US Dollar Falls to Record Low Against Euro - Do doubters still think recession is just a "fairy tale"?
Published: July 16, 2008
Dow Falls Below 11,000, Despite Drop in Oil Prices
Stocks ended a volatile session in the red on Tuesday, despite a sharp drop in oil prices, after economic policy makers issued dour predictions and skepticism arose about the government’s efforts to shore up the nation’s financial sector.
The Dow Jones industrial average ended below 11,000 for the first time in two years, and the broader Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index declined 1.1 percent.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the beleaguered mortgage finance giants, fell for the fifth day in a row, despite attempts by President Bush and Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. to reassure investors about the government’s rescue plan for the companies. Freddie Mac shares lost 26 percent, and Fannie Mae ended down 27 percent.
Battered bank stocks also closed mostly in the red, although Lehman Brothers managed a 7 percent gain.
In a dizzying day, investors grappled with a spate of mostly bleak economic developments, including pessimistic testimony from Ben S. Bernanke, the Federal Reserve chairman, who warned that significant economic risks remained and that inflation would accelerate.
The dollar fell to a new low against the euro, General Motors said it would cut jobs and suspend its dividend and a report showed that consumer spending slowed in June more than economists had expected.
Stocks fell sharply in morning trading; the Dow was down 200 points after the opening bell.
But shortly after 10 a.m., as Mr. Bernanke was speaking to Congress, investors did a double-take as oil prices, previously trading at record highs, suddenly plunged by $10 a barrel.
“The only times you’ve seen moves like that are in the first gulf war,” Ric Navy, an analyst at BNP Paribas, said.
The surprise development led to a midmorning rally in the stock market, which surged back toward positive territory.
Oil closed down $6.44, at $138.74 a barrel, on the New York Mercantile Exchange, leaving analysts puzzled.
But the market revival did not last. After seesawing between positive and negative territory, the Dow slid in the late afternoon, closing down 92.65 points at 10,962.54. The broader Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index followed a similar trajectory, ending down 13.39 points, or 1.1 percent, at 1,214.91. The Nasdaq composite index closed up 0.1 percent, at 2,215.71.
Mr. Bernanke’s gloomy assessment was reinforced by two government reports released Tuesday, one showing that retail sales were nearly stagnant in June, even after Americans received tax rebates from the government’s stimulus plan, and the other showing that producer prices rose more than expected, a sign of accelerating inflation.
The trouble in the American stock market followed a painful day in overseas markets. European indexes all closed lower.
In London, the FTSE 100 fell 2.4 percent. The CAC-40 in Paris lost nearly 2 percent, and the DAX in Frankfurt slipped 1.9 percent. The Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50 index, a benchmark of European blue chips, fell 2.29 percent.
The dollar fell to a record low against the euro on worries that the American government had taken on an enormous share of the nation’s financial risks. The dollar rebounded slightly during the day, and the euro settled at $1.5878.
“The U.S. dollar has come under broad selling pressure amid fear that the U.S. Treasury’s contingency plans for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will be drawn upon, leading to further strains in the financial system, prolonging the crisis,” Marc Chandler, a currency strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman, wrote in a note to clients.
General Motors shares rose nearly 5 percent after the company announced more job cuts and a suspension of its dividend. Wachovia fell 7.7 percent after a well-known Wall Street analyst, Meredith Whitney of Oppenheimer & Company, deemed the bank’s prospects “bleak.”
The price of the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose 9/32, to 100 14/32, as some investors sought safety in government bonds. Its yield, which moves opposite its price, fell to 3.82 percent, from 3.86 percent..
Following are the results of Tuesday’s Treasury auction of four-week bills.
David Jolly in Paris and David Stout in Washington contributed reporting
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I'd better go get in line for the soup kitchen now.
The weak dollar is directly attributable to the national debt, which in turn is directly caused by huge tax cuts on the superrich without corresponding cuts in spending. The only place that sufficient spending cuts could have taken place would be in the extraordinarily bloated defense budget. Partaking in a pointless war while simultaneously cutting taxes on the superrich have driven our country to the brink of national bankruptcy.Undecided
No one can prognosticate with any kind of confidence since this is a virtually unique situation resulting from a confluence of factors most of which do have historical precedent but which hithertofore have not been present simultaneously or in this array. The fact that "socialism", or something very close is coming to the rescue of casino-style Capitalism...again...brings us to the yawning precedent of the Great Depression. There are so many good rules established then (New Deal,1930;s) which were thought obsolete and "deregulated" in the Clinton term that are proving invaluable in their absence....but the American citizenry, and I hate referring to us this way-a political term-but it is in politics that we can come together and change this by the structures now in place. But when things stabilize- Or ,heaven forbid, get worse- we ought as Americans and not as partisans of any faction,political, religious or social take a very hard look at the macro environment wherein this collapse occurred- economic systems tweaked to the max to favor Big Business-not Business-Big Business. IN the late 19th century a brake was applied to "monopolies"and "Robber Barrons"-early capitalist tychoons- and the middle class was encouraged. In our times we may need a brake to this casino-style form... No one can prognosticate with any kind of confidence since this is a virtually unique situation resulting from a confluence of factors most of which do have historical precedent but which hithertofore have not been present simultaneously or in this array. The fact that "socialism", or something very close is coming to the rescue of casino-style Capitalism...again...brings us to the yawning precedent of the Great Depression. There are so many good rules established then (New Deal,1930;s) which were thought obsolete and "deregulated" in the Clinton term that are proving invaluable in their absence....but the American citizenry, and I hate referring to us this way-a political term-but it is in politics that we can come together and change this by the structures now in place. But when things stabilize- Or ,heaven forbid, get worse- we ought as Americans and not as partisans of any faction,political, religious or social take a very hard look at the macro environment wherein this collapse occurred- economic systems tweaked to the max to favor Big Business-not Business-Big Business. IN the late 19th century a brake was applied to "monopolies"and "Robber Barrons"-early capitalist tychoons- and the middle class was encouraged. In our times we may need a brake to this casino-style form Capitalism has taken-again-at the expense of the "6-pack Joe and soccer Mom". The Little Guy-our so-called "Working Poor". What IS working poor? You mean there are hard-working Americans, working fulltime who cannot buy a home ? Who cannot send their children-not just the favored child but all who wish-to the University? Who cannot afford to save enough for retirement? Who, if Dad or Mom gets sick,forbid very ill, will watch as the family disintegrates? Why? We should all be asking "Why?" The Wealth produced in the USA is staggering! It is in the trillions! How is it possible that middle class working-not "entitled" shirkers or manipulators or canny "players" but hard working Americans-are called "working poor" in the first place? There IS a place for reconstituting our system of preferment financially speaking to benefit the working man and woman and the time for that preferment is now. And Tomorrow and the day after that. There is so much $ down the drain but no one I know has "stocks or equities"-at least not that it shows.We have problems putting gas in the car.There IS enough wealth though-or was. When the new system is up and running we had better,like "monopolies" in the 19th(Thanks Teddy!) have a brake for casino-style Capitalism of the 20th and 21st Centuries which steadily bankrupts the very salt of our Land but enriches the Cheneys and Ashcrofts, todays' "Robber Barons" and Bush and all their cronies! rr out! (more)I'm optimistic that things will turn around.
Especially if Obama becomes president.I'm optimistic that things will turn around.
or I can just move to Canada or Europe...Undecided
I'm just enjoying the green back against the Aussie dollar at the moment, it's making for some good imports. Hey, I'm doin my bit for the U.S dollar...I'd better go get in line for the soup kitchen now.
moderated...I'd better go get in line for the soup kitchen now.
Thank god I love soup!Undecided
if mccain gets in office the soup line is very nearhowever its no different is obama wins either..
both are terrible
=)
I'd better go get in line for the soup kitchen now.
Poor Sock is in trouble!!Undecided
With oils multi-day contraction in price, our woes may start being alleviated. However, there is some silver lining- In a recession, commodity prices will retract instead of keep increasing- so maybe a recession is precisely what this country needs. An increase in Consumer Prices along with a retraction in Economic Growth is a one-two punch that we can't really survive, so something will eventually have to give. In this case, I think it will be oil prices and, since they're so intimately connected, food prices will follow and drop in price accordingly.This "economic correction" could take years, as it has in the past. I'm not terribly optimistic, but I'd be very happy if the economy proved me wrong and continued to present economic growth for the second quarter.
I'm optimistic that things will turn around.
moderated...Undecided
I think that with all of this going on its interesting to see that some people still want us to stay in Iraq and continue to accrue more debt, it costs trillions everyday for us to stay there!I'm optimistic that things will turn around.
Wednesday, July 16, 2008Uptick
Sky Not Falling: Dow Surges 276 Points
http://www.foxbusiness.com/st...
Recession is BS. The US is doing fine.
as fine as a lead balloon.I'd better go get in line for the soup kitchen now.
moderated...Undecided
All you have to do is talk to people and you will see the economy is getting worst.But what pisses me off is that the one candidate that could turn the economy around (Clinton) is out of the race for Pres.
Its crazy when you hear people like George Will (Mr. Rich) refuse to believe that we are in a recession untill he sees two consecutive quarters of stagnant growth as reported by the Fed. It takes the Fed. three months to gather this info and one month to publish it!! My point? The Government (and goof balls like Will who can afford to wait) are the LAST ones to know that the U.S. is in a recession.
I'd better go get in line for the soup kitchen now.
Make it a salad ;)Undecided
We are in a recession Sparkley. Bush was not a fiscal conservative and these are the kind of times we had when we ended up with Carter.Undecided
Great article. But I'm sure the Bush Babies and the McCainian's will paint a rosy picture.I'd better go get in line for the soup kitchen now.
The shit's gonna hit the fan. Of course, I'm just one of those whiners. =DI'd better go get in line for the soup kitchen now.
it is very real indeed... i wonder when the final crash will happen?????I'm optimistic that things will turn around.
At this point, it is hardly relevant that classic features aren't met to classically define the word recession. This is not a Clinton sex ed class. In the real world, wages haven't moved to even closely pace inflation since around 2000 - 01. Mid career unemployed people stay off the books so long, they give up searching, that they no longer count as a stat.What could people do to compensate against rising prices but borrow more? The system was right there telling them their homes are worth 300% more than real market value so why not take an equity loan? You'd lose the house anyway just in face of all the other inflated costs.
I'd better go get in line for the soup kitchen now.
And I also don't believe the "economy is still growing".