. I hate that we're losing CD's though. There's no album art on an MP3 and the sound quality is terrible.
    TV - The only time my TV is on is to play DVDs or consoles.
    The things that you own - Do you have any links to this info? Never heard a thing about it, if this is legit I want to know where the protest is.
    Privacy - Anyone who believes there is privacy in the modern world is delusional.
  • Arizona... Ruby De... 2011/01/12 00:44:49
    Arizona1950
    +1
    I read somewhere that FaceBook is shutting down sometime in March.

    I would say you got a pretty good handle on the direction of what will soon by the by-gone days.
  • Ruby De... Arizona... 2011/01/12 00:55:28
    Ruby Dear - The Fangirl of PHAET
    +1
    Facebook responded to those claims saying they were false. I read that too but when I went to repost, Facebook prevented me from doing so, and marked it as spam.
  • Arizona... Ruby De... 2011/01/12 00:56:40
    Arizona1950
    +1
    I'm not a big fan of FB but a lot of people are so I'm glad its just a rumor.
  • Ruby De... Arizona... 2011/01/12 00:57:45
    Ruby Dear - The Fangirl of PHAET
    +1
    It's my only contact with family mostly, they are all overseas.
  • Arizona... Ruby De... 2011/01/12 01:03:54
    Arizona1950
    +1
    This is why many love it so I am glad to hear that it is staying.
  • possiblymaybe 2011/01/11 04:01:40
    No ...
    possiblymaybe
    +2
    stop

    think

    These things are going bad because our society is becoming valueless. If people don't start being real people more, we'll all be living in holodecks, naked, with holoclothes, eating whip cream protien moosh.
  • Arizona... possibl... 2011/01/11 04:27:33
    Arizona1950
    Okay ... thank you for commenting.
  • possibl... Arizona... 2011/01/11 08:31:52
    possiblymaybe
    +1
    Honest Mama, I don't know WHAT to say to things like this. Part of me is really attached to things like this. The other part of me likes technology. But it would really be devastating to live in a society where everything is digital. Imagine, anyone being able to just *blip* your life away. I work with computers. It's that easy really. Even today. Look at the internet covers of news. Digital means it can be whatever it has to be. So I'm torn. I like technology so much. But I hate that we're more that and less real. Real is beautiful.
  • Arizona... possibl... 2011/01/11 12:59:50
    Arizona1950
    Baby the blog is not an opinion post so to speak but the reality of what is happening basically because of a combination of poor management and new technology. I agree people need to take a good hard look at themselves this is why I posted all three blogs in tandem (same avatar used on each) ... there is a real direction and an honest look at the consequence in these 3 blogs. They are tied together and not a compare and contrast thought. We are of the same mindset here, just approach it differently and I was kind of thrown by your response. Now that I re-read I realize I was probably reading more into it and didn't respond as I should have.
  • possibl... Arizona... 2011/01/11 18:12:54 (edited)
    possiblymaybe
    +1
    Probably. I do that sometimes. The atmosphere right now is just intense. Things seem to be unraveling at a faster pace. I like computers and stuff like that, but I'm sad at the notion of physical things disappearing in favor of digital. It sucks. I love books. I love the SMELL of a new newspaper. It just can't be compared to. It's devastating. You know, I am even a very nature conservative person. So I am prudent about planting trees in exchange for books and newspapers. I think that's how resources are supposed to be used. Replacing ya know? And I like digital media too. It's nice to have variety. But doing away with the old isn't variety. :(
  • Arizona... possibl... 2011/01/11 18:16:20
    Arizona1950
    Agreed and what happens is someone pulls the plug?
  • possibl... Arizona... 2011/01/11 18:23:07 (edited)
    possiblymaybe
    +1
    Exactly.
  • Arizona... possibl... 2011/01/11 18:24:35
    Arizona1950
    I do not believe we are going to be given a choice on this one.
  • possibl... Arizona... 2011/01/11 18:28:05 (edited)
    possiblymaybe
    +1
    I think it's supply and demand, and the supply of digital is easier because it's mostly fiat -- you can just copy as many you want on your computer for free and it's instant property. If I make a song, I can record it and the cost is maybe $1000. Then I can make 1 million copies for nothing and sell them for $1 each on itunes. So the market has to adapt.
  • possibl... possibl... 2011/01/11 18:29:31
    possiblymaybe
    +1
    In music, real goods stick around because there is a potent collector sphere. music real goods stick potent collector sphere record collection
  • possibl... possibl... 2011/01/11 18:30:39
    possiblymaybe
    So people still make brand new records, just less often, but they're worth more.
  • Arizona... possibl... 2011/01/11 18:30:12
    Arizona1950
    I think it poor managment and not changing with the times. Somebody said it much better but that's kinda, sorta the gist of it.
  • possibl... Arizona... 2011/01/11 18:31:30
    possiblymaybe
    +1
    True. That too for sure.
  • Arizona... Arizona... 2011/01/11 18:33:24
    Arizona1950
    They are not selling, the older already heard records are receiving the downloads from the various computer sites and at a cheaper cost than buying them in the store. Nothing new is out there and those who are trying to break in with a new sound whether it be computerized or not are not getting the breaks ... poor management and vision is what is causing the records industries demise it seems.
  • possibl... Arizona... 2011/01/11 18:38:52
    possiblymaybe
    Hip Hop keeps records alive. Not all though.

    hip hop records alive hip hop dj
  • Arizona... possibl... 2011/01/11 18:43:41
    Arizona1950
    I think you are missing the point. Hip-Hop has been around for a long, long time. People download it, they don't go to stores and buy the records anymore because the sound is all the same depending on the venue. They have to either be more creative and produce new sounds or they record companies themselves will be gone.
  • possibl... Arizona... 2011/01/11 21:10:30
    possiblymaybe
    I'm just noting that the commercial and underground rap scene is really thriving -- DJ's included. I live in a city. We've lost quite a few major record stores. The underground and collectors stores, used stores, etc. thrive. Worldwide, it's very popular. They do have to keep adapting though. I think they're doing a better job than some industries. Perhaps there is something to learn.

    stores stores thrive worldwide popular adapting job industries learn
  • Arizona... possibl... 2011/01/11 21:40:05
    Arizona1950
    Oh okay ..
  • possibl... Arizona... 2011/01/11 21:41:48
    possiblymaybe
    +1
    I just hope people start buying books again.
  • sglmom 2011/01/11 02:32:08
    Undecided
    sglmom
    No the BOOK! Anything Except the Books .. I so enjoy the feel of a book in my hands, turning the pages, the printed word.
  • Alex Oger 2011/01/10 23:03:24
    Yes ...
    Alex Oger
    +1
    you would have to be an idiot not to see it
  • Arizona... Alex Oger 2011/01/10 23:29:28
    Arizona1950
    +1
    None so blind as those who will not see.
  • Alex Oger Arizona... 2011/01/10 23:34:29
    Alex Oger
    yes but those that fight it and call people names over it are not blind they are for it
  • Arizona... Alex Oger 2011/01/10 23:36:06
    Arizona1950
    +1
    Hmmm ... your perception perhaps?
  • Alex Oger Arizona... 2011/01/10 23:38:27
    Alex Oger
    +1
    even a child can see something bad coming
  • Arizona... Alex Oger 2011/01/11 01:14:14
    Arizona1950
    How young? Most children pick up the vibes from the parents do they not.
  • Alex Oger Arizona... 2011/01/11 18:27:39
  • Always Right 2011/01/10 21:57:36
    Undecided
    Always Right
    +3
    The change we need is to bring the people's money back to government control and out of the hands of the Federal Reserve System which, are large commercial banks controlling America's money and making money off the taxpayers.
  • Arizona... Always ... 2011/01/10 22:01:31
    Arizona1950
    +3
    That's definitely a good start.
  • peggy collins 2011/01/10 19:43:43
    Yes ...
    peggy collins
    +1
    Change is inevitable,,,it always has been,,,,,It is how we handle it that matters and to fight like hell if we don;t ......
  • Arizona... peggy c... 2011/01/10 22:00:43
    Arizona1950
    +2
    If it's really worth fighting for and that is up to the discretion of the person offended?
  • peggy c... Arizona... 2011/01/11 02:32:32
    peggy collins
    My Hero,,,,, agreed!!!!
  • Mississippi lady 2011/01/10 19:30:58
    Yes ...
    Mississippi lady
    +2
    I live in a semi rural area, have severe arthritis, and 72. As a result I do most of my shopping online. Even Walmart. Recently, I was informed by the post office if my package is too large for my mailbox, they won't leave it on my porch, as they have done for year. Instead, I will get a notice and I have to drive to the post office (20 miles) lug my package to the car while using a cane or walker, lug the package into the house. I for one am not happy with all of these changes.

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