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PUBLIC OPINION > J. K. Rowling Will Never Match the Success of 'Harry Potter'

SodaHead Celebs 2012/02/27 14:00:00
It's been more than 20 years since J. K. Rowling began writing "Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone." She was in her mid-twenties at the time, and it took her all of five years to complete that first manuscript. Seven books, eight movies, and more than $1 billion later, Rowling is 46-years-old and looking to start a new project.

She recently released a statement through publisher Little, Brown and Company announcing that she was starting on a new novel -- an adult novel, nothing like "Harry Potter." And that's all we know at this point. It's not a lot to go by, but we asked the public if the new book would be able to match the immense popularity of the "Potter" series.

Will J.K. Rowling's New Book Be as Popular as 'Harry Potter'?

jk rowling

71% Think Rowling Has Peaked

Before we break this down, let's define "popularity." Dictionary.com defines it as "the favor of the general public or of a particular group of people." That's still a little ambiguous. It could refer to critical acclaim, or to a broad scope of approval -- i.e. how many people like it. Assuming it implies the latter, Rowling probably doesn't expect to recreate the success of "Potter." How could she? Even if it's a masterpiece, "Potter" was a phenomenon beyond the reaches of human ability. It was an intellectual wildfire. Maybe it will be better than "Harry Potter," but more popular? Not a chance.

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Moderates Have High Hopes

At least liberals and conservatives can unite in their opinion of J. K. Rowling's success; neither of them think she has a chance at matching her past success. But moderates came very close to disagreeing. 41% of them think her next book will be a phenomenon like "Potter" -- 20% more than the others.

Support From the Seniors

There was remarkable consistency through nearly every age group, from teens to young adults to middle-aged voters, with very little fluctuation. However, respondents over the age of 55 were about 10% more likely to say her next book will be a smash.


Men Expect More Out of Her

When we asked whether "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2" should have been nominated for Best Picture earlier this month, female voters were far more likely to say yes. That might be why they're more hesitant to grant the possibility of another book as good as her last seven.

If you'd like to vote on this question, dig deeper into the demographics, or engage in existing discussion about the topic, visit our original poll about J. K. Rowling's new book. We'd love to hear from you!
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Top Opinion

  • Melizmatic 2012/02/27 17:39:58 (edited)
    Melizmatic
    +14
    She doesn't need to 'match the success'; if she invests wisely, Ms Rowling could be easily set for the rest of her life, because of the huge success of the Harry Potter franchise.

    EDIT:

    To the whackadoos on this thread, you need professional help.

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Opinions

  • Joe Ritrovato 2012/04/09 18:07:41
    Joe Ritrovato
    Harry who give's a phuk she's rich phuk her.
    Joe Ritrovato
  • Chris Tate 2012/03/20 01:52:40
    Chris Tate
    +3
    I feel the first book will defiantly be as successful no matter the quality based on hype from Harry Potter but i do feel it will generate it's own success because it targets a different age group
  • JERSEYDUDE 2012/03/09 04:11:38
    JERSEYDUDE
    she can buy other peoples ideas now so who knows maybe
  • jabo 2012/03/01 11:05:07
    jabo
    No way can she ever out do Potter.
  • BogsideArtistsDerry 2012/02/29 22:43:30
    BogsideArtistsDerry
    +1
    You need to all waken up real quick. J.K. Rowling is a part of a team of business shrewdies who are to literature proper what Woolworth's are to hand-crafted violins. What you think she does and creates has little resemblance to what she really does and creates. Think of her as their secretary and you won't go far wrong. There's nobody driving.
  • shenu nowrin 2012/02/29 14:23:47
    shenu nowrin
    the new book of jk rowling can never succeed harry potter. harry potter is not just an adventurous children's book. it can be enjoyed by people at all stages. it has something great in it than of just fantasy and adventure. that is why it has always been and will always be the best book in the world for me
  • Artemis ~PHAET 2012/02/28 21:22:46
    Artemis ~PHAET
    She doesn't need to. With the money she's made from the books alone, she'd be set for life, but when you also take into account the money she's made from the movies, the merchandise, and now a theme park, well, anything else she does at this point is just for the sake of writing, not trying to attain a certain level of success.
  • LADY LIBERTY SILLY WORDSMITH 2012/02/28 20:21:19 (edited)
    LADY LIBERTY SILLY WORDSMITH
    +1
    CREATIVITY-IS-A-DAINTY-LITTLE TREE

    THAT NO ONE CAN SEE.

    BECAUSE IT'S HIDDEN IN THE HUMAN BRAIN

    NO ONE CAN FORCE IT TO THRIVE,

    NOR SNUFF OUT ITS LIFE.

    AT TIMES, IT SEEMS TO BE DEAD,

    THEN SUDDENLY IT SPROUTS UP

    AND ABOUNDS WITH LIFE AGAIN.
  • George 2012/02/28 20:14:10
  • Sperry23 2012/02/28 18:33:46 (edited)
    Sperry23
    +1
    She has an excellent writing style. Her books have a lot of "I'll just read one more chapter" in them. Her characters - so far - are compelling. If she keeps to her style, her next book will be amazing.
  • Sperry23 Sperry23 2012/02/28 19:01:02
    Sperry23
    She also has 10 books under her belt; 7 Harry Potter's, and 3 short spinoff books. She is not a neophyte writer by any standards. I'd like to see her try her hand at the mystery genre.
  • LADY LI... Sperry23 2012/02/28 19:02:27
    LADY LIBERTY SILLY WORDSMITH
    I AGREE WITH YOU, FRIEND! YOU SAID IT BEST! THANKS!
  • jackolantyrn356 2012/02/28 18:23:16
    jackolantyrn356
    +2
    If she is smart and I'm not saying she is......... she could do far worse than to follow the well layn path of Sir Arthur and his son, Adrian.
  • PC Gamer Name "Angry Assassin" 2012/02/28 18:15:11
    PC Gamer Name "Angry Assassin"
    +1
    Will J.K. Rowling match the success that she's had with the Harry Potter book series? Unknown! It depends how her next series of Books is received.
  • bennett.dunn1 2012/02/28 15:57:04
    bennett.dunn1
    +2
    I would probably read the next book she publishes - any potter fan wouldn't be able to resist! However, if it turned out to be awful rubbish, I don't suppose I would continue to follow her work.
  • pies_Guy 2012/02/28 08:11:19
    pies_Guy
    +5
    uh...she's a frikin' BILLIONAIRE...I don't think she really cares
  • bennett... pies_Guy 2012/02/28 15:55:40
    bennett.dunn1
    +1
    she doesn't really need to invest wisely. She's rolling in it...
  • kyle 2012/02/28 08:03:49
  • hari 2012/02/28 06:44:24
    hari
    +1
    every thing has its own place and no need to match
  • Cunningmungus 2012/02/28 06:11:34 (edited)
    Cunningmungus
    +3
    Never read a hairy twatter book nor seen a movie
  • Cunning... Cunning... 2012/02/28 06:12:07
    Cunningmungus
    +1
    maybe if ti was more like this I would.
  • Xinea 2012/02/28 05:04:58
    Xinea
    +2
    I doubt she expects to. But that doesn't mean she should stop writing.
  • Jbug799 2012/02/28 05:01:38
    Jbug799
    +2
    Who could say? She will sell a lot of books because so many out there will buy it to see if it is as good as Harry Potter..maybe she just loves to write? Either way she is set for life with the Potter series....Personally I will save judgement until I have read the next one!
  • carlton999 2012/02/28 04:49:35
    carlton999
    +1
    how do you know, she might. she's still young and can write what ever she wants.
  • Dynasty Fighter 2012/02/28 04:45:52
    Dynasty Fighter
    +1
    Nothing will beat harry potter
  • ahbmasg486bd 2012/02/28 03:12:40
    ahbmasg486bd
    +3
    There's no way the new book could achieve the popularity Harry Potter did. It could certainly be better but could never become more popular. Besides, Rowling doesn't need to redo what she did with Harry Potter. The success of the series has pretty much left her set for life.
  • BeingMe<3 2012/02/28 02:21:58
    BeingMe<3
    +1
    who knows
  • Disko Pickle 2012/02/28 02:05:00
    Disko Pickle
    +3
    I agree. She's a failure.
  • MissJo Disko P... 2012/02/28 04:21:15
    MissJo
    +1
    That's right, because someone who successfully wrote a best-selling series of several books that are known world wide (along with her name as well), and who influenced billions, and who had those several books turned into 8 movies (along with games, candy, related books, toys, clothing, jewelery and other merchandise) is a total and complete failure.
  • Disko P... MissJo 2012/03/01 05:50:48
    Disko Pickle
    +1
    A person who is unable to improve on their previous work is commonly referred to as "a loser". If you were unable to maintain a minimum amount of improvement in your job performance, you would probably lose your job eventually. As would most people.
  • Jbug799 Disko P... 2012/02/28 05:02:50
    Jbug799
    +1
    LOL Disko..trying to get something started I see ;)
  • Disko P... Jbug799 2012/03/01 05:48:17
  • Dagon 2012/02/28 01:14:02
  • Les 2012/02/28 00:55:45
    Les
    +1
    I doubt she could match the success Harry Potter had.
  • Anne 2012/02/28 00:48:55 (edited)
    Anne
    +4
    of corse it won't match the success of harry potter! Harry Potter will never be triumphed by anything! How dare you even joke about such a thing stupid muggles!

    stupid muggles
  • Astoria Malfoy♥ Bass Redfer... 2012/02/28 00:14:46 (edited)
    Astoria Malfoy♥ Bass Redfern ~*In Harry Potter I Trust
    +6
    She is said in more than one occasion, than for most people that kind of success only comes once, and for her this was it. She is not trying to match anything.

    She is just trying something new.

    All I have to add is
    fan excited learn write book harry potter book inspiring woman
  • Artisan Rose ☽✪☾☥ 2012/02/28 00:14:44
    Artisan Rose ☽✪☾☥
    +2
    I'll check her new books out because I do enjoy her writing
  • Mavii 2012/02/27 23:51:21
    Mavii
    +1
    Of course not! I am a really big HP fan, but after that I finally watched Lord of The Rings...and realized that she copied all the ideas from that series! (Or, it seemed like it anyway.)
  • Melizmatic Mavii 2012/02/27 23:53:50
    Melizmatic
    +5
    'The hero's journey' is the basis of most popular franchises, and its hardly original.

    http://www.thewritersjourney....
  • Waiting... Melizmatic 2012/02/28 02:23:10
    Waiting in the Wings
    +1
    My thoughts exactly!

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